MLB Picks 8/29

[joseuribe]

Toronto -138 5 Units
Huge pitching advantage here with Halladay vs. Dinardo.A's really struggling right now and Halladay should roll in this spot.A's only hitting .232 at home vs. righties all year and this shouldn't change against a dominant Halladay.
On the other side the Blue Jays excel against lefties hitting
.295 on the year vs. them.Dinardo vs.Jays in his career has pitched 17.1 Inn. giving up 33 hits and 20 ER. Several Jays have had good success in limited AB's against Dinardo.
Glaus 3 for 6 , Hill 6 for 8 with 4 2B's and a HR , R.Johnson 4 for 8, A.Rios 3 for 6, Wells 5 for 8 with a HR.
LAA/Seattle Over 8.5 +105 5 Units
This is my other top play for Wednesday.These two offenses have been on fire ( Last 10 LAA hitting .311 vs.righties and Sea hitting .325 vs. righties ) and they shouldn't cool off today.While Felix Hernandez has been decent of late he has been far from dominant.In 3 starts this year vs. LAA he has pitched 17.2 innings giving up 22 hits, 14 ER and 4 HR.Two of those starts were at home. The Angels big 3 has had huge success off Felix as well. Cabrera is 13 for 23 career, Vlad 9 for 20, and Matthews is 11 for 27. On the other side Weaver has been up and down and has got blasted in his last two on the road.In 2 starts this year vs Sea. he has pitched 10.2 inn. giving up 21 hits and 11 ER.I see some runs being put up in this one.

[joseuribe]

Arizona +137 3 Units
I like Arizona to win at least 1 game in this series and with Young going against them on Thurs. I think this is their best shot. Owings has been decent of late and he pitched six strong in his only start against Pads, going 6 inn giving up 1 run on 4 hits.On the other side the D-Backs have absolutle owned Maddux.Maddux is 1 -10 with 5.28 ERA career vs AZ.He was raked in his only previous start this year vs. them as well.He has been on a pretty decent roll of late,but I still see huge value on the DBacks in this one.
Wash/LAD Under 7.5 -125 2 Units
Nothing tricky here.Two hot pitchers vs. two sub par offenses.Wash bullpen scares me a bit but I'm going with it anyhow.They can't blow another Hill gem can they?
Boston/NYY Under 9.5 2 Units
At first glance I was gonna take Beckett here.You get the better team with the better pitcher at a small dog price.Looking at it closer I like this to be a hell of a pitching duel.Clemens hasn't been spectacular but I see him stepping up here and going 7 strong.He has had great success against the Sox big hitters in his career.Lowell 2 for 11,Ortiz 4 for 19, Manny 9 for 50 and Varitek 3 for 19. On the other side Beckett has been spectacular on the road going 9 - 1 with a 1.90 ERA. The Yankees have had decent success against him in the past,but he has great stuff right now,and I see him coming up big in this one.I could be way off here but I will take a chance with this matchup.

[joseuribe]

Tampa Bay - 123 2 Units
Better pitcher with a hot lineup that has had past success against Trachsel.Seems simple enough for me so I'll take a shot here.
TB/Balt U 9 +105 1 Unit
Mcclelland has umpired 10 straight games under a 9 total.The last time he umped a game that went over 9 was back on June 27th.In the last 5 he's umped there has been an average of 5.80 runs scored.This guy likes to keep the game going and this should definitely be an advantage for the pitchers.Shields is hot and Trachsel is capable of a good outing in this spot.
NYM/Phil Under 11 -115 1 Unit
Always a little crazy to play an under total in this ballpark.And even a little more crazy with these 2 offenses.But 11 is a big number with 2 decent pitchers going in this one.Moyer has been pretty good in his career vs. Mets
(5 -3 with 2.88 ERA) and Perez has the kind of stuff to keep the Phils in check.Both pitchers should get some help from home plate umpire Rapuano who has had a big under tendency this season going 8 - 16 with 7.92 RPG. His big strike zone should really help Moyer since he likes to nibble around the strike zone.
Det/KC Over 10 -115 1 Unit
No special write up for this one.Detroit with 36 hits the last 2 days should be able to put up some runs off a guy who they have owned in limited innings this year.Greinke has pitched 5.2 innings vs. Det this year giving up 12 hits and 10 ER's.On the other side Miller has been absolutely lit up in 3 of his last 4 starts.The Royals should be able to continue this trend.

[MJFtheGenius]

I like your dbacks play, I may play that one. GL