Guide to Betting Baseball Game 4 of a Series

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  • jjgold
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 07-20-05
    • 388179
    #1
    Guide to Betting Baseball Game 4 of a Series
    Here are how teams in the fourth game of a series do:

    * As a dog [420-616, -28.39] (-0.027)
    * As a favorite [665-469, -24.78] (-0.022)
    * Off a win [541-544, -61.67] (-0.057)
    * Off a loss [544-541, 8.50] (0.008)
    * Off being shut out [67-48, 22.76] (0.198)
    * Off scoring DD [107-72, 29.92] (0.167)
    * At Home [567-518, -59.98] (-0.055)
    * On the Road [518-567, 6.81] (0.006)
    * Off LL [262-292, -7.40] (-0.013)
    * Off WW [292-262, -20.08] (-0.036)
    * 5+ WL10 [706-623, -2.43] (-0.002)
    * 7+ WL10 [218-176, -10.66] (-0.027)
    * <=3 WL10 [189-244, -24.52] (-0.057)
    * <=5 WL10 [618-703, -58.94] (-0.045)
    * Against team off SO [48-67, -29.96] (-0.261)
    * Vs. team off DD runs [72-107, -38.25] (-0.214)
    Tags: None
    • jjgold
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 07-20-05
      • 388179
      #2
      Guide to Betting Baseball Game 3 of a Series

      Here are how teams in the third game of a series do.

      * As a dog [2262-3192, -92.24] (-0.017)
      * As a favorite [3432-2505, -180.84] (-0.030)
      * Off a win [2922-2776, -158.50] (-0.028)
      * Off a loss [2775-2925, -111.58] (-0.020)
      * Off being shut out [260-293, -38.31] (-0.069)
      * Off scoring DD [543-502, -8.29] (-0.008)
      * At Home [3024-2676, -197.46] (-0.035)
      * On the Road [2673-3025, -72.62] (-0.013)
      * Off LL [1357-1550, -85.33] (-0.029)
      * Off WW [1548-1357, -46.48] (-0.016)
      * 5+ WL10 [3517-3314, -246.79] (-0.036)
      * 7+ WL10 [1174-974, -47.42] (-0.022)
      * <=3 WL10 [1151-1271, 48.47] (0.020)
      * <=5 WL10 [3433-3663, -132.59] (-0.019)
      * Against team off SO [292-260, 8.70] (0.016)
      * Vs. team off DD runs [502-543, -38.47] (-0.037)
        Comment
        • jjgold
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 07-20-05
          • 388179
          #3
          Large Favorites < -200

          * 1st Half of Season [605-260, -13.40 units] (-0.015)
          * 2nd half of season [828-377, -84.21 units] (-0.070)
          * National League [615-265, -12.39 units] (-0.014)
          * American League [833-383, -95.24 units] (-0.078)
          * Divsional Rival [636-305, -97.62 units] (-0.104)
          * Non-Divsional Rival [693-297, -23.20 units] (-0.023)
          * Interleague Game [119-46, 13.19 units] (0.080)
          * As a dog [0-0, 0.00 units] (0.000)
          * As a favorite [1448-648, -107.63 units] (-0.051)
          * Off a win [876-399, -85.04 units] (-0.067)
          * Off a loss [562-238, -6.14 units] (-0.008)
          * Off being shut out [59-33, -19.56 units] (-0.213)
          * Off scoring DD [177-73, 3.03 units] (0.012)
          * Series Game 1 [465-199, -8.86 units] (-0.013)
          * Series Game 2 [423-210, -87.33 units] (-0.138)
          * Series Game 3 [440-185, -5.13 units] (-0.008)
          * Series Game 4 [89-38, 0.38 units] (0.003)
          * At Home [1166-504, -55.90 units] (-0.033)
          * On the Road [282-144, -51.73 units] (-0.121)
          * In the Playoffs [15-11, -10.02 units] (-0.385)
          * Off LL [231-90, 14.56 units] (0.045)
          * Off WW [521-253, -84.09 units] (-0.109)
          * 5+ WL10 [1126-505, -87.42 units] (-0.054)
          * 7+ WL10 [490-238, -78.69 units] (-0.108)
          * <=3 WL10 [125-53, -0.79 units] (-0.004)
          * <=5 WL10 [583-261, -46.59 units] (-0.055)
          * Against team off SO [92-54, -37.03 units] (-0.254)
          * Vs. team off DD runs [84-46, -24.61 units] (-0.189)
          * Vs. team off W (G1) [173-86, -33.26 units] (-0.128)
          * Vs. team off L (G1) [292-113, 24.40 units] (0.060)
          * Off W (G1) [273-121, -14.66 units] (-0.037)
          * Off L (G1) [192-78, 5.80 units] (0.021)
          * 1st Home Series [519-229, -44.57 units] (-0.060)
          * 2nd Home Series [445-191, -14.30 units] (-0.022)
          * 3rd Home Series [143-48, 30.11 units] (0.158)
          * 4th Home Series [33-18, -12.45 units] (-0.244)
          * 5th Home Series [1-0, 1.00 units] (1.000)
          * 1st Road Series [131-75, -43.62 units] (-0.212)
          * 2nd Road Series [99-47, -6.41 units] (-0.044)
          * 3rd Road Series [34-11, 7.60 units] (0.169)
          * 4th Road Series [6-3, -1.50 units] (-0.167)
          * 5th Road Series [0-0, 0.00 units] (0.000)
          * L-->L [94-28, 24.13 units] (0.198)
          * R-->R [744-355, -108.74 units] (-0.099)
          * L-->R [302-135, -22.25 units] (-0.051)
          * R-->L [295-118, 14.93 units] (0.036)
          * Diff. Orientation [600-254, -6.57 units] (-0.008)
          * opTeam Diff. Orientation [627-265, -10.75 units] (-0.012)



          Large Favorites < -150

          * 1st Half of Season [2167-1238, -110.23 units] (-0.032)
          * 2nd half of season [2534-1491, -277.22 units] (-0.069)
          * National League [2308-1403, -251.64 units] (-0.068)
          * American League [2456-1368, -151.30 units] (-0.040)
          * Divsional Rival [2043-1230, -270.16 units] (-0.083)
          * Non-Divsional Rival [2239-1279, -143.45 units] (-0.041)
          * Interleague Game [482-262, 10.67 units] (0.014)
          * As a dog [0-0, 0.00 units] (0.000)
          * As a favorite [4764-2771, -402.94 units] (-0.053)
          * Off a win [2835-1619, -204.33 units] (-0.046)
          * Off a loss [1899-1129, -181.41 units] (-0.060)
          * Off being shut out [180-101, -13.99 units] (-0.050)
          * Off scoring DD [540-296, -13.41 units] (-0.016)
          * Series Game 1 [1482-895, -177.31 units] (-0.075)
          * Series Game 2 [1499-831, -67.09 units] (-0.029)
          * Series Game 3 [1395-814, -114.50 units] (-0.052)
          * Series Game 4 [282-168, -30.77 units] (-0.068)
          * At Home [3699-2099, -246.64 units] (-0.043)
          * On the Road [1065-672, -156.30 units] (-0.090)
          * In the Playoffs [63-42, -15.49 units] (-0.148)
          * Off LL [824-496, -79.44 units] (-0.060)
          * Off WW [1666-941, -112.21 units] (-0.043)
          * 5+ WL10 [3565-2003, -206.38 units] (-0.037)
          * 7+ WL10 [1427-814, -132.28 units] (-0.059)
          * <=3 WL10 [523-344, -94.70 units] (-0.109)
          * <=5 WL10 [2166-1365, -333.26 units] (-0.094)
          * Against team off SO [299-178, -40.16 units] (-0.084)
          * Vs. team off DD runs [321-197, -45.05 units] (-0.087)
          * Vs. team off W (G1) [614-430, -179.14 units] (-0.172)
          * Vs. team off L (G1) [866-465, -0.17 units] (-0.000)
          * Off W (G1) [870-488, -44.73 units] (-0.033)
          * Off L (G1) [612-407, -132.58 units] (-0.130)
          * 1st Home Series [1695-978, -142.59 units] (-0.053)
          * 2nd Home Series [1375-767, -73.25 units] (-0.034)
          * 3rd Home Series [435-224, 22.56 units] (0.034)
          * 4th Home Series [86-54, -20.85 units] (-0.149)
          * 5th Home Series [2-1, 0.40 units] (0.133)
          * 1st Road Series [499-311, -73.37 units] (-0.091)
          * 2nd Road Series [394-251, -54.16 units] (-0.084)
          * 3rd Road Series [103-75, -30.53 units] (-0.172)
          * 4th Road Series [26-15, -1.67 units] (-0.041)
          * 5th Road Series [0-1, -1.80 units] (-1.800)
          * L-->L [276-143, 10.40 units] (0.025)
          * R-->R [2521-1481, -245.21 units] (-0.061)
          * L-->R [978-567, -80.70 units] (-0.052)
          * R-->L [952-554, -71.30 units] (-0.047)
          * Diff. Orientation [1937-1124, -150.93 units] (-0.049)
          * opTeam Diff. Orientation [2052-1148, -91.84 units] (-0.029)
            Comment
            • jjgold
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 07-20-05
              • 388179
              #4
              Guide to Betting Baseball on Bad Teams

              This is how teams below a 40% record play under the following situations.

              * 1st Half of Season [972-1315, -118.06] (-0.052)
              * 2nd half of season [720-971, 71.00] (0.042)
              * National League [785-1005, -26.15] (-0.015)
              * American League [907-1281, -20.91] (-0.010)
              * Divsional Rival [680-835, 100.44] (0.066)
              * Non-Divsional Rival [795-1164, -134.76] (-0.069)
              * Interleague Game [217-287, -12.74] (-0.025)
              * As a dog [1281-1925, -4.95] (-0.002)
              * As a favorite [411-361, -42.11] (-0.055)
              * Off a win [631-788, 21.79] (0.015)
              * Off a loss [1061-1498, -68.85] (-0.027)
              * Off being shut out [116-142, 26.28] (0.102)
              * Off scoring DD [104-130, -2.89] (-0.012)
              * Series Game 1 [559-723, 16.22] (0.013)
              * Series Game 2 [544-726, -9.77] (-0.008)
              * Series Game 3 [499-704, -41.04] (-0.034)
              * Series Game 4 [88-131, -12.92] (-0.059)
              * At Home [949-1038, 58.04] (0.029)
              * On the Road [743-1248, -105.10] (-0.053)
              * In the Playoffs [0-0, 0.00] (0.000)
              * Off LL [675-984, -74.18] (-0.045)
              * Off WW [231-287, -2.76] (-0.005)
              * 5+ WL10 [436-602, -37.80] (-0.036)
              * 7+ WL10 [30-52, -11.47] (-0.140)
              * <=3 WL10 [843-1124, 20.96] (0.011)
              * <=5 WL10 [1530-2069, -34.03] (-0.009)
              * Against team off SO [58-90, -17.61] (-0.119)
              * Vs. team off DD runs [156-252, -46.82] (-0.115)
              * Vs. team off W (G1) [257-353, 5.06] (0.008)
              * Vs. team off L (G1) [302-370, 11.16] (0.017)
              * Off W (G1) [188-244, -1.66] (-0.004)
              * Off L (G1) [371-479, 17.88] (0.021)

              This is how teams below a 45% record play under the following situations.

              * 1st Half of Season [1964-2410, -133.02] (-0.030)
              * 2nd half of season [2279-3004, -108.57] (-0.021)
              * National League [2167-2706, -165.86] (-0.034)
              * American League [2076-2708, -75.73] (-0.016)
              * Divsional Rival [1657-2098, -30.77] (-0.008)
              * Non-Divsional Rival [2083-2680, -158.77] (-0.033)
              * Interleague Game [503-636, -52.05] (-0.046)
              * As a dog [2803-4219, -153.35] (-0.022)
              * As a favorite [1439-1194, -89.24] (-0.034)
              * Off a win [1735-2078, -30.23] (-0.008)
              * Off a loss [2508-3336, -211.36] (-0.036)
              * Off being shut out [254-316, 12.22] (0.021)
              * Off scoring DD [314-348, 11.52] (0.017)
              * Series Game 1 [1384-1683, -4.03] (-0.001)
              * Series Game 2 [1337-1776, -167.11] (-0.054)
              * Series Game 3 [1267-1637, -69.10] (-0.024)
              * Series Game 4 [249-312, -3.25] (-0.006)
              * At Home [2341-2491, -7.74] (-0.002)
              * On the Road [1902-2923, -233.85] (-0.048)
              * In the Playoffs [0-0, 0.00] (0.000)
              * Off LL [1503-2076, -177.56] (-0.050)
              * Off WW [693-847, -53.45] (-0.035)
              * 5+ WL10 [1536-1892, -98.43] (-0.029)
              * 7+ WL10 [210-248, -10.92] (-0.024)
              * <=3 WL10 [1646-2143, -27.99] (-0.007)
              * <=5 WL10 [3548-4632, -259.58] (-0.032)
              * Against team off SO [165-248, -56.24] (-0.136)
              * Vs. team off DD runs [404-597, -94.94] (-0.095)
              * Vs. team off W (G1) [643-873, -58.41] (-0.039)
              * Vs. team off L (G1) [741-810, 54.38] (0.035)
              * Off W (G1) [562-625, 50.19] (0.042)
              * Off L (G1) [822-1058, -54.22] (-0.029)
                Comment
                • BuddyBear
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 08-10-05
                  • 7233
                  #5
                  Valuable information as always Coach....
                    Comment
                    • LT Profits
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 10-27-06
                      • 90963
                      #6
                      You left out my favorite baseball angle - Game 1 Underdogs off of a win. Look it up at that same site under Underdogs,
                        Comment
                        • Wheell
                          SBR MVP
                          • 01-11-07
                          • 1380
                          #7
                          Um, interesting info, but what prompted this huge data release?
                            Comment
                            • LT Profits
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 10-27-06
                              • 90963
                              #8
                              CORRECTION:

                              I meant Game 1 ROAD Underdogs after a win; Look under Road Underdogs and you will see around +145 units or so.
                                Comment
                                • EJandV
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 08-03-07
                                  • 1491
                                  #9
                                  good stuff !
                                    Comment
                                    • biggamer3
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 04-16-07
                                      • 2163
                                      #10
                                      JJ is a Goldmine of useless info





                                      JK good job
                                        Comment
                                        • jjgold
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 07-20-05
                                          • 388179
                                          #11
                                          Here is how road underdogs have done.

                                          1st Half of Season [2590-3691, -102.53] (-0.016)
                                          2nd half of season [2480-3611, -53.63] (-0.009)
                                          National League [2808-3998, -105.18] (-0.015)
                                          American League [2341-3409, -42.43] (-0.007)
                                          Divsional Rival [2193-3030, 96.22] (0.018)
                                          Non-Divsional Rival [2435-3538, -127.57] (-0.021)
                                          Interleague Game [521-839, -116.26] (-0.085)
                                          As a dog [5149-7407, -147.61] (-0.012)
                                          Off a win [2302-3152, 25.33] (0.005)
                                          Off a loss [2812-4209, -179.34] (-0.026)
                                          Off being shut out [304-432, 3.95] (0.005)
                                          Off scoring DD [444-541, 66.99] (0.068)
                                          Series Game 1 [1692-2346, 27.17] (0.007)
                                          Series Game 2 [1577-2398, -162.40] (-0.041)
                                          Series Game 3 [1492-2141, -48.81] (-0.013)
                                          Series Game 4 [273-393, 1.35] (0.002)
                                          On the Road [5149-7407, -147.61] (-0.012)
                                          In the Playoffs [79-105, 8.55] (0.046)
                                          Off LL [1558-2422, -157.79] (-0.040)
                                          Off WW [1057-1495, -67.54] (-0.026)
                                          5+ WL10 [2760-3801, -37.18] (-0.006)
                                          7+ WL10 [748-980, 1.19] (0.001)
                                          <=3 WL10 [1354-2057, -34.56] (-0.010)
                                          <=5 WL10 [3476-5177, -161.89] (-0.019)
                                          Against team off SO [214-305, -7.35] (-0.014)
                                          Vs. team off DD runs [495-759, -45.92] (-0.037)
                                          Vs. team off W (G1) [899-1264, 13.55] (0.006)
                                          Vs. team off L (G1) [793-1080, 15.62] (0.008)
                                          Off W (G1) [856-1040, 148.26] (0.078)
                                          Off L (G1) [836-1306, -121.09] (-0.057)
                                            Comment
                                            • LT Profits
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 10-27-06
                                              • 90963
                                              #12
                                              Make that +148.26!
                                                Comment
                                                • Sam Odom
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 10-30-05
                                                  • 58063
                                                  #13
                                                  Back when SBR had some real capper
                                                    Comment
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