I know a few of you really like the dogs. Has anybody looked at the benefits of taking the favorites and playing the run line instead and getting +money. I wonder if that pays out as well as rolling the dice with dogs?
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Once in a while I will take some RL's at plus money, if I like the favorite enough.Comment -
RLs are tough because even if you get that dominant start from the stud pitcher you liked ... most bullpens in the league always give the other team a chance to F ya!Comment -
That's a good question, macdad.
I've generally come to the conclusion like most on this forum. Favorites are only worth playing @ -130 or less. That is not to say that I have not stepped out and played some big favorites even this year (Oswalt @ home versus Milwaukee comes to mind which, by the way, was a loser).
It probably is the better way to go. I can't say definitively that it is. I'd say it is probably better to go -1.5 home favorites rather than road favorites (that is just based on my gut and not on facts). My experience with road favorites hasn't been very good. I have always wanted to try the opposite of what you are proposing and use the ALT Run Line on underdogs and see what that would yield.
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