need help with ws picks

[paul8888]

i would appreciate your input on what i should bet before the ws begins.
at the moment, i have the NYY to win. i picked them when the playoffs started, risking $120 to win $200.

Now, i am consider hedging the bet. do you think that would work? i have the following lines i can bet on. i was thinking of betting both phils to win 4-2 and 4-3:

11:00 PM MLB EXACT SERIES OUTCOME
20981 NYY 4 : 0 +475
20982 NYY 4 : 1 +500
20983 NYY 4 : 2 +300
20984 NYY 4 : 3 +380
20985 PHI 4 : 0 +1100
20986 PHI 4 : 1 +980
20987 PHI 4 : 2 +700
20988 PHI 4 : 3 +600

11:00 PM MLB SERIES OUTCOME
20989 WORLD SERIES ENDS IN 4 GAMES +350
20990 WORLD SERIES ENDS IN 5 GAMES +315
20991 WORLD SERIES ENDS IN 6 GAMES +190
20992 WORLD SERIES ENDS IN 7 GAMES +160

[ragiche]

Everyone is talking about the yankees to win it all.They have the bats and pitching in this series,no doubt about that.The only problem is the relievers they are not consistent at all.And as for their closer (Rivera) no problem on that spot.So,yankees starting pitchers must last at least 6.2 to full 7 innings to win games as they are only using 3 pitchers in their rotation.The phillies also have the bats to match up with the bombers of ny.They have a decent reliever in Happ and blanton.The only problem is the closer (Lidge) he choke most of the time and you know that most tight games are mostly decided on the closer of the team.So,to make it short advanatge in overall pitching are the phillies why? Because the yankees only using 3 pitchers in the postseason and they using up their relievers most (Tired arms) They can't continue on like this eventhough they have success in their past series.This is no joke it's the WS so one must have that rest.If i'm going to bet just for a long shot,I'll put $20 on the phillies to win in 5.They can't afford going back to ny to win in 6 or 7 that would be hard for them.The phillies just only need to win one in ny and finish it up at home.These are only my thoughts and insight for this series.Hope this helps.Good Luck on your Bets .

[ragiche]

BTW,I've just played the phillies +172 for $800 to win the WS.Hope they win .

[WhatAboutMeBitch]

I wouldn't hedge

[Mybologne]

Let's go METS!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!