[doubledime]

VMI added

Atl
Clev -1.5

Good luck

[doubledime]

Points Awarded:

freddues gave doubledime 2 SBR Point(s) for this post.

Thanks fred, always appreciated

[2daBank]

Good morning,

Why Miami is a xFIP Play:

You will notice Miami is significantly better in all the categories, yet they are a +125 dog. I feel there is value here. We shall see.

Miami

xERA STD: 3.64 Last 2: 2.58 Last 2: 2.58 Last 5: 3.54 Last 28: 3.66
FIP STD: 4.59 Last 2: 4.11 Last 2: 4.11 Last 5: 4.32 Last 28: 3.95
xFIP STD: 4.74 Last 2: 3.62 Last 2: 3.62 Last 5: 4.72 Last 28: 4.50

Washington

xERA STD: 5.41 Last 1: 5.14 Last 1: 5.14 Last 1: 5.14 Last 11: 3.9
FIP STD: 6.47 Last 1: 8.80 Last 1: 8.80 Last 1: 8.80 Last 11: 4.99
xFIP STD: 6.18 Last 1: 6.13 Last 1: 6.13 Last 1: 6.13 Last 11: 4.78

My concern here would be Worley facing nats for second start in a row after shutting them down for 7 innings last time out. He flat out dominated them, only allowing 2 hits and only taking 92 pitches to cruise thru 7. While I hate to knock a guy for such a great performance I find myself having to ask can this gas can really blank the nats again? A guy who has allowed hard contact a crazy 42% of the time this season!

On plus side nats throwing out a gas can of their own who sporting a 5.66 minor league era, has already walked 8 guys in 2 big league starts, and unlike Worley got spanked last outing against same team..so fish could certainly just out slug nats in this one, everything to me says over even tho it a pretty high number. Gl buddy

[doubledime]

My concern here would be Worley facing nats for second start in a row after shutting them down for 7 innings last time out. He flat out dominated them, only allowing 2 hits and only taking 92 pitches to cruise thru 7. While I hate to knock a guy for such a great performance I find myself having to ask can this gas can really blank the nats again? A guy who has allowed hard contact a crazy 42% of the time this season!

On plus side nats throwing out a gas can of their own who sporting a 5.66 minor league era, has already walked 8 guys in 2 big league starts, and unlike Worley got spanked last outing against same team..so fish could certainly just out slug nats in this one, everything to me says over even tho it a pretty high number. Gl buddy

Thanks for the input. All valid points Bank. I hope Woley can have another quality outing, though it's always tougher the second time around. As far as the over, the bullpen is rested but the umpire is an over umpire, so I have no opinion on the total.

Good luck DD

[2daBank]

Thanks for the input. All valid points Bank. I hope Woley can have another quality outing, though it's always tougher the second time around. As far as the over, the bullpen is rested but the umpire is an over umpire, so I have no opinion on the total.

Good luck DD

That was mostly just my initial reaction. While I do expect runs there don't think I can pull the trigger on a double digit total w way these offenses performing of late.

[thekoreanmang]

My concern here would be Worley facing nats for second start in a row after shutting them down for 7 innings last time out. He flat out dominated them, only allowing 2 hits and only taking 92 pitches to cruise thru 7. While I hate to knock a guy for such a great performance I find myself having to ask can this gas can really blank the nats again? A guy who has allowed hard contact a crazy 42% of the time this season!

On plus side nats throwing out a gas can of their own who sporting a 5.66 minor league era, has already walked 8 guys in 2 big league starts, and unlike Worley got spanked last outing against same team..so fish could certainly just out slug nats in this one, everything to me says over even tho it a pretty high number. Gl buddy

Nice in put, 2daBank! Always loves helpful and healthy discussion!

[freddues]

Please excuse my ignorance, can you explain what "VMI" represents?

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Thanks fred, always appreciated

[doubledime]

Please excuse my ignorance, can you explain what "VMI" represents?

It an acronym for Visual Memory Index. If you Google it, you can get the full explanation, but the short version is:

The VMI is an index that gauges the degree of today's adjustment for hitters

[Mike Huntertz]

Like Cle -1.5
GL

[doubledime]

Like Cle -1.5
GL

Never in doubt

[doubledime]

Good morning,

Reliever Plays:

Yesterday: 0
YTD: 107-85

Regular Plays:

Yesterday: 0
YTD: 1-10

VMI:

Yesterday: 1-1
YTD: 31-19 +13.15

xFIP first 5 innings totals:

Yesterday: 0
YTD: 58-51

xFIP first 5 innings sides:

Yesterday: 2-1-1(cancelled Cashner did not start)
YTD: 85-72 +19.35

Second Half Plays: (tracking)

Yesterday: 0
YTD: 25-20

[doubledime]

Good morning,

No Reliever Plays

VMI:

Clev -1.5 runs

xFIP first 5 inning sides:

SF
Was -.5
Balt -.5
Bost
Clev -.5
NYY -.5

Second Half Totals: (tracking)

Hou/WS under 4
Det/Pit over 4

That's it

Good luck

[doubledime]

Good morning,

Just edited my first post:

Added xFIP first 5 inning side:

Clev -.5

DD

[Laker_crazy]

Good luck on your plays today DD bro !!

[doubledime]

Good luck on your plays today DD bro !!

Thanks LC and congrats on your great YTD record

[Laker_crazy]

Thanks LC and congrats on your great YTD record

Thanks bro, same goes for you, well done

[doubledime]

Just had time to review the NYY/Toronto game. (one of my sources did not have the NYY pitcher listed until later this morning)

We are adding as a xFIP first 5 inning play:

NYY -.5

Good luck

[matt711]

Nice start

[doubledime]

Nice start

[doubledime]

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Thank you matt

[doubledime]

Good morning,

Reliever Plays:

Yesterday: 0
YTD: 107-85

Regular Plays:

Yesterday: 0
YTD: 1-10

VMI:

Yesterday: 0-1
YTD: 31-20 +12.15

xFIP first 5 innings totals:

Yesterday: 0
YTD: 58-51

xFIP first 5 innings sides:

Yesterday: 4-1-1
YTD: 89-73 +22.30

Second Half Plays: (tracking)

Yesterday: 1-0-1
YTD: 26-20

[doubledime]

Good morning,

The Reliever Play for Thursday:

NYY/Tor over 3.5 second half

The VMI Play:

Mets -1 run

xFIP first 5 inning sides:

Mets -.5
NYY -.5
Clev -.5
WS (our big dog for the day)

Good luck

[doubledime]

Points Awarded:

Rainemaker gave doubledime 2 SBR Point(s) for this post. thekoreanmang gave doubledime 1 Betpoint(s) for this post.

Thanks Rain and Kman

[doubledime]

Why the White Sox today:

Houston
Brad Peacock (R) Age: 29 Typical pitch count: 88.4

xERA STD: 3.04 Last 2: 3.75 Last 5: 3.50 Last 11: 3.21 Last 27: 3.48
FIP STD: 3.02 Last 2: 6.64 Last 5: 3.73 Last 11: 3.18 Last 27: 4.00
xFIP STD: 3.74 Last 2: 4.56 Last 5: 4.42 Last 11: 3.96 Last 27: 4.24


White Sox
Carlos Rodon (L) Age: 24 Typical pitch count: 100.3

xERA STD: 3.17 Last 3: 1.98 Last 6: 2.81 Last 7: 3.17 Last 57: 3.33
FIP STD: 4.80 Last 3: 2.76 Last 6: 4.62 Last 7: 4.80
xFIP STD: 3.88 Last 3: 2.15 Last 6: 3.49 Last 7: 3.88 Last 57: 4.04

You will notice just how close the numbers are in this game with Rodon besting Peacock in a number of categories. I know Houston, on average, score more runs the first five innings (2.53 vs 3.25) but I feel @+155 we still have some very good value here.

DD

[doubledime]

Points Awarded:

freddues gave doubledime 2 SBR Point(s) for this post.

thanks fred

[doubledime]

Points Awarded:

RetardStrength gave doubledime 2 SBR Point(s) for this post.

Thanks RS

[matt711]

Just wondering if Frisco pushed yesterday on 1st 5..... Thanks

[matt711]

I checked scores and odds.... Hopefully they have it wrong

[doubledime]

Just wondering if Frisco pushed yesterday on 1st 5..... Thanks

You're correct, my mistake, just corrected it, thanks.

[Mackballs]

Damn Cleveland...

[hockey129]

We have taken a lot of bad 5th inning beats it feels like over the past 7 days

[doubledime]

Good morning,

Reliever Plays:

Yesterday: 0-1
YTD: 107-86

Regular Plays:

Yesterday: 0
YTD: 1-10

VMI:

Yesterday: 1-0
YTD: 32-20 +13.15

xFIP first 5 innings totals:

Yesterday: 0
YTD: 58-51

xFIP first 5 innings sides:

Yesterday: 1-3
YTD: 90-76 +2020

Second Half Plays: (tracking)

Yesterday: 0
YTD: 26-20

[doubledime]

We have taken a lot of bad 5th inning beats it feels like over the past 7 days

Yes we have. It's about time the pendulum swings the other way.

[doubledime]

Good morning,

Well this was inevitable...... the xFIP system has one side (Col) and VMI has the other (Mia) so it will be a no play.

Reliever Play:

Min/Det over 4.5 second half

xFIP first 5 inning side play:

Mil -.5

Second half plays (still just tracking):

Mets/Phil over 3.5
SD/LAD over 3

Good luck

[thekoreanmang]

You don't like the possibility of hitting the F5 COL ML but MIA winning it full game ML?

Good morning,

Well this was inevitable...... the xFIP system has one side (Col) and VMI has the other (Mia) so it will be a no play.

Reliever Play:

Min/Det over 4.5 second half

xFIP first 5 inning side play:

Mil -.5

Second half plays (still just tracking):

Mets/Phil over 3.5
SD/LAD over 3

Good luck