Mlb picks

HilltopTony · 04-11-10, 08:58 AM

I knew I shouldn't have posted until after the first 10 games but I was having so much success I thought I would post 2 night games and OF COURSE they both lose!!

2 picks that fall into "my system" today. I have been betting this system for 16 years and only lost money in 2 of those years and minimal at that.

Over 7.5 WASH/NYM
Over 7 ATL/SF

Leans are also SD and FLA but right now I will not play them. Once I get 10 games in the system then profits should be seen on a nightly basis--------------providing I have the time to do this regularly!

All plays are for .5 units unless stated otherwise. So we would be starting the day negative 1 unit

3PtShooter · 04-11-10, 09:07 AM

keep it going

Chi_archie · 04-11-10, 09:14 AM

get em today hiller

HilltopTony · 04-12-10, 10:43 AM

CWS -128
TB -143
CHC -155

Hate to play the chalk but these 3 seem to have the best value.

HilltopTony · 04-13-10, 06:08 AM

A nice 3-0 day. I will try and post a game or 2 today, as 1 game is looking like a definite play.

Doc JS · 04-13-10, 07:04 AM

Keep up the good work & GL !!

phLLyphan11 · 04-13-10, 09:26 AM

What do you think about Yanks/Halos?

swaindexter · 04-13-10, 09:41 AM

You have some very nice plays there...Good Luck on your wagers today.....

HilltopTony · 04-13-10, 10:44 AM

Originally posted by phLLyphan11

What do you think about Yanks/Halos?

I think the Angels are worth a play with the value but not an official play for me. I looked at the card and like the Pirates, Ariz, KC and the Angels. All 4 are very good wagers this early in the season with those odds but overall I am passing today. Too many days in the season to play just to play! However, if you have a nice bankroll those 4 offer your best chance to make money today

I have the Pirates winning 4-3. Ariz over the LAD 5-3. KC over Det 7-4 and Angels over NYY 5-4

HilltopTony · 04-14-10, 07:08 AM

After taking the day off and watching some games, I feel good about 3 picks today.

I think the Pirates rest some key bats today in SF. I don't know why they would but that seems to be their trend coming off a night game. Under 8.5

Atlanta is a nice price at -145 with Hanson on the bump. I like this Hanson kid and think he will win the Cy Young in a few years. Atlanta atones for the whipping they took the other night. Atlanta -145

Oak/Sea falls into one of my systems. Take over 7.5.

I also like Boston -135 and I really feel Houston gets their first win of the year tonight but these WILL NOT be official plays.

HilltopTony · 04-15-10, 06:14 AM

After 2-1 night we stand (since posting) at +95. Don't know if I will have time to post today or not.

HilltopTony · 04-15-10, 11:38 AM

Today I am looking for a low scoring game in SD. If you got it a 7.5 great but I am posting this as the line is 7. UNDER 7 ATL/SD

I like Milwaukee +140. I have never been a Zambrano fan and think he is very overrated. This may be personal but the Brewers kick Zambrano around the "un"friendly confines today, he'll be lucky to get 3 innings in today.

Over 11 runs in the MIL/CHC.

RECAP
MIL + 140
OVER 11 MIL/CHC
UNDER 7 ATL/SD

HilltopTony · 04-16-10, 06:16 AM

Another 2-1 night. Based on a half unit (which I am saying is 50.00) we now stand at +160 or 1.60 units.
Light night tonight as new series begin. I like 2 games but want to see where the lines are going. Any questions let me know. I will try and post as much as I can and hope these day games start slowing down as it's tough for me to post those games.

HilltopTony · 04-16-10, 03:42 PM

3 plays tonight LAD -154
LAA -113
OVER 7 DET/SEA

TEXAS is a strong lean for me and may just have to play it. Not an official play though!

HilltopTony · 04-17-10, 05:50 AM

3-0 last night bringing our total to +3.10 units. 10-2 our last 12. Most likely I won't be posting today and Sunday due to family obligations. I don't even know if people are following or not so I am sure it's not a big deal that I don't post. lol

If you do follow, let me know. If enough people want the games I will try harder to post when I have things going on.

HilltopTony · 04-17-10, 03:31 PM

I feel there isn't enough interest to continue the thread. If anyone followed I am sorry that you won't be getting my winners the rest of the year.

Jiggy Fly · 04-20-10, 11:17 AM

Just found this thread. Your record so far has caught my eye. Keep posting. BOL!!

terrortwylight · 04-20-10, 11:21 AM

for real. nice work. it's a shame you won't be sharing these anymore.

Marginalis · 04-20-10, 01:02 PM

Nice work.

HilltopTony · 04-20-10, 05:16 PM

Just got in and probably shouldn't post. However these 2 seem to offer the best value.

LAD -132
STL +126

HilltopTony · 04-22-10, 01:24 PM

0-2 for Tuesday, no picks for Wednesday. Let's see if we can get back on track for Thursday. +1.15 units on the year.

ATL -142
DET -107
BOS -150

I am not liking that the value lies with the chalk but so be it. Let's make some scratch tonight!

Daniel Green · 04-22-10, 01:35 PM

good stuff

HilltopTony · 04-23-10, 01:16 PM

1-2 last night and units stand at +.50. Let's take it slow tonight and see if we can get back on track. If we don't then I will take a few days off and plug some more numbers into the program and see if that works. I am not liking the results over the last few days.

Tonight the value lies with the CUBS -120--------STL +150 and the PIRATES + 155.

Dempster shuts down the Brewers tonight as I think Milwaukee may be tired from running around the bases yesterday at PNC Park! Lincecum is man but STL gets to him tonight by making him come to them. Look for Lincecum to be out by the 6th and the Cardinals to beat SF's bullpen. Pirates rebound after the debacle yesterday in what looked like MEN vs. boys. However, who are the Astros to be -175 vs. anyone? I know Oswalt is on the Bump, but it doesn't matter, the Bucs somehow will win this game and cash for us!!

I also like the LAD -120 and the CWS -155. Only reason they are not official plays is because rarely do I believe in betting more than 3 games!! The 3 I have listed are the top three and offer the best ROI.

HilltopTony · 04-24-10, 04:46 PM

after a 1-2 night we are back to EVEN for the year. The dogs we are playing aren't cashing yet this year and I never stray from the course so tonight we will roll with TORONTO +135 STL -144 and MINNY at -112. 1 dog tonight and I really like Toronto in this spot with Romero on the hill, this kid can throw!

michigan man · 04-24-10, 04:54 PM

MLB Picks

Tampa -140

HilltopTony · 04-26-10, 04:58 PM

Originally posted by michigan man

Tampa -140

TB was -155 when I released the game if that's what you are implying? It doesn't matter Toronto lost. Taking a few days off and relaxing while I crunch more numbers.

HilltopTony · 04-27-10, 02:59 PM

Negative .50 units on the year. Dipping a toe in the water for 1 game today but still crunching numbers we will go with FLA-132

HilltopTony · 05-04-10, 05:21 PM

Negative 1.15 units. Took some time off and crunched some numbers. I feel tonight we have winners.

CIN -132
KC +160
HOU -111
Over 8.5 PHIL/STL

HilltopTony · 05-17-10, 05:29 PM

Not used to losing so I took some time off and had a nice week last week. I have 3 games that I love tonight and I honestly feel like we have a 3-0 night.

OVER 9 TEXAS/LAA 2units
Oakland -147 2 units
Philadelphia -1.5 runs (note this is a RL play only!) 2 units. 2 units is what I am taking on the games but like I always tell "my friends" bet what you can afford to lose and if that's a half unit then make it a half unit. We never chase!

HilltopTony · 05-18-10, 05:31 PM

okay 2-1 last night for +1.80 units and this puts the posted games a little up for the year------but only up about a 1/4 unit.

Today I am not posting because I had 2 games early I couldn't post and I am not going to post the 3rd game tonight. I will be back tomorrow and guarantee a 2-1 or better night!!