Davies/Slowey Under

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  • Razz
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 08-22-05
    • 5632

    #1
    Davies/Slowey Under
    Kevin Slowey is the next in the line of young Twins pitchers to make an impact at the big league level. Here are his career minor league numbers: 11-7, 1.96 ERA, 0.80 WHIP. Damn strong.
    His first two starts were on the road against Oakland and LAA. Neither start was particularly impressive, but he escaped them with a 1-0 record and a 4.09 ERA. He should be better at home, and against a Braves lineup that has been in a bit of a funk this month.
    Kyle Davies has been up and down lately. Really up and down.

    May 11 - 7.0 IP, 7 hits, 1 run, 1 ER, Win
    May 16 - 4.2 IP, 5 hits, 6 runs, 2 ER, Loss
    May 22 - 8.0 IP, 6 hits, 1 run, 1 ER, Win
    May 27 - 4.1 IP, 8 hits, 8 runs, 8 ER, Loss
    June 1 - 7.0 IP, 6 hits, 1 run, 1 ER, Win
    June 6 - 5.0 IP, 6 hits, 5 runs, 5 ER, Loss

    I'm not putting a lot of stock into the alternate good/bad start thing, but it does seem he is poised for a good outing here. After giving up 5 quick runs to the Marlins, he settled in nicely, retiring the last eight batters he faced, with 6 of 8 outs by strikeout. He should have a lot of success against the Twins.
    I'm not too worried about either bullpen. I think this one is something in the 4-2 range. Pretty strong play for me.

    2.5* Under 9.5 -110

    Everything else:
    1* Diamondbacks +165
    1* Rockies +165
    1* Pirates -109
    1* Nationals +162
  • EBone
    SBR MVP
    • 08-10-05
    • 1787

    #2
    I'm gonna take a small bet on this total Razz as well. I was actually real disappointed with Slowey's first 2 starts. I thought he'd be a lot better in those 2 starts than he was. So, I'll throw some money on the total just because I think Slowey is better than what he showed in his 1st 2 starts and hope your analysis is correct on Davies.

    No opinion on 3 of the other 4. I am on Texas in the Tex/Pitt game. Good luck to you.


    E
    Comment
    • bigboydan
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 08-10-05
      • 55420

      #3
      I'm glad to see I'm not the only one out there on this forum to like the Rockies tonight.

      GL to you Razz
      Comment
      • Razz
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 08-22-05
        • 5632

        #4
        Being reported that Chipper may play DH tonight, and Renteria will be given the night off. For what it's worth.
        Comment
        • The HG
          SBR MVP
          • 11-01-06
          • 3566

          #5
          I hear what you're saying on this one Razz, but it makes me uncomfortable. Minnesota hasn't been hitting much lately, but they should start hitting better very soon. And Atlanta should start picking it up as well. If I were going to bet this under, I'd go light, and I'd definitely take a half-run or full run lower at underdog odds due to volatility of Davies, and Minnesota's lineup.

          But I don't know, it makes me uncomfortable, I might bet the over.
          Comment
          • Razz
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 08-22-05
            • 5632

            #6
            I'm probably crazy, but:

            1* Reds +147
            Comment
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