Yesterday: 1-2 -1.10 units
YTD: 34-31-3 +2.53 units
Not a very good month of April. Hopefully May will be much better.
1.5* Marlins/Mets over 10 -105: Both offenses fared well on Monday, combining for 26 hits and 15 runs, and I expect tonight to be more of the same. After Chan Ho Park got roughed up last night, the Mets turn to Mike Pelfrey, who isn't much of an improvement, which is saying something considering Park's deficiencies. At this point in his career, Pelfrey is no more than a minor league pitcher, but due to injuries in the Mets' rotation, he is with the big club. Ricky Nolasco will be making his first appearance since early April for FLA, and his career numbers against NY are not pretty: 0-3, 19.73 ERA, 8.2 IP, 26 H, Opp. Avg. 520.
1* Orioles +115: I really like Adam Loewen. He has had control problems, but when he is throwing strikes he can be a dominating lefty. He outpitched Josh Beckett in his last start before the bullpen let him down. Chad Durbin was great in his last outing against the White Sox, but that was against a depleted ChiSox lineup that was missing Thome and Jermaine Dye. The O's already hammered Durbin for 9 hits and 6 runs last month, and I think they do it again.
1* Twins -105: Maybe I'm crazy for backing Ponson here, but I think this is a good spot for the Twins and a nice price. Ponson will likely get hit hard pitching at the Trop, but Minnesota will score off Edwin Jackson as well. There's a good chance both starter's don't last long and are out of the game by the 5th, in which case Minnesota will have a significant advantage with their bullpen.
YTD: 34-31-3 +2.53 units
Not a very good month of April. Hopefully May will be much better.
1.5* Marlins/Mets over 10 -105: Both offenses fared well on Monday, combining for 26 hits and 15 runs, and I expect tonight to be more of the same. After Chan Ho Park got roughed up last night, the Mets turn to Mike Pelfrey, who isn't much of an improvement, which is saying something considering Park's deficiencies. At this point in his career, Pelfrey is no more than a minor league pitcher, but due to injuries in the Mets' rotation, he is with the big club. Ricky Nolasco will be making his first appearance since early April for FLA, and his career numbers against NY are not pretty: 0-3, 19.73 ERA, 8.2 IP, 26 H, Opp. Avg. 520.
1* Orioles +115: I really like Adam Loewen. He has had control problems, but when he is throwing strikes he can be a dominating lefty. He outpitched Josh Beckett in his last start before the bullpen let him down. Chad Durbin was great in his last outing against the White Sox, but that was against a depleted ChiSox lineup that was missing Thome and Jermaine Dye. The O's already hammered Durbin for 9 hits and 6 runs last month, and I think they do it again.
1* Twins -105: Maybe I'm crazy for backing Ponson here, but I think this is a good spot for the Twins and a nice price. Ponson will likely get hit hard pitching at the Trop, but Minnesota will score off Edwin Jackson as well. There's a good chance both starter's don't last long and are out of the game by the 5th, in which case Minnesota will have a significant advantage with their bullpen.
