Baseball System

[TheBet]

I'm considering following a 3 game chase system following the best pitcher available each day?

Ex.
Game 1 of a series = Lay enough to win 1 unit on Giants (Lincecum)
if win, start new series, if lose
Game 2 of a series = Lay enough to earn Game 1 loss + 1 unit on Philly (Halladay)
if win, start new series, if lose
Game 3 of series = Lay enough to cover Game 1+2 + 1 unit on Yankees (Sabathia)
Win or lose start a new series.

Of course the pitchers will vary, but trying to get a teams Ace's each day.

Anyone think it'd be a decent system?

[stealthyburrito]

it'll definitely lose at least once this season if not more, you'd be surprised. Have you done any research for this system?
of course, if you lose a chase you really fukk yourself over.

IMHO its not a good idea

[reverend]

i think you could refine this system with a few small changes. i will probably be doing something similar with a handful of pitchers.

some thoughts...

-only play the pitcher if he is playing at home
-only play the pitcher if he is pitching against an inferior team and inferior pitcher (this has discretion, but basically dont play lincecum at halladay)

-if you are patient and wait for the above matchups when an ace is pitching at home against a #4 or #5 starter, you will get some wins. also you can look at playing the -1 RL to lower the juice

-negative in this system, is you will be paying high juice every game with these matchups

[stealthyburrito]

negative in this system, is you will be paying high juice every game with these matchups

insane juice

[fastpitch_45]

insane juice

big time

[BatemanPatrickl]

Lots of juice

[coanwe]

Mark McGwire + Roger Clemens + A-Rod type juice!!

[Carson05]

i kinda of like the idea of the system that plays the biggest favorite of the day on the runline. no juice, and if you lose, you chase for a few more games.

[saints7011]

i kinda of like the idea of the system that plays the biggest favorite of the day on the runline. no juice, and if you lose, you chase for a few more games.

agree 100%

[EXhoosier10]

IMO Baseball is too unpredictable to only chase those top pitchers.

[floridagolfer]

How are you going to define "best" pitcher? On any given day you could have Sabbathia, Halladay, Lincecum, etc., etc.,

[khaden]

like the run line idea

[talnted]

I doubt this would work over the long term