I was moderately successful last year in MLB, but starting fresh this year with a new approach. I'll be taking it easy for the first couple of weeks, as NBA is still my primary focus. Just having fun for now.
to everyone this season.
suicidekings
SBR Hall of Famer
03-23-09
9962
#2
4/6 Plays
My favourite game on the board today is SFG @ HOU. Barry Zito is starting against Wandy Rodriguez. Both pitchers have struggled so far in the spring and both have a lot of pressure on them to perform this year. Zito is sandwiched between Matt Cain and Tim Lincecum to provide an offspeed lefty between the two hard throwing righties, and also to help justify his huge contract. IMO, Zito vs Rodriguez is a mismatch, and I feel like Zito gets knocked around early today.
The Giants are the better team, but I really don't see them sweeping the Astros to start the year and Zito is their weakest link in the series.
HOU TT O4 (+100) x4
HOU ML (-127) x1
The other game I really like is BAL @ TB. Baltimore has appalling defense and are starting Kevin Millwood, who has no business being a #1 starter. His best days are behind him and survived as long as he did in Texas because offense was the priority down there. Last season with free-agency looming on the horizon for 2011 he put together his best season since 2005. Now with a new team in a tougher division, he's going to get slaughtered this season, starting today.
TB TT O4.5 (-140) x4
Finally, NYY @ BOS should be a good game. No one is really giving Burnett a chance today because last year the Sox absolutely owned him at Fenway in 3 starts (12.2IP, 22H, 20ER). But in 2007 & 2008, he was 3-0 at Fenway, pitching 3 gems. I'm inclined to go against him early in the season, and think this should hit early...
BOS TT O4.5 (-117) x2
Comment
suicidekings
SBR Hall of Famer
03-23-09
9962
#3
4/6: 0-4 (-13.21) Great start...
4/7 Booked Plays:
CIN/STL O7.5 (-120) x4 [bought from O8 (-101) on Pinny last night] SFG ML (-137) x2
COL/MIL U9 (-115) x1
TOR ML (+149) x2
CIN ML (-101) x1
KCR ML (-117) x1
KCR RL -1 (+124) x0.5
LAD/PIT O8 (-112) x1
LAD/PIT O9 (+135) x0.5
Comment
suicidekings
SBR Hall of Famer
03-23-09
9962
#10
Originally posted by suicidekings
4/8 Early Plays
TOR ML (+149) x2
CIN ML (-101) x1
KCR ML (-117) x1
KCR RL -1 (+124) x0.5
LAD/PIT O8 (-112) x1
LAD/PIT O9 (+135) x0.5
Adding:
DET/KCR U9.5 (-117) x1
DET/KCR U8 (+160) x0.5
Comment
suicidekings
SBR Hall of Famer
03-23-09
9962
#11
Added Live (after 5 innings):
TOR/TEX O4 (+124) x0.5
Added Live (after 6 innings)
TOR/TEX O3 (+173) x0.5
Comment
suicidekings
SBR Hall of Famer
03-23-09
9962
#12
Originally posted by suicidekings
4/8 Early Plays
TOR ML (+149) x2 LIVE (after 5): TOR/TEX O4 (+124) x0.5 LIVE (after 6): TOR/TEX O3 (+173) x0.5 CIN ML (-101) x1 KCR ML (-117) x1
KCR RL -1 (+124) x0.5 LAD/PIT O8 (-112) x1
LAD/PIT O9 (+135) x0.5 DET/KCR U9.5 (-117) x1
DET/KCR U8 (+160) x0.5
5-4-1 (+3.24u) APRIL: 10-10-2 (-1.97u)
Comment
suicidekings
SBR Hall of Famer
03-23-09
9962
#13
4/8 Night Games
Cubs (1st5) pk (+156) x0.5
Cubs ML (+161) x0.5
FLA ML (+103) x2
FLA RL -1.5 (+165) x0.5
CHW ML (-131) x0.5
CLE/CHW u8.5 (-120) x1
Comment
suicidekings
SBR Hall of Famer
03-23-09
9962
#14
Adding:
MIN ML (+113) x1
Comment
HoulihansTX
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
02-12-09
30566
#15
Originally posted by suicidekings
Adding: MIN ML (+113) x1
Uhh I'm on Angels RL.
How's bases doing you though. I just do two plays a day. Its scary though b/c I know nothing about bases. I mean nothing
Comment
suicidekings
SBR Hall of Famer
03-23-09
9962
#16
Originally posted by HoulihansTX
Uhh I'm on Angels RL.
How's bases doing you though. I just do two plays a day. Its scary though b/c I know nothing about bases. I mean nothing
I grew up with bases. It was the first sport I ever laid a wager on, and used to know a lot about the players and teams. That being said, I haven't watched much in the last couple of years and my knowledge based is much diminished compared to what it was... It's all about evaluating pitchers. WHIP and IP are what matter for starters, and the strength of their bullpens.
Just keep your wagers small on baseball, especially early in the season. You can step it up in the heat of the summer once the pitchers have put together some consistency.
As for Minny, just a feeling. I don't have much respect for Pineiro.
Comment
suicidekings
SBR Hall of Famer
03-23-09
9962
#17
Originally posted by suicidekings
4/8 Night Games
Cubs (1st5) pk (+156) x0.5
Cubs ML (+161) x0.5
FLA ML (+103) x2
FLA RL -1.5 (+165) x0.5 CHW ML (-131) x0.5 CLE/CHW u8.5 (-120) x1
MIN ML (+113) x1
6-1 (+5.94u)
______________________
4/8: 11-5-1 (+9.18u) APRIL: 16-11-2 (+3.97u)
Comment
suicidekings
SBR Hall of Famer
03-23-09
9962
#18
4/9 Overnight Lines
MIN ML (+109) x2
DET ML (-136) x3
DET RL -1 (+100) x2
DET RL -2 (+196) x1
Comment
suicidekings
SBR Hall of Famer
03-23-09
9962
#19
Originally posted by suicidekings
4/9 Overnight Lines
MIN ML (+109) x2 DET ML (-136) x3
DET RL -1 (+100) x2
DET RL -2 (+196) x1
3-0 (+6.96u), 1 pending
Great start to the day.
Comment
suicidekings
SBR Hall of Famer
03-23-09
9962
#20
SD (FF) pk (+160) x0.5
SD ML (+169) x0.5
Comment
shoebox
Restricted User
11-26-08
5710
#21
Originally posted by suicidekings
4/9 Overnight Lines
MIN ML (+109) x2 DET ML (-136) x3 DET RL -1 (+100) x2 DET RL -2 (+196) x1
great start!
Comment
suicidekings
SBR Hall of Famer
03-23-09
9962
#22
Originally posted by shoebox
great start!
I forgot how much I love baseball
Comment
suicidekings
SBR Hall of Famer
03-23-09
9962
#23
ATL/SF O7.5 (-119) x1
ATL/SF O9 (+147) x0.5
Comment
suicidekings
SBR Hall of Famer
03-23-09
9962
#24
NYM ML (-132) x1 WAS/NYM O9 (+100) x1 CANCELLED
LAD ML (-119) x1
LAD RL -1.5 (+140) x0.5
Best of luck tonight SK.
I have Braves/Giant Over 8 booked last night when I saw Hudson on the mount.
I should go for UNDER 1st 5innings.
Congrats on your Over in that game SK
Comment
suicidekings
SBR Hall of Famer
03-23-09
9962
#27
Added Live:
TBR ML (+100) x1
TBR RL -1.5 (+241) x0.5
Comment
suicidekings
SBR Hall of Famer
03-23-09
9962
#28
Originally posted by darkenergy
Best of luck tonight SK.
I have Braves/Giant Over 8 booked last night when I saw Hudson on the mount.
I should go for UNDER 1st 5innings.
Congrats on your Over in that game SK
Thanks buddy. Gotta love the MLB. The ultimate action junkie sport.
Comment
suicidekings
SBR Hall of Famer
03-23-09
9962
#29
Originally posted by suicidekings
4/9 Booked Plays
MIN ML (+109) x2
DET ML (-136) x3
DET RL -1 (+100) x2
DET RL -2 (+196) x1 SD (FF) pk (+160) x0.5
SD ML (+169) x0.5 ATL/SF O7.5 (-119) x1 ATL/SF O9 (+147) x0.5 NYM ML (-132) x1
LAD ML (-119) x1
LAD RL -1.5 (+140) x0.5
PHI (FF) -0.5 (-114) x1
PHI -1 (-130) x3
PHI -2 (+130) x1
LIVE: TBR ML (+100) x1
LIVE: TBR RL -1.5 (+241) x0.5
4/9: 13-2-1 (+19.35u) APRIL: 29-13-3 (+23.32u)
Comment
suicidekings
SBR Hall of Famer
03-23-09
9962
#30
4/10 Overnight Lines
LAA ML (-144) x2
LAA RL -1.5 (+148) x1
SEA ML (-144) x2
SEA RL -1 (-115) x1
PHI RL -1 (-107) x2
PHI RL -2 (+155) x1
TOR ML (+130) x1
Felix & Weaver will dominate, Eveland has the deck stacked in his favour, and I'd be very surprised if Houston gets their first win against the Phillies...
Also looking at a big play on Dan Haren, but hoping for the line to come down overnight. -260 is expensive, but I still feel it's a solid bet.