Mets/Florida Over 9 (-125): Florida trends over at home, the Mets bats are lively, and Scott Olsen is in terrible form right now. A rebound by Olsen in this start would be a big surprise, and I see the Mets getting at least 4 or 5 off of him and then another couple against the Florida pen. Pedro had been good, but likely to make a mistake or two before he leaves. After him, the Mets' pen has not been terribly solid of late.
Tampa Bay ML (+140): Boston is banged up and stumbling right now, hardly the kind of team that should be a big road favorite against a quality starter such as Kazmir. Beckett has been pitching great, but Kazmir hasn't been too far off of his pace, and I think this underdog line on TB is a clear-cut notch or two too high.
Dodgers/Ari over 9.5 (-105): The Dodgers' balanced lineup should be able to get to Hernandez, and Loaiza has been struggling of late, and his wildness will not serve him well at Chase. Interestingly, 9 out of Hernandez' last 11 home starts have gone to double digits, with the other 2 reaching 9. LA comes in with a strongish lineup and a weakish starter, so I see value with the over here.
Tampa Bay ML (+140): Boston is banged up and stumbling right now, hardly the kind of team that should be a big road favorite against a quality starter such as Kazmir. Beckett has been pitching great, but Kazmir hasn't been too far off of his pace, and I think this underdog line on TB is a clear-cut notch or two too high.
Dodgers/Ari over 9.5 (-105): The Dodgers' balanced lineup should be able to get to Hernandez, and Loaiza has been struggling of late, and his wildness will not serve him well at Chase. Interestingly, 9 out of Hernandez' last 11 home starts have gone to double digits, with the other 2 reaching 9. LA comes in with a strongish lineup and a weakish starter, so I see value with the over here.
