LB thread for MLB plays 2010

lakerboy · 10-09-10, 11:15 PM

Liking Giants/Reds and TB tomorrow. I think the Rays are gonna take that series now.

Bo$$ Bet$ · 10-09-10, 11:19 PM

Hey question...when the line odds r + do u bet in the "to WIN box" and when the line odds r - bet in the "to RISK box" or vice versa? Or does it even matter?

lakerboy · 10-09-10, 11:23 PM

Originally posted by Bo$$ Bet$

Hey question...when the line odds r + do u bet in the "to WIN box" and when the line odds r - bet in the "to RISK box" or vice versa? Or does it even matter?

i always bet to win. for example if reds are -125 ml and i like them i take them for risking $125 to win 100. i dont do the risk thing. thats not profitable long term imo

ayuntalo · 10-09-10, 11:23 PM

Originally posted by lakerboy

Liking Giants/Reds and TB tomorrow. I think the Rays are gonna take that series now.

i like the Rays too.. i think they are driven by their emotions and they are on a high today, i think they will get back on scoring some runs..
can you share why you like them LB?

Bo$$ Bet$ · 10-09-10, 11:33 PM

I checked ur NHL thread idk how the fvck u guys do it but thanks for sharing ur knowledge and picks

"Knowledge speaks, but Wisdom listens" -unknown

lakerboy · 10-09-10, 11:48 PM

Originally posted by ayuntalo

i like the Rays too.. i think they are driven by their emotions and they are on a high today, i think they will get back on scoring some runs..
can you share why you like them LB?

I think you hit the nail on the head. The rays got some offense going and they are baseballs top road team and they have played pressure games all year long. The rangers arent that great imo and i think the caught the rays napping in games 1 and 2. Of course the rangers could win game 4 easily but the line is pretty much the same as game 3. TB is the play. At least i know i will be on them. THey are a very good team and they hit that Rangers bullpen today.

MidgetTossers · 10-09-10, 11:50 PM

we gotta take giants tomorrow..i like the over too and over in reds game..thoughts sir?

MidgetTossers · 10-09-10, 11:52 PM

totally agree with your guys' take on the rays..im gonna take them too..momentum and confidence are huge in the playoffs

lakerboy · 10-09-10, 11:57 PM

Originally posted by MidgetTossers

we gotta take giants tomorrow..i like the over too and over in reds game..thoughts sir?

i like the over in the sf game for sure but not in the phils game because hamels doesnt get run support usually. reds win big i think.

gohabsgo · 10-10-10, 12:00 AM

I like your tampa choice.
What do you like about cincy and SF?
I just need reason to pull the trigger...

ayuntalo · 10-10-10, 12:02 AM

How bout the reds and giants?

I really don't like the reds..
Even if for example they have a cc sabthia in there I'd still take the phillies..
Its not everyday you get a line like that on the phils with hammels I think.. I'll take the best team at -130

I like the giants but I'm not too confident on it..

Brocc · 10-10-10, 12:03 AM

Hamels 6-0 vs Reds (3-0 this year)with an ERA barely over 1

Phils close it out

MidgetTossers · 10-10-10, 12:03 AM

Originally posted by lakerboy

i like the over in the sf game for sure but not in the phils game because hamels doesnt get run support usually. reds win big i think.

yea your probably right about that reds over..my initial thought was reds get swept but they showed a little something last game and they will hit tomorrow imo

lakerboy · 10-10-10, 12:04 AM

Originally posted by gohabsgo

I like your tampa choice.
What do you like about cincy and SF?
I just need reason to pull the trigger...

SF i am not too sure about but i believe in buy low(sf) and sell high(atl). MOst will think the Braves are so good at home and they have all the momentum. I dont think the giants will lose both games there.

I like cincy cause the line is so low on the phils. Books could have made the phils -150 and gotten action. The reds were a very good home team all year. THey also could have won game 2.

lakerboy · 10-10-10, 12:05 AM

Originally posted by Brocc

Hamels 6-0 vs Reds with an ERA barely at 1

Phils close it out

How about this year? What are the numbers ? This reds team is way different than past clubs.

lakerboy · 10-10-10, 12:07 AM

I just noticed that the Reds line has dropped quite a bit at some books that i respect alot.

ayuntalo · 10-10-10, 12:08 AM

Lb have you seen cueto's game log?
It's mostly L on his last few games..
I like him but I'm hoping he will continue to lose specially going against philly

gohabsgo · 10-10-10, 12:10 AM

Originally posted by lakerboy

SF i am not too sure about but i believe in buy low(sf) and sell high(atl). MOst will think the Braves are so good at home and they have all the momentum. I dont think the giants will lose both games there.

I like cincy cause the line is so low on the phils. Books could have made the phils -150 and gotten action. The reds were a very good home team all year. THey also could have won game 2.

Thanks,
I'll tail on SF and re-bet the same amount in game 4 if they lose. They probably be a dog in game 4 too, so 1 game out of 2 will be profit.

I have problems with cincy, philly has been too hot lately. If there is a concensus among respected good cappers, i'll tail.

ayuntalo · 10-10-10, 12:12 AM

Originally posted by lakerboy

SF i am not too sure about but i believe in buy low(sf) and sell high(atl). MOst will think the Braves are so good at home and they have all the momentum. I dont think the giants will lose both games there..

Prof walk me on the buy low sell high thing.. I ve heard it a couple times but I don't have idea what it is

MidgetTossers · 10-10-10, 12:12 AM

Originally posted by lakerboy

I just noticed that the Reds line has dropped quite a bit at some books that i respect alot.

pinny, greek, matchy and BP?

Brocc · 10-10-10, 12:15 AM

Originally posted by lakerboy

how about this year? What are the numbers ? This reds team is way different than past clubs.

3-0
1.67 era

lakerboy · 10-10-10, 12:16 AM

Originally posted by ayuntalo

Prof walk me on the buy low sell high thing.. I ve heard it a couple times but I don't have idea what it is

giants up 4-0 in game 2- series over. giants blow lead and lose game at home and now everyone thinks the braves are the play cause of one game. no one wants the giants anymore but the price opens up only -125 on the braves and the giants +1.5 is -220. stick with the original play. sanchez has been lights out for time.

Originally posted by MidgetTossers

pinny, greek, matchy and BP?

Brocc · 10-10-10, 12:17 AM

Originally posted by lakerboy

I just noticed that the Reds line has dropped quite a bit at some books that i respect alot.

Our crew just hammered the Phils

Pauulzcappin · 10-10-10, 12:18 AM

70% of the public on the Phils and line holding steadyish

BTW LB, I'd be careful with the rays tomorrow

lakerboy · 10-10-10, 12:18 AM

Originally posted by Brocc

3-0
1.67 era

I see that Hamels only pitched one time this year v the reds. Also Cole HAmels is a 5-6 pitcher on the road. THe phils should wrap it up but they never give Hamels support.

Mikail · 10-10-10, 12:19 AM

Originally posted by lakerboy

giants up 4-0 in game 2- series over. giants blow lead and lose game at home and now everyone thinks the braves are the play cause of one game. no one wants the giants anymore but the price opens up only -125 on the braves and the giants +1.5 is -220. stick with the original play. sanchez has been lights out for time.

LB unfortunately for them most people have short attention spans. Another reason the books keep getting richer.

lakerboy · 10-10-10, 12:19 AM

Originally posted by Pauulzcappin

70% of the public on the Phils and line holding steadyish

BTW LB, I'd be careful with the rays tomorrow

Why is that Paul.

ayuntalo · 10-10-10, 12:21 AM

I'll follow what you do in giants/atl series LB..
Hope you keep it posted..
Goodnight all! Need some rest

MidgetTossers · 10-10-10, 12:24 AM

i know its hard to play an over set at 9 for a playoff game but i can really see that tampa game being a 6-4 type game

Pauulzcappin · 10-10-10, 12:24 AM

Tommy Hunter is not a good matchup for the Rays. I'm still looking at this game.

Brocc · 10-10-10, 12:24 AM

Hamels has gotten 13 runs in his last 3 (2-1)

Hamels likes pitching in Cincy, says the mound reminds him of CBP. I think the bats & the pressure will get to Cueto. He's self destructed his last 6 starts, he's toast.

Ace_of_Spades · 10-10-10, 12:28 AM

Reds offense is going to get to Hamels.

lakerboy · 10-10-10, 12:28 AM

Originally posted by MidgetTossers

i know its hard to play an over set at 9 for a playoff game but i can really see that tampa game being a 6-4 type game

yeah and its juiced hard on the over

Originally posted by Pauulzcappin

Tommy Hunter is not a good matchup for the Rays. I'm still looking at this game.

Whats the big deal about hunter? Rays bats got a revivial. Watch out if Crawford and Pena wake up cause Longoria is next.

Originally posted by Brocc

Hamels has gotten 13 runs in his last 3 (2-1)

Hamels likes pitching in Cincy, says the mound reminds him of CBP. I think the bats & the pressure will get to Cueto. He's self destructed his last 6 starts, he's toast.

Sounds pretty spot on Brocc.

Pauulzcappin · 10-10-10, 12:31 AM

Longoria might but I don't think so, his swing is crappy because of his injury.

Hunter is a strike thrower and doesn't walk a lot of people, doesn't strike out many also but Rays aren't a good hitting team usually.

MidgetTossers · 10-10-10, 12:32 AM

tommy hunter aint that good