KayveBear 4/22 Play of the day

**BuddyBear** · 04-22-07, 11:22 AM

Good luck Kayvebear...i would lean to Houston myself but won't play it. I don't have much of an opinion on the total here.

You have any opinion on the PITT/LAD game this afternoon...leaning toward LAD.

**kayvebear** · 04-22-07, 11:26 AM

I am not betting on LAD for a bit. What a heart attack last night.

I had LAD scoring over 4 and LAD money line, for a lot last night. They came back and won both bets in extra innings on an absolute fluke last night. I watched entire game, and their hitting looked terrible. Snell is good, but not as good as LAD was bad. The only reason LAD tied that game is from 3 complete flukes (walk, wild pitch to 2nd, error brings batter to third, passed ball brings him home for tie winning run). My fantasy player hit up the grand slam last night which was nice from every angle for me, but makes me nervous betting on LAD again until they get their bearings in check.

**kayvebear** · 04-22-07, 11:28 AM

Heres the deal with HOU. Oswalt has not been pitching good this year. I follow him closely, he is on my fantasy team. He is giving up 3-6 runs a game it seems. Simultaneously, he is getting more run support then any other pitcher on the team. Its like the players are more confident when he pitches, and they hit better. He is 3-0 solely because of his run support. Combine those two factors, and over 8 should be a cakewalk, especially at +105

Assuming oswalt is going to pitch better than his last outting (worst of the season), + the run support from HOU who could use a win, both bets should come right in. My fav pick of the day. Will post the rest of mine later.

**BuddyBear** · 04-22-07, 11:46 AM

I watch the Brewers a lot and bush is very underrated.....I think though this might be a game that the Astros win like 2-1or 3-0 something like that....i'd lean HOU but won't play it.

I am playing the CHW/DET under 8.5 (+105) for now...maybe STL..maybe LAD but just one for now. Good luck KB

**kayvebear** · 04-22-07, 11:51 AM

You too Buddy@ Nice having some bears around here. This is my first day on the forums - friend just reco'd this place to me.

**kayvebear** · 04-22-07, 12:40 PM

OK Just locked in my first bet today. Line changed on me for the better.

2.5 units : HOU -127
2 units : HOU/MIL Over 7.5 -110

**kayvebear** · 04-22-07, 12:52 PM

Just added TEX, -110 for 2.2 units.

**The HG** · 04-22-07, 12:55 PM

I think the Houston play is solid, although I'm not sure about the over, and both for the same reason: Oswalt has been fine this year. He's given up 1 run in every start except one, where he got hit hard. But overall, I'm not sure why you're so down on him KV. But I do think Hou is a decent play here. Bush is underrated a bit, but with the Hou offense clicking and Oswalt likely to have another strong start, I think they have value even as a road favorite.

**ShowMeDaMoney** · 04-22-07, 01:14 PM

On Houston as well. Also playing the Cards, like Wainright alot this year.

**kayvebear** · 04-22-07, 01:22 PM

Lets do it showmedamoney .... you seem like a really cool guy from the start. !

**kayvebear** · 04-22-07, 01:39 PM

Added 3 units on the SF Giants scoring over 4.5 ..

**kayvebear** · 04-22-07, 03:13 PM

Getting shelled so far on my play of the day. whoops!

just put 5 units on BOS tonight hitting 5.5 or more runs +100.

**kayvebear** · 04-22-07, 04:18 PM

Tough start to the day. This is tilty - but here we go.

4 units on NYY hitting 4 or more runs. 2 units on SOX -1.5 Let's fire it up

)

**kayvebear** · 04-22-07, 05:44 PM

Tonights madness after a bad morning. (tilt?)

FUN

OK - Doing exactly what your not supposed to do, but here it is, and wish me luck! If I win, bye bye credit card bill, if I lose, hello new job which starts tuesday AM, and bye bye gambling!

))

Tough start today.

Lost 2.5 units on Houston
Lost 2 units on HOU/OVER
Lost 3 units on Giants/over
Won 2 units on TEX

-5.5 units on the day.

Bets for this evening: (I know I am nuts, wish me luck).
5 Units, Red Sox Over 5.5 runs
4 Units, Yankees Over 4 runs
2 Units, SOX -1.5
3.2 Units, SOX -160

Obviously hoping for final score, 8 - 5 red sox. GO BETS!

**kayvebear** · 04-22-07, 11:11 PM

added 1 unit parlay right before the game for sox ML / over 10.5 which came in .

They all came in except the run line. Good day all. Im taking a break for a bit. up too much in one week to continue. congrats all.