Seattle Mariners (Weaver) @ Toronto Blue Jays (Towers)

The HG · 07-21-07, 09:31 AM

Interesting play dh, why do you like this one in particular? It is a high total, but both starters can get hit and both lineups can hit guys when they're asking to get hit.

It's an interesting line from a capping perspective. Why did you single out this one as one you particularly like?

EaglesPhan36 · 07-21-07, 11:39 AM

Ruh roh. This is an under play I made too and you know I hate UNDERS. Here's my reasoning, Towers 4-1 with a reasonable ERA vs. Seattle and 3 for 3 in unders for day starts. Weaver has three straight "adequate" road starts and shut down this TOR lineup in Seattle just a few weeks ago.

The HG · 07-21-07, 11:46 AM

Well I have to disagree with you both, I like the over in this one, I took it at 10 at about -120.

Towers is going to be vulnerable here IMO, his daytime record this year is anomalous.

And Weaver is likely to be vulnerable here as well (if you're into day/night splits, check out HIS daytime performance this year). Facing Toronto at Safeco is quite different from facing them at the Rogers Center.

I think the over has decent value here actually, I think it might be double digits by the 5th.

moses millsap · 07-21-07, 12:05 PM

The line on this game is going crazy, in regards to both the side and total. I believe Toronto got as high as -128 this morning and the total was U10.5 -125ish, 5 minutes ago, -114 and O10.5 -115, now Toronto gets hit again and the total settles for the most part.

EaglesPhan36 · 07-21-07, 12:18 PM

I also have Seattle at +116 in a three team parlay, so hopefully if the total goes out of whack - the Ms can still keep me alive elsewhere.