Alright lets see how many haters we can make, or how bad I can embarrass myself in this forum. I have never watched baseball until this season and I don't know much about it at all. I don't think i'm great at picking games so don't count on this being any good. I will be picking games solely on intuition with no knowledge of statistics or anything. If anything yall might find a great opportunity to fade me. This is an experiment. Follow at your own risk. Another poster on the forums stimulated this idea(I would give him credit but I don't remember the name). The way it works is a progressive betting system using two team parlays at plus odds. Doing this and playing to profit 5% of your bankroll you can lose up to 7 times(depending on the odds) and only have lost 50% of your bankroll. I think I can get lucky and hit atleast one 2 team parlay every seven tries. So to clear things up. You place your first bet to win 5% of your bank roll. If you lose you make your next play to win what you lost plus the same 5% so on and so forth. I will personally stop at 50% loss if I reach that point. Haters have the right to say what you want. I know this is a long shot, and honestly you won't offend me because I don't claim to be good. So judge if you must ,but try not to clutter the forum with ignorant irrelevant comments, thanks.
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Welcome and best of luck to you.
It is all good fun.Comment -
Plays for 4-25
I will normally just do one a day, but I liked all four of these dogs today. I think atleast two of these teams will win, hopefully we don't have them mismatched. If you bet them all straight bets I feel there will be a profit. Here it is.
Nationals+Reds ML +380
Tigers+Cubs ML+330
Lets see what happens.Comment -
Thanks Martin, hope to see you stick around this thread to see if I can pull something out. Opinions on my picks are welcome.Comment -
Reds + Rays?
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I like the rays. I got em on the RL yesterday, but i'm workin with plus odds and they are HUGE favorites. Might have to throw it in with a two teamer just to make a little more cash cause i'm sure the Rays are an easy win today.Comment -
Yes I missed the point... Only +parlays...
If i would parlay this would be my parlay today...Comment -
Good luck, +$ baseball parlays are good fun...Comment -
thanks xyzky. And we will see if your parlay turns out Bill I like it except the Reds are letting us down right now. I'm gonna freakin mismatch and ill be mad. Nats up, Cubs up, Reds down. Things may change soon but hopefully just the Reds step up.Comment -
Nice hit on Nats and Reds.Comment -
Reds and Nats squeak by, but a win is a win.
Parlays: 1-0 +3.8 Units
Straight Bets: 2-0 +2.4 Units
2 games pending.
Cubs look like a solid win and the Tigers were up 4-0 hopefully they get back on track. Lets get a 4-0 start!Comment -
Looks like your good for today!Comment -
And for the record I would've been right about the Rays if I added it. Bill, looks like you won your parlay as well! Nice work man. Hope to see your opinions more often. Killa, today is profiting no matter the outcome of Detroit. Looks like intuition and luck was on my side today. Noone get too excited, remember i'm just making "guesses" you could say. But if I can do it consistently we might have something going. Just keep monitoring what i'm doing and get in whenever you feel comfortable.Comment -
I realize that since I am using a progressive betting system each parlay is to win 1 unit profit from all losses on that particular chase, but for record keeping purposes I am going to write units won based on 1 unit per bet. If yall would prefer me to keep my unit record based on the system I am using I can track units that way?Comment -
4-25 Final Results
So the Tigers let me down, but 3-1 on all dogs isn't a bad day. Tomorrow's parlay will be played to make up the loss we had on todays 2nd parlay plus a unit profit.
System Parlay:1-1 +.67 units
Straight Parlay:1-1 +2.8 units
Straight bets: 3-1 +2.45 unitsComment -
Plays for 4-26
Dodgers RL + Phillies RL +351 (.38 units to win 1.33 units)
Padres ML + Red Sox RL +416 (.32 units to win 1.33 units)
Once again I like more than one parlay. My favorite and the one I feel is the strongest is the first one. That is the one I will be playing as my parlay system play. Both seem strong and I feel that atleast two of these games will win like yesterday. Lets see what happens.Comment -
Phils/giants under 6.5(even)
brewers rl(even)
(+300)
(bet phoenix odds-pinny clients will find odds slightly higher
)
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My wager with the dodgers received a "no action" I guess cause the pitcher is out? But I am going to replace LA with Brewers RL. So the new parlay is Brewers RL + Phillies RL and the other parlay is optional. I will count both towards my record on parlays, except for the system parlay record won't count the Padres and Sox parlay.Comment -
4-26 final results
Alright went 1-3 overall, 0-2 on all parlays and 0-1 on system parlays. The updated stats below.
System Parlays: 1-2 +.29 units
Straight Parlays: 1-3 +.8 units
Flat bets: 4-4 +.45 unitsComment -
Plays for 4-27
Rockies RL(even) + Phillies RL (+125) +350 (.49 units to win 1.71)Comment -
4-27 final results
System Parlays: 1-3 -.2 units
Straight Parlays: 1-4 -.2 units
Flat bets: 5-5 +.45 unitsComment -
Play for 4-28
In the morning we have (Marlins RL +190 + Brewers RL +120) +538 [.41 units to win 2.2 units]Comment -
Ok now tonight we have (Red Sox RL +110 + Angels RL +115) +350 [.74 units to win 2.61 units]Comment -
Alright one damn run stopped us last night. This parlay is a good one to me. I promise atleast one team will win. If not then I am done with this forum because hitting these parlays is tough. Like I said in the beginning it was just an experiment.
I'm taking (Minnesota RL + Cardinals RL)Comment -
Ok so one of them won as I said, unfortunately the parlays aren't hitting. I am going to start posting just straight plays from a system i'm trying out. Yesterday I went 5-3 and +3 units using all plus odds except two, and hope to build off that. Yesterday was the first day and the only proof i have of those picks is in my sportsbook so I will just start my record today.
Picks for 4-30
Baltimore +145
Texas +137
Arizona +147
Houston +185
Oakland +120
Cardinals RL +105
Giants RL +155
Phillies RL +130
I am betting one unit on each, alot of underdogs could be really profitable or if the favorites are hitting then I could lose alot, but all these picks are based on a system that has a winning record on the long term which is really profitable when you are dealing with plus odds.Comment -
Went 3-5 yesterday -.63 Units. I was hoping the Cardinals would rain out, we would've had profit.
Phillies RL even
Marlins RL +135
Brewers RL +135
Boston RL -105
Rays RL -130
Cardinals RL +120 (This game already started, but is part of the system, so I will count the outcome towards my record, Its 1-0 right now so the RL is still up in the air anyway.)
I know this is alot of heavy favorites on the RL but I have two systems in play that have hit 60%(mostly plus odds) This month. I am still back testing.Comment
