Illusivecone's Thread

[Illusivecone]

Hey,

Decided to start posting my plays after just using the spreadsheet for about a month.

In that month I had 17 winning days - 2 even days and one day losing 81 units (not a typo), hoping this thread will help with the MM

April 9th: my last 8 plays have been winners netting 19.35 units (before that last 7 plays were losers (81.22 units)


First Play: Phillies -145 (Will be fading Astros until Berkman comes back) 1u

[Illusivecone]

Play: Chicago Cubs +106 (False Favorite in this one)

Play: Min / CHW Over 9 +100 (Stats say under - gut feeling)

Stat of the day: In last 3 starts @ Great American Ballpark Zambrano is 28.3IP 13H OER 12W 20K (Cubs 3-0)

[Illusivecone]

NYY/TB OVER 9 -120 1u (CC Struggles in TB/ Early Season + Yankees will get theirs)

Those are all the early plays

[Illusivecone]

Adding:

Yes Score In First Inning CHC@CIN -105 1u (Zambrano blow up insurance)

[Illusivecone]

Yes Score In First Inning CHC@CIN -105 1u (Zambrano blow up insurance)

Loss - 0-1 -1.05u

Adding

MIN@CHW Over 3.5 Runs 2nd half -110

[Illusivecone]

Adding

WAS/NYM Over 3.5 -115 2H 1U

[Illusivecone]

Play: Chicago Cubs +106 (False Favorite in this one) WIN

Play: Min / CHW Over 9 +100 (Stats say under - gut feeling) LOSS

Adding

WAS/NYM Over 3.5 -115 2H 1U LOSS

MIN@CHW Over 3.5 Runs 2nd half -110 LOSS

Update: 1-4 -3.24u

[Illusivecone]

Adding

Milwakee Brewers 2H -155 1u

[Illusivecone]

NYY/TB OVER 9 -120 1u (CC Struggles in TB/ Early Season + Yankees will get theirs) WIN

Milwakee Brewers 2H -155 1u PUSH

Updated: 2-4-1 -2.24u

I got lucky and my book voided my WAS@NYM 2nd half play as it was late, but will keep it on my record for honesty reasons

[Illusivecone]

BIG PLAY ALERT

Florida Marlins -157 2u

Florida Marlins -1.5 +140 2u

Florida Marlins Over 4.5 runs -110 2u

Watching JJ in game one you could see he was off, however Johnson had a mid-week extended bullpen session with his pitching coach and all seems corrected.

I expect something like 7ip 2r from Johnson today with the marlins continuing their mini run from the 9th last night

Edit: Another Play
Boston Red Sox 2nd Half -120 1u

Clarification: 2nd Half = 6th inning and on

[Illusivecone]

Atlanta Braves -124 10u

[Illusivecone]

Boston Red Sox 2nd Half -120 1u WIN

First Play: Phillies -145 (Will be fading Astros until Berkman comes back) 1u WIN

Updated: 4-4-1 -0.4u

[Illusivecone]

BIG PLAY ALERT

Florida Marlins -157 2u WIN

Florida Marlins -1.5 +140 2u LOSS

Florida Marlins Over 4.5 runs -110 2u WIN

Watching JJ in game one you could see he was off, however Johnson had a mid-week extended bullpen session with his pitching coach and all seems corrected.

I expect something like 7ip 2r from Johnson today with the marlins continuing their mini run from the 9th last night

Atlanta Braves -124 10u WIN

End of Day One: 7-5-1 +11.6u

Honestly I dislike days like today, one bounce and today could have lost alot of units

[Illusivecone]

Early Plays:

Baltimore O's -110 1u (Value bet only)
CHC@CIN Over 9 -105 1u (Look for Leake to me leaky, Gorzelanny nothing special)
Florida Marlins 1st Half -0.5 +105 1u
NY Mets 1st Half -0.5 -165 1u

[Illusivecone]

Adding:

Baltimore O's -115 1u

Baltimore TT Over 4 -110 1u

[Illusivecone]

Adding:

Philadelphia Phillies -230 2u (Fading Astros until Berkman comes back)
MIN@CWS Under 8.5 ev 1u
MIN@CWS Under 4.5 FF ev 1u

[Illusivecone]

Not going to grade them individually

0-8 -9.05u

Updated: 7-13-1 +2.55u

Phily Pending

POD: Arizona Diamondbacks -205 10u (these are 1-0 so far)

[Illusivecone]

Philadelphia Phillies -230 2u (Fading Astros until Berkman comes back) WIN

Updated: 8-13-1 +4.55u

D'Backs pending

[Illusivecone]

Homer Play: Toronto Raptors 2h -2 -110 1u

[Illusivecone]

POD: Arizona Diamondbacks -205 10u (these are 1-0 so far) WIN

Today: 2-8 +2.95u

Updated: 9-13-1 +14.55u

[Illusivecone]

Adding:

St. Louis Cardinals -145 2u