No Rainouts Here

[JR007]

9:40pm, AZ, +104 b

to those on this team and wager.

Good morning all ....to hot to sleep in Boston......Ta thanks for the play

[JR007]

Real nice season trending JR007 post. I know it's a lot of work, but have you done this with the other teams and would you be willing to updating this information or e-mail it to me, so I can run a set of my numbers with this to see if we can find some free-money? If not, it's not a problem nor an issue.

TA Should have clarified...this is not my research..i gleen this from other sources...I will pm you where I get this ...so as not to clutter the thread...Rules infraction...if I post ...the mods

[JR007]

Again, sorry that this was misleading

[CarolinaDaze]

Good to see you still doing well TA. I look forward to your picks everyday.

[JR007]

The Indians called it "firewater"....LDK

[Duby]

Another great night...congrats

[bdavies26]

Great night last night TA. Looking forward to tonight's picks.

[PickSix]

GL today, TA. Hope I will be able to catch ur plays today. flying to atl and it's gonna take all day...

[therber2]

Just bring this post forward (from page 7):

Future Tickets From 03.08.10
1411, CLE or DET win AL Central, +170,
-------------------------------------------
1461, STL win NL Central, -135,
------------------------------------------
1472, CO win NL West,
-----------------------------------------
2017, CO over 84' wins,
-------------------------------------------
2019, DET over 81' wins,

Have had this booked a month or so into the season. I think it'll happen, and I agree with DET over 81 Let's $$

Real nice season trending JR007 post. I know it's a lot of work, but have you done this with the other teams and would you be willing to updating this information or e-mail it to me, so I can run a set of my numbers with this to see if we can find some free-money? If not, it's not a problem nor an issue.

Nuthin better than free money. Hehe.

Rangers and STL parlay today along with Rangers play. I feel like I've been betting the Rangers too much, but they continue to check as a play.

GL today guys.

[danrman]

laying off st.louis

[dodger33]

I really like Houston. Stl is only 3-6 on AW's road starts. Be careful. Also i think cleveland has good value as Shields is not very good.

[jolmscheid]

Hey TA thanks for the reply on the units...so if you have $100 units, then you have made OVER $18,000 this mlb season??!!!! Are you serious? WOW.....I just can't see how you can put down like 10% of your bankroll on one play! I want to follow your units EXACTLY but I have to be certain that it is OK for me to be wagering 1% per unit....so is that all correct? Thanks TA!!!! And keep up the awesome work!

[therber2]

laying off st.louis

I really like Houston. Stl is only 3-6 on AW's road starts. Be careful. Also i think cleveland has good value as Shields is not very good.

Yes Houston does look like a tempting play today, but I think the Cards are in a good spot to turn their slump around. We'll see. GL guys.

[PickSix]

I think the under might be the best play on Houston/St. Louis game. Career wise, both pitchers are pretty good against their opposing team.

[JVP3122]

Hey TA thanks for the reply on the units...so if you have $100 units, then you have made OVER $18,000 this mlb season??!!!! Are you serious? WOW.....I just can't see how you can put down like 10% of your bankroll on one play! I want to follow your units EXACTLY but I have to be certain that it is OK for me to be wagering 1% per unit....so is that all correct? Thanks TA!!!! And keep up the awesome work!

I asked something similar not too long ago. TA essentially said that the plays earlier on aren't going to be that large.

[JR007]

[COLOR=#000000 !important]Today...let's talk baseball. We have a few teams who don't look so bad in the full season standings, but are actually struggling over the past month. We have some teams who are playing very well, but the full season records disguise it.
We'll start in the American League...
AL BEST (records through Tuesday Night)
Chicago White Sox 22-8
Texas 21-9
NY Yankees 19-11
Boston 18-12
Detroit 18-12
LAA 18-12
Kansas City 16-14
Tampa Bay 15-15
That list tells a few stories, doesn't it? Chicago and Texas have been on fire. The Yankees and Red Sox are just consistently good right now. Detroit has picked up its pace again after a bit of sluggishness. The Angels make it a six-pack of teams who are playing at 60% or better over their last 30 games.
We have to say that oddsmakers have done a decent job keeping up with the powers. Texas got very expensive at home very quickly. Kudos to the guys behind the line for that. The White Sox, though, haven't been priced anywhere near the other guys even though they're playing at a high level as well. There's two parts to taking advantage of recent form. Knowing what's happening, AND finding value!
How about Kansas City?! Did you have them as a winning team? Are you counting them the same as Tampa Bay, or even the Minnesota Twins team you're about to see in the next group? It's been a tough year for underdog bettors. The Royals have the look of a team that may provide value for the foreseeable future. You had probably stopped paying attention to them several weeks ago. Put them back on your radar.
AL WORST
Minnesota 14-16
Cleveland 13-17
Oakland 12-18
Seattle 12-18
Toronto 10-20
Baltimore 10-20
Were you pricing Toronto the same as Baltimore? Over the last month, they've been playing that badly. This is fairly typical for the franchise. They bring energy early in the season, but wear down from their grueling divisional schedule. This year, they have even less depth than normal (and they lost three home games to an economic summit!).
Oakland and Seattle have been matching each other for awhile. The market has been very slow to knock Oakland down to Seattle's level. Oddsmakers wanted to think of them as a contender like the Angels and Rangers.
You can see that Minnesota is having trouble keeping pace with the other AL contenders. There's not much margin for error when there are so many good AL teams. Some of their rotation pitchers have to figure out how to get people out on the road.

NL BEST
NY Mets 20-10
San Diego 17-13
Atlanta 17-13
Cincinnati 17-13
Colorado 17-13
Colorado would be 16-14 if not for that miracle comeback the other night. This is a good group, but kind of a "grinder's" group outside of the Mets. A record of 17-13 really isn't that much better than .500 over a month. Atlanta's success is so home heavy that you have to be cautious thinking of them as championship material.
We have to admit that we like what we're seeing in the NL this year. It really has taken a step forward in its battle with the AL. Remember that IL action plays a big role in this particular set of numbers. Only four teams make the playoffs. Five are playing like they want to be there, and the LA Dodgers would be a sixth if not for very bad luck in their AL draw. Let's get to the teams who are treading water.
NL .500 HUNK
St. Louis 15-15
Philadelphia 15-15
Milwaukee 15-15
LA Dodgers 15-15
All three divisional champions from last year are in this group...and all three are capable of making it back to the playoffs this year. So, we really have some nice pennant races shaping up. Will be fun to hop back and forth from football to baseball with so much to talk about here in the NOTEBOOK!
Don't lose sight of Milwaukee. There's a lot to dislike about that team. They're basically playing at the same level as St. Louis and Philadelphia now. If you don't hate them, you shouldn't hate Milwaukee.
NL WORST
San Francisco 14-16
Chicago Cubs 13-17
Houston 13-17
Florida 12-18
Arizona 12-18
Washington 11-19
Pittsburgh 8-22
Not many surprises here. San Francisco cooled off...but it wasn't as bad as it seemed. It's just that they went 14-16 while so many other teams were checking in above .500. Note that Florida is probably playing worse than you realized. Low payrolls usually take their toll eventually. The lack of action at the managerial position can't be helping. We have to say we're disappointed with Arizona's response to the Kirk Gibson hiring. If you're passionate about baseball, you find a way to win home games against the Cubs.
We've been warning you about Washington for awhile. The hype about Steven Strasburg has hidden the fact that the team is about as bad as they were last year right now. We are seeing separation between Houston and Pittsburgh in this study, meaning we may have to stop linking those two together as Double-A caliber teams.
The deeper you get into a Major League season, the more misleading your newspaper standings can be. We warn you about this all the time. Given the volume of football coverage coming up in the next few weeks, we don't want you to lose sight of that! There's nothing worse than making good baseball money in the first half of the season, then losing it back in July and August with poorly considered bets that are out of touch with the changing reality of the sport.
Don't let this happen to you![/COLOR]
__________________

[JR007]

May be some value with the Stros...Wainwright only 3-5 on the road

[mebaran]

Note: Current numbers are accurate.

Keep up the good work this month and beyond T.

[Duby]

Definate value on Houston IMO

[Tomasitas]

TA You follow line moving before the game? cause You share Your picks before game time...

[danrman]

going contrarian on the sf-wash total
over 3 1st 5innings-small play
over 6 1/2 game small play

[danrman]

phila-2 units
atl-1 unit
reverse parlay hedge

[TodaysAction]

7:05pm, DET -133 5D,

to those on this team and wager.

[TodaysAction]

7:07pm, BOS, -133 5D,

to those on this team and wager.

[todd24kb]

Good luck danrman. I like your over 6.5 in Giants/Nats game.

I took Giants -1.5 (+210) for 1x.

[todd24kb]

7:07pm, BOS, -133 5D,

to those on this team and wager.

Thanks TA. My first instinct was Red Sox but I doubted myself after taking some time researching the game. Will tail you on this one. Good luck to us!!!

[JR007]

Thanks

[tischa]

so as a favourite you play them WITH 5 Units, not FOR 5 right?

[fenek]

so as a favourite you play them WITH 5 Units, not FOR 5 right?

no, i think favos to win 5, and dogs with 5 ..

good luck TA, i have the redsox and tigers as well!

[danrman]

w/ ya on det and boston TA

[Pauulzcappin]

7:05pm, DET -133 5D,

to those on this team and wager.

I'm on it also fairly big, let's cash it.

[tischa]

hoping for a quick answer to eventually raise my stake ;-)

good luck on that one

[TodaysAction]

Good job, TA

Thank you Pauulzcapping and hope your night was equally as well if not better.

I did i am sorry. I shouldn't even be on here right now but its so hard to stay away. Thank you for sharing your story, I am going to send another email tomorrow. I have a really big test tomorrow and I have been spending every free second away from work studying.

All good dodger33. Things happen for a reason. Looking forward to it. PLEASE STUDY FOR YOUR TEST, while this place will miss your input we all understand (or should) the importance of an education.

very nice sir, in the $$

Nice day for you
Keep up the good work TA

Thank you Full Time Hobo. I see you too have changed up your avatar.

[TodaysAction]

so as a favourite you play them WITH 5 Units, not FOR 5 right?

Favs played to win.
Dogs risk.

[fataliz]

7:05pm, DET -133 5D,

to those on this team and wager.

good luck TA. tigers seem to be a fav pick for you i noticed.