Cougar Bait's Baseball Experiment

Cougar Bait · 04-25-10, 10:19 AM

No worries. Today will be a winner. Sticking with the Padres as well. Full card:

Padres -127 (5 to win 3.94)
White Sox -169 (8.45 to win 5)
Athletics -119 (5.95 to win 5)
Twins -140 (5.6 to win 4)
Mets -105 (5.2 to win 5)
Phillies -120 (4.8 to win 4)
Cubs/Brewers OVER 8.5 -115 (3.45 to win 3)
Cubs EV (3 to win 3)
Nationals +141 (3 to win 4.23)
Padres/Reds OVER 9 -110 (3.3 to win 3)

Might put a little more on the Mets later depending on how the day goes.

PsychicSports · 04-25-10, 01:59 PM

These picks are looking great right now! hope they stay on. I was suppose to start playin today too! dang it!

Cougar Bait · 04-25-10, 02:16 PM

Originally posted by PsychicSports

These picks are looking great right now! hope they stay on. I was suppose to start playin today too! dang it!

Well if they stay hot jump on the Mets. I really think that play might be the best of the bunch.

Although, the Cubs and the over is looking damn good

PsychicSports · 04-25-10, 02:48 PM

I can't take the Mets man... I like your picks but I have a huge feeling that the Braves show up and win on the RL. We will see though. If Mets win i'll play every pick you have tomorrow.

Cougar Bait · 04-25-10, 06:29 PM

To ensure a winning day I will not be putting more money on the Mets. Though, I like the play. 5-3-1 so far.

Cougar Bait · 04-26-10, 05:25 AM

6-3-1 yesterday +10.89 units

94-67-6 +68.53 units YTD

Cougar Bait · 04-26-10, 05:33 AM

Just 3 plays right now, will add more later.

Pirates +185 (3 to win 5.55)
D'Backs -115 (4.6 to win 4)
Cubs -162 (4.86 to win 3)

MC PICKS · 04-26-10, 05:53 AM

With ya on the dbacks cougar, my only baseball play today. Good luck with your card.

Cougar Bait · 04-26-10, 05:23 PM

Thanks **, really like the D'Backs play.

Okay here's the full card including the first 3 which were posted this morning:

Pirates +185 (3 to win 5.55)
D'Backs -115 (4.6 to win 4)
Cubs -162 (4.86 to win 3)
Phillies -150 (7.5 to win 5)
Padres/Marlins OVER 8 -105 (5.25 to win 5)
Marlins -165 (4.95 to win 3)
Pirates/Brewers OVER 8.5 -115 (3.45 to win 3)
Blue Jays +125 (3 to win 3.75)

Cougar Bait · 04-27-10, 04:59 AM

5-3 +4.5 units

99-70-6 +73.05 units YTD

Cougar Bait · 04-27-10, 05:05 AM

Royals/Mariners OVER 8 EV (4 to win 4)
Cardinals/Braves OVER 7.5 -120 (4 to win 3.33)

More later

PsychicSports · 04-27-10, 06:07 AM

nice day yesterday! I played your picks

Lets keep on keepin on. Why are there not more people following?

Dad · 04-27-10, 12:01 PM

Good job so far this year, Mr. Bait.

gryfyn1 · 04-27-10, 12:36 PM

Originally posted by PsychicSports

nice day yesterday! I played your picks

Lets keep on keepin on. Why are there not more people following?

I think alot of people a sway away due to the high volume CB posts - I for one check in on these picks each day ...

Attached Files

Cougar Bait · 04-27-10, 05:12 PM

Good to see people checking the thread, I'm not here for the attention, if people are making money, that's what it's all about guys

Full card (including the ones I posted earlier):

Royals/Mariners OVER 8 EV (4 to win 4)
Cardinals/Braves OVER 7.5 -120 (4 to win 3.33)
Twins -115 (11.5 to win 10)
Angels/Indians UNDER 9.5 -125 (5 to win 4)
Nationals/Cubs OVER 8 -110 (3.3 to win 3)
Nationals +140 (3 to win 4.2)
Athletics +162 (3 to win 4.86)

MC PICKS · 04-28-10, 04:18 AM

Only 7 plays with a full slate of games? Your slipping coug, just kidding man, LOL keep up the good work.

Cougar Bait · 04-28-10, 04:59 AM

Yeah, went real heavy on the Twins, so I tailed it back a little.

3-4 +3.23 units yesterday.

102-74-6 +76.28 units YTD

Cougar Bait · 04-28-10, 05:06 AM

Two early plays:

Cubs -200 (4 to win 2)
D'Backs +130 (5 to win 6.5)

MC PICKS · 04-28-10, 05:14 AM

Oh shit, I didnt even notice that. Glad you hit it. Man up and eat the double down. Cut that bitch in half and eat it with a knife and fork along with a side of mashed n gravy like I did. Or split it with your girl or a coworker. Shit is tasty.

obamaismyuncle · 04-28-10, 05:24 AM

GL today, Brewers only early play for me

Cougar Bait · 04-28-10, 05:20 PM

Some tough breaks in the early games (though one isn't yet decided).

On to some winners.

Reds -111 (7.7 to win 7)
Twins/Tigers OVER 8 -120 (4.8 to win 4)
Red Sox/Blue Jays OVER 8.5 (4.4 to win 4)
Reds/Astros OVER 9 -110 (3.3 to win 3)
Twins -101 (3.03 to win 3)

Cougar Bait · 04-28-10, 05:44 PM

Go D'Backs! Decent comeback...

Cougar Bait · 04-28-10, 10:00 PM

4-3 on the day +9.03 units

106-77-6 +85.35 units YTD

Cougar Bait · 04-28-10, 10:21 PM

Putting 3 plays in now that I really like. D'Backs pitching staff destroyed in that Rockies series, bullpen logged 14 2/3 innings last 3 games compared to only 6 for the Cubs, plus Arizona should be road weary and it's a day game. I really like this play. May up the units if I keep thinking about it. Lilly looked solid in his first outing as well. I'll also be at the game in the front row next to the visiting bullpen (gotta spend some of this money).

Look at Arroyo (4-1 last 5) vs. the Astros giving up only 8 runs. Conversely, Oswalt has 4 no decisions in his last 4 vs. the Reds.

Cubs -165 (6.6 to win 4)
Reds +150 (3 to win 4.5)
Blue Jays -135 (4.05 to win 3)

Cougar Bait · 04-28-10, 10:39 PM

Adding:

Padres -149 (7.45 to win 5)

Also looking at the over in this game, Doug Davis is awful and the Brewers have been killing the ball lately. That's good math with it at 7.5

Cougar Bait · 04-29-10, 06:53 AM

Since I am going to the game don't know if I will have time for more than this. Adding:

Padres/Brewers OVER 7.5 +105 (5 to win 5.25)

Cougar Bait · 04-29-10, 08:06 AM

Padres -149 (7.45 to win 5)
Cubs -165 (6.6 to win 4)
Reds +150 (3 to win 4.5)
Blue Jays -135 (4.05 to win 3)
Padres/Brewers OVER 7.5 +105 (5 to win 5.25)
Cubs/D'Backs OVER 9 +150 (5 to win 7.5)

Cougar Bait · 04-29-10, 08:31 AM

Okay one more, this is it, I swear.

Padres -149 (7.45 to win 5)
Cubs -165 (6.6 to win 4)
Reds +150 (3 to win 4.5)
Blue Jays -135 (4.05 to win 3)
Padres/Brewers OVER 7.5 +105 (5 to win 5.25)
Cubs/D'Backs OVER 9 +150 (5 to win 7.5)
White Sox/Rangers OVER 9.5 EV (3 to win 3)

Cougar Bait · 04-29-10, 09:31 PM

Looks like the day is going well, but I need to edit a play.

I posted Cubs/D'Backs OVER 9 +150 (which was the under Vig)

ACTUAL PLAY was

Cubs/D'Backs OVER 9 -175 and this will be reflected in the final units for today. Line moved pretty quickly after that to 13 as you can see here:

MatchBook
Line History:
Arizona Diamondbacks vs Chicago Cubs

TOTALS - OVER/UNDER
04/29 00:16 9 +150
04/29 07:35 9 -175 / 9 +150
04/29 07:35 9 -175 / 9 +161
04/29 07:35 9 -175 / 9 +175
04/29 09:26 9 -300 / 9 +176
04/29 09:26 9 -300 / 9 +178
04/29 09:26 9 -300 / 9 +190
04/29 09:26 9 -300 / 9 +210
04/29 09:33 9 -350 / 9 +264
04/29 09:34 9 -355 / 9 +264
04/29 09:37 9 -370 / 9 +264
04/29 09:50 9 -280 / 9 +264
04/29 09:55 13 -119 / 13 +100

Cougar Bait · 04-29-10, 09:33 PM

So that Cubs/D'Backs total OVER 9 was (5 to win 2.86)

landers781 · 04-29-10, 09:43 PM

Good job today so far cougar, great season! keep it up my man. Make a cooking video while your at it !

Cougar Bait · 04-29-10, 10:01 PM

Originally posted by landers781

Good job today so far cougar, great season! keep it up my man. Make a cooking video while your at it !

Spent all day at Wrigley. I'm drunk, burnt, and ready for bed.

I do plan on making another cooking vid though, it's been too long. I think everyone needed a break from those.

Cougar Bait · 04-30-10, 05:04 AM

6-1 yesterday +17.01 units (Cubs/D'Backs OVER was scored as risking 5 to win 2.86)

112-78-6 +102.36 units

Cougar Bait · 04-30-10, 05:37 AM

Staying away from the early game. Vegas sees Wells as a big favorite, and they should win, but that number is too big for me to lay when the wind is blowing out again and Cubs bats have been dormant. I'd say take a look at the over if you HAVE to play it.

Will post plays around 5pm.

CashMoney27 · 04-30-10, 05:43 AM

Bol dude