People are backing KC Royals @ 1.05 (-2000 approximately) in Live Market!

Sawyer · 04-12-10, 02:15 PM

Royals are -400 right now

krk1030 · 04-12-10, 02:16 PM

Here comes the comeback. Already 2 in, runner on 2nd. Still no outs.

Sawyer · 04-12-10, 02:18 PM

Guys, take advantage of Live Market. Great betting opportunities! Lots of squares are backing team which has the lead..

It's a big advantage to back a -180 team at +1900

(Specially against KC Bullpen)

Royals are -240 right now.

pitman · 04-12-10, 02:21 PM

detroit was down 7-1 mid 6th inning to cleveland yesterday and won the game in the 9th.

Sawyer · 04-12-10, 03:05 PM

Yeah. It's crazy to back these kind of teams (crappy bullpen) when they take the lead. Be it 5-0 or 6-0, it doesn't matter. It's baseball! There's no clock! You can even score 13-14 runs in a single inning but you can't score 100 points in basketball in a quarter.

So it's a very good proposition on the long run. It doesn't matter you win or lose today, what matters is the profit you made on the long run.

So always keep an eye on Live Market guys. I know BetFair is not available for US bettors and we can't compare MB with BF but Matchbook is not so bad. There's lots of people there ready to back a team at -2000 or -1000 when they take the lead.

The biggest advantage of Exchange Live Market is, there's no oddmakers setting lines. it's you and the other bettors in the market. There's no oddsmaker. It's very hard to beat the oddsmaker but you can beat these guys.

dwaechte · 04-12-10, 03:30 PM

You might want to actually calculate the odds before you're so sure it's a good bet going the other way.

Sawyer · 04-12-10, 04:11 PM

Originally posted by dwaechte

You might want to actually calculate the odds before you're so sure it's a good bet going the other way.

Of course, you should do the math. Backing Tigers was a valuable bet in my opinion. Royals doesn't deserve to be 1.05 (-2000 approximately) with a 3-run lead. True odds should be something like 1.20-1.30 in my opinion. So it's a very good edge. You may lose today but on the long run, you will win. Do the math and beat the public! However, being good in this profession (live market) requires experience.

Nats were 1.25 when they take the 4-0 lead. It means some people backed Nats at 1.25 (-400) while some people backed Philles at +400. Picking Nats at -400 (Was 4-0 lead) was not a good proposition.