imgv baseball for Tues 8.14.07

onlooker · 08-14-07, 12:59 AM

I am with you on the Devil Rays. That is one of my plays tomorrow.

Good luck IMG.

imgv94 · 08-14-07, 12:59 AM

Cool, had a feeling you were on the Devil Rays.

+130 is way too much value to pass up..

LordSpoon · 08-14-07, 01:02 AM

I agree with you on the Devil Rays, I am going to play them tommarow, they are the under dog here, and they got a great pitcher who had success against the red sox just back on 7/29 winning 5-2, He pitched 6 innings, gave 6 hits and no runs, if he could stay in the game longer I think it make their chances even better. Like you said, sometimes they win, and I think tommarow they have higher potentil for a win than on any other day. PLUS! Lester has been nothing special lately, oh yah and did I mention that Kazmir has an ERA of 1.38 over the last 30 days!

imgv94 · 08-14-07, 01:06 AM

Feel good about the Devil Rays tomorrow...

area51steve · 08-14-07, 01:14 AM

I'm with you on the rockies tommorow. I also like your tampa bay pick. I think I'll add the rays to my other 4 picks tommorow.

imgv94 · 08-14-07, 01:16 AM

What are your other 4 picks?

WestsidePete · 08-14-07, 01:17 AM

Tampa does look good w/Kazmir

LordSpoon · 08-14-07, 01:27 AM

I also agree with you on your pick on colorado, I personally am a Padres fan, but even I know that Maddux isnt what he used to be, he is WAY! over rated. Games started by Maddux can be a bit shaky at times, looking at colorado, ITS HOLLIDAY!!! come on! Plue, Hollidays last 10 starts, resulted in 9 wins for colorado! The loss was way back in early July, Holliday is a winner here, Rockies are a winner, good call!

imgv94 · 08-14-07, 01:31 AM

Let's hope it's a good call bro..

I think +110 is value.. It's a 50/50 game at best. I don't see too many advantages for SD here..

AC1318 · 08-14-07, 01:31 AM

kazmir has been hot last 3

ERA 0.47 WHIP 1.05

I like francis myself but think maddux makes up for the 7/23 game tonight.

that being said I like TB and SD

no opinion on clev det

imgv94 · 08-14-07, 01:36 AM

Love the thread AC!!!

Fuking love it ey..

LordSpoon · 08-14-07, 01:38 AM

For the Cleveland and Detroit game, I am going to Bet on OVER the run total, These two teams are batteling it out for first place, they both have hot bats, and these pitchers have in the recent past had alright, but nothing special, outings against eachother....These teams are going to pull runs out of their ass every 5 minuates to win this game for the first place position.

imgv94 · 08-14-07, 01:40 AM

BTW

I just got Cleveland @ -141 @ Matchcrook..

rjt721 · 08-14-07, 02:05 AM

I agree with all these plays.

I'm holding off on the D'Rays for now with the hope I can find a better price tomorrow.

I think the over is the best way to play the DET/CLEV game, but I do think think the Indians are the right side. Hafner is scheduled to return tomorrow, which will also help.

Good luck tomorrow.

EJandV · 08-14-07, 02:10 AM

Early leans , 5 beasts : Marlins Braves -1.5 Padres Indians Bluejays . 5 home favs , 5 pitchers in category of best that ever did it . Bullpens : can get it done here . best 3 of the 5 Braves Indians Bluejays . most iffy : Marlins .

mark09 · 08-14-07, 10:01 AM

IMGV94,
Like the plays. I have been on Francis (on the road) a lot the last two months and at first look I liked Colorado too. But I am laying off the game as I always layoff (or playon) the pitchers match-up history. SD just seems to crush Francis. He has allowed 33 hits! and 16 runs in his last 3 against SD and that covered just 17 innings. He has given up 5, 6, 5, 5, 4, 3, 5 and 3 runs in his last 8 against SD. Just a rule I play by and beleive in. I don't like Maddux either so I am off this game and I hope I am wrong. GL 2 U all

JBC77 · 08-14-07, 11:02 AM

C.C going for his 15th win. In last night @-138.....good luck guys.

LT Profits · 08-14-07, 01:04 PM

I hate to be the bubble-burster, but thinking I had great value with Tampa Bay +165 with Shields last night, I actually don't think +130 is enough for me to take them.

The Rays have the better starter yes, but the Red Sox are much stronger in every other phase of the game. Plus remember that Kazmir is basically a six or seven inning pitcher, so it is a virtual lock that the Tampa Bay bullpen will be called upon tonight.

I do agree with Colorado, and although I lean Cleveland, I never lay more than -125, so I can't bet them.

austintx05 · 08-14-07, 01:04 PM

Originally posted by imgv94

Recent Posted Leans record: 16-6 +9.89 Units -Based on (1) unit plays-
Early Season Posted Plays 22-21 +4.08 Units
Recent Season Posted Plays 8-12 -3.47 Units
Overall: 44-36 +10.50 Units

1.5* Devil Rays +130
Why the fuk not.. Kazmir is still a stud and the Devil Rays win sometimes. Tampa Bay got 4 runs against Lester last time and Batters are hitting .329 against him this season .302 against him career..

Value like a motherfuker here..

1* Indians -144
Was going to put more on them but baseball is a fuked game..
Sabathia pitching like a rockstar while Bonderman pitching like
a bum. The Bonderman name alone is keeping this line reasonable..

1* Rockies +110
Like Francis alot.. Don't mind taking +110 against SD bats and overpriced Maddux..

Good Luck and thoughts are always welcomed...

GL, but I don't understand your reasoning. Bonderman is keeping the line reasonable? This line is inflated due to Bonderman last 3 starts. If Bonderman had been pitching well this line would be much shorter.

You think Maddux is overpriced? -105 at home..I am failing to see this logic

The HG · 08-14-07, 02:31 PM

Agree strongly with Cle, disagree strongly with Colorado. Everyone is liking Colorado tonight on here, I think everyone is way off on that one.

imgv94 · 08-14-07, 03:14 PM

Originally posted by LT Profits

I hate to be the bubble-burster, but thinking I had great value with Tampa Bay +165 with Shields last night, I actually don't think +130 is enough for me to take them.

The Rays have the better starter yes, but the Red Sox are much stronger in every other phase of the game. Plus remember that Kazmir is basically a six or seven inning pitcher, so it is a virtual lock that the Tampa Bay bullpen will be called upon tonight.

I do agree with Colorado, and although I lean Cleveland, I never lay more than -125, so I can't bet them.

TB bullpen is awful.. 6.11 ERA Ouch. But hey we are getting +130..

JAHgger4noz · 08-14-07, 03:24 PM

The Tribe just got swept in 3 by the Bronx cause of great pitching, Bonderman I would not classify as great pitching in his last 4 (which were loses) Too much Home runs and too many hits he's giving up in that span. This is the Tribes last 2 Home games before they head on the Road for 9...which will see them in MoTown for a 3 game set. I dont see them going 0-5 on this homestand before heading out and their ace is on the mound. Take care of business at home then worry about the road when it comes. Besides CC's 3 loses in his last 4 came due to lack of run support, his number are still what u expect from a 14-game winner. It was almost as if they didnt care about the Bronx Series and were already looking ahead of this match, where u can distance yourself.
He got a whipping in DeeeTroit, but Verlander pitched awesome.

Any opinions on the STL/Milw game? STL looking good to me esp. at +119. ANother huge series. The CArds coming back from the dead, thanks in large part to the fall oout of the Cubs and Brewers. Pujols hitting. Ankiel hitting. LaRussa not bitching. All happy go lucky now with the Cards.

mark09 · 08-14-07, 03:25 PM

Originally posted by imgv94

TB bullpen is awful.. 6.11 ERA Ouch. But hey we are getting +130..

Play the first 5 innings and take the pen out of it. Still get + money.

imgv94 · 08-15-07, 12:29 AM

Wow...

AC1318 · 08-15-07, 12:41 AM

Originally posted by imgv94

Wow...

I wish you better luck tomorrow bro.

imgv94 · 08-15-07, 01:04 AM

I'm getting ready to call it quits soon with baseball my brother..

Just not my forte`....

0-3 -3.94

Recent Posted Leans record: 16-6 +9.89 Units -Based on (1) unit plays-
Early Season Posted Plays 22-21 +4.08 Units
Recent Season Posted Plays 8-15 -7.41 Units
Overall: 44-36 +6.56 Units

austintx05 · 08-15-07, 02:03 AM

gabe - why not listen to me once and awhile?

imgv94 · 08-15-07, 02:27 AM

Listen to what?

austintx05 · 08-15-07, 02:34 AM

i told you that cc was not undervalued here...bondy was obviously the play....

imgv94 · 08-15-07, 02:38 AM

Let me ask you something,

So the next time you are wrong and I'm right, will it be cool for me to go into your thread and say "I told you so"?

Let me know.. Thanks

onlooker · 08-15-07, 02:47 AM

Originally posted by austintx05

i told you that cc was not undervalued here...bondy was obviously the play....

I felt that game was a trap, and said something along those lines in IMG's other thread about the Indians. It was like the books wanted everyone to jump on the Indians because of the shaky Bonderman.

austintx05 · 08-15-07, 03:08 AM

Originally posted by imgv94

Let me ask you something,

So the next time you are wrong and I'm right, will it be cool for me to go into your thread and say "I told you so"?

Let me know.. Thanks

you need to chill. I remember you talking about baseball struggles since early april. So I offered my perspective. I don't recall saying I told you so. I never got a response out of you from my earlier post, so I just assumed I was being ignored. I thought we were cool, but I guess I have done something wrong here....

EJandV · 08-15-07, 06:17 PM

Is always easy to play the role of guru after the final scores pop up , the Indians could of easily won the game and really deserved it more than the end result , player makes spectacular play and the pedlum swings towards a team , it was the tigers last night . The smart pick was to take the indians it just didnt work out , still the play was indians . No matter what the result . I had braves straight and had the mets so I went 5 - 1 but had the tribe on most of my parlays , avoiding the lemon is guru , cant always avoid it . My picks tonight are phils braves -1.5 indians bjays padres-1.5 If I am 0 - 5 doesnt mean anything , is just 1 night , if 5 - 0 same thing . Is 1 day out of the year this applies evry day .