I'm gonna take my chances with the Tribe tomorrow plus nice price.
Anyone with me on this one or do I stand alone?
Wheell
SBR MVP
01-11-07
1380
#2
you don't stand alone. I am also on the red sox.
Comment
LT Profits
SBR Aristocracy
10-27-06
90963
#3
Well, it is Indians or pass for me. Will look at the game closer in a bit.
Comment
AC1318
SBR Hall of Famer
10-09-06
6712
#4
here here
go tribe
Comment
Crayzee
SBR MVP
10-27-06
4945
#5
i'm on tribe again too
gl all
Comment
Tchocky
SBR MVP
02-14-06
2371
#6
NYY is overpriced but I'm still rooting for them. CLE is a better value. Over is the safest play.
Comment
LT Profits
SBR Aristocracy
10-27-06
90963
#7
Yes Dan, I DID bet Cleveland +177.
Comment
bigboydan
SBR Aristocracy
08-10-05
55420
#8
Lets just hope that long layoff Clemens is on hurts him tonight LT.
Comment
BossRoss
SBR High Roller
09-14-07
148
#9
Tough to go against Yanks at home to get swept, the long lay off honestly could be worth the shot(This coming from a guy who thinks NYY wins this one tho) Clemens last started on 9/16 and previous start to that was 9/3, so he hasn't pitched much live action down the stretch, but that isn't to say he's not strong again and could throw great, particularly in this kind of situation as I'm sure the yanks are only trying to get him as strong as possible for a quality playoff start or two! Tough to play either side with confidence IMO, but it's a good spot for NYY coming back home and having to win or are done and good value for CLEV whos a very solid team and shouldn't big a big dog to anybody, just depends on which one you think wins out, the value or the desperation and thats the bottom line WHO WINS THE GAME, cause value doesn't mean squat if you lose!!! GL MAN!!!
Comment
LT Profits
SBR Aristocracy
10-27-06
90963
#10
Originally posted by BossRoss
value doesn't mean squat if you lose!!! GL MAN!!!
Absolutely not true. Value is defined as a bet having a positive expectation in the long run. With odds of +177, the break-even point is 36.1%. I put Cleveland's chances here at around 40%, which is why I pulled the trigger. So I am going in expecting to lose this game 60% of the time, but I can't let a loss stop me from making this same play next time.