Friday Board :

bigboydan · 08-10-07, 12:52 PM

I'm with you on the Padres, and I do like the Brewers tonight. However I like them on the ML.

EJandV · 08-10-07, 12:59 PM

Brew are -200 +1.5 and -110 straight so if you do a hailmary 10 teamer you would always take the run and not be greedy . I know you probably dont do hailmarys just letting you know as a rule you would always take the + 1.5 since it is there on small money hailmary to make lil chunk , being greedy can really bite you in the azz , esp in baseball with so many 1 run results . For say 30 $ you can do TEN 3$ hailmarys and if you have a good system all ten can be checks , if everything goes right of course . When you cover the fav with the + 1.5 they can easily be fav win by a run so more checks on your paper and in the mail . You can look at it as 30 $ to burn so no biggie , if one thinks negative about the long shot strategy .

simple example parlay favs on all TEN , result is big fav day say 12 - 3 favs , I would think you would get 2 or 3 $300 - $500 parlays right on that given night .

BatemanPatrickl · 08-10-07, 01:04 PM

Originally posted by EJandV

Brew are -200 +1.5 and -110 straight so if you do a hailmary 10 teamer you would always take the run and not be greedy . I know you probably dont do hailmarys just letting you know as a rule you would always take the + 1.5 since it is there on small money hailmary to make lil chunk , being greedy can really bite you in the azz , esp in baseball with so many 1 run results . For say 30 $ you can do team 3$ hailmarys and if you have a good system all ten can be checks , if everything goes right of course . When you cover the fav with the + 1.5 they can easily be fav win by a run so more checks on your paper and in the mail . You can look at it as 30 $ to burn so no biggie , if one thinks negative about the long shot strategy .

I have hit 4 team parlays but nothing past that. Hitting a ten team parlay must be a long shot.

Have you ever hit one? Good luck with your plays!

EJandV · 08-10-07, 01:27 PM

Oh yeah I have hit 10 teamers , all in all around a 5 % clip since 1998 . A big super duper way to do it is have the 10th play as 1 that comes on after the other 9 are finished , so you have a lock . I have had 1 left to complete my haolmarys at about a 15 % clip . Sooooooooooooooo many is amazing really . Example of how I do it . Last play is sunday night game in mlb , nfl , ncaab , of course monday night football , OMG ! One that really blew my mind from last year I needed Falcons at Saints early on in mnf for a nice chunk and we know what happened . I must have really been lost on that one thinking the Falcons all day ez , then all the talk about the people staying and living inside the stadium and the ghosts , waht a bunch of shit . Then of couse the true beast was revealed as the season went on , Saints were the shiznik and the Falcons were trash . why didnt I know this early on , all this I'm saying is for future reference and some form of brainstorm to find the true ability to dodge the lemon , is what I call it , dodging the lemon , if I can just get by that 1 bs result , am in there that given day . Yeah 10 teamers are not so hard because I have the favs and on nice majority fav result days is high % my notebook paper for that day will be checks everywhere on the page . The Lemon or lemons in my world are basically the dogs . Of course I do all kinds of strategies , balanced parlays 1 fav 1 dog , 2 favs 2 dogs , but more so I click the favs in and look for nice fav result day . Do I always cover myself when I need 1 to complete the parlays that are all over my pages in my notebook ? No and has cost me alot by not doing so , like the exaple with the Saints , no way I was covering myself because I really believed in Mr Dog Fight to run all over them people in NewO , yeah my list is as long as this mlb season , goes on and on , of course I dont recomend doing 10 teamers for different reasons , but really is all about how much money someone has to work with . Doing sigle wagers is no doubt the smartest most solid way to bet on anythign because you just need ONE THING TO HAPPEN LIKE FLIPPING A COIN . But of course that takes alot of discipline to be able to roll like that and not add more teams that at the time you really feel strong about , so in one form or another greed is a big thing to conquer consistenly . If a person does know everything it is not any recipe for success neccessarily , because knowing and doing are so far apart it isint funny . I say more times than I can count after the games are over and I am looking back at my notes who I liked and other $ notes and I didnt do most of what I knew to do as far as clicking it in . This is true big time I know for many and applies to what I am writting , that people may read something on here and say duh no shit I knew that or whatever but they are not really reading it or thinking , much less applying the info. Hope you understand

EJandV · 08-10-07, 01:41 PM

Correction my % of hitting 10 teamers is not 5 % is more like not even a % , lol , hit 1 like every 11 days is what it breaks down to in #s since 1998 . The # of times I just needed 1 to complete my 10 teamers is crazy , is like I said when I first came on here , I go 9 - 1 like most go 1 -1 , alot !!!!

EJandV · 08-10-07, 01:49 PM

Doing hailmarys is okay if you dont just rely on that , if you mix it up and do high % plays for that day as well .

EJandV · 08-10-07, 02:17 PM

The online casino bs has been my achilles heel the past 3 years so much in $ terms . Getting parlays right is pretty much a joke to me as far as difficulty level . My wife , not blaming just the truth , started that bs then I would go on there and try and be the big mr save the day and get back what she lost , yeah , you know they cant control the sports games so that is their way of making sure they never lose as a company and always come out ahead , is too ez really , I am so against the online casino thing it isint funny . If I were the owner of the gaming company man I would say yes get those players get em recruit em , we need em , come on guys , my yacht needs a new paint job , yeah is f - ing bs !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! More on that is if you do wager sports you are targeted more , if you only play the caino and thats what your account is usd for , you may duck the bs , just think about it , is common sense , pretend like u own the company orhave invested the company ! Would you let someone make 2 or 3 thousand dollars on a sunday and then let them click on casino and do well there too ? OMG !!! They would / will / have get some of what you made as a sports investor back , if not put you in the hole when you should be up 2 grand for the day , is a no brainer of this well schemed design and anyone thinks they are above what I typed is just a sucker , if you dont fall into that category then you are rare . Just what I believe , and is no brainer from my heart and mind .

Dont be a sucker !!!!!!!!!!!!

EJandV · 08-10-07, 10:36 PM

Nice job to pick out 2 winners in Pads and Brew Crew BigDan . Brew up now by a run and here comes Cordero ! Very nice

EJandV · 08-10-07, 10:39 PM

Why I would go for nice fav result night with picks is because it is a strategy . Did I think friday would be nice fav day ? No or better hell no . Sat and Sun are the big fav days by the numbers / histroy . Like players were used to playing the big game over the weekend growing up year after year so is more true day , is one reason , so the best get it done .

EJandV · 08-11-07, 01:50 AM

8 - 7 dogs prevail , 1st place beasts go 3 - 3 , yawns .