Baseball Systems

[dirtyjock]

Any1 have any good baseball systems they know of. If so please share with us Ill be working on making some new 1s soon

[RickySteve]

Small home favorites facing lefthanded starters on Thursday day games coming off a road trip of less than 1000 miles. However, if the wind is blowing in or Terry Tata is behind the plate, then take the other side parlayed with the 1st five innings under.

[trustbutverify]

A) Find out who I'm betting on.

B) Bet the opposite.

C) Repeat.

[onlooker]

Small home favorites facing lefthanded starters on Thursday day games coming off a road trip of less than 1000 miles. However, if the wind is blowing in or Terry Tata is behind the plate, then take the other side parlayed with the 1st five innings under.

Noted.

[LT Profits]

Why the sarcasm guys? It was a legitimate question.

Personally, after May 1, I like to bet any underdog with a bullpen ERA in the Top 10 in the Majors vs. a favorite that is not in the top 10 pen ERA.

[onlooker]

I agree LT, a list of systems would be interesting to see. To see the angles of others.

[bigboydan]

Heres one that works well based on roughly a 20+ year trend:

Bet dogs from opening day till roughly 10 days before the all-star break. Then once the all-star break is over.Then wait 3 days after the break is over, and then bet the dogs up to the 40 day stretch drive. Then stop betting bases for about 2 week till teams start to drop out of the race, and then resume betting dogs till the end.

[dirtyjock]

Thanks for the posts. Been doing alot of testing and so far nothing looks good. Everything I came up with so far backtested good on last yrs results. But failed the course of 3 yrs and 3 yrs is better than 1. So back to the drawing board

[dirtyjock]

working on 2 systems right now 1 is for totals and it is 10-0 through 5 teams ill update when I complete the totals then ill work on the sides

[dirtyjock]

so far im done with the AL and it finished 34-1 for totals +25.74 units. Damn sure does take a while to do Back to work on NL now

[dirtyjock]

Finally done with 2006 figures I also picked up on another system while doing the 1st one results as follow:
System 1 71-3 +46.22units
System 2 101-78 +15.2units
Ill get to work on 2005 and 2004 when I get home on DSL damn dial up is slowing me down 2 much. By the way all figures are based on -110 although half the lines where around -105 or less so possible it made more units.

1sec I forgot to do last team let me do numbers real fast
Ok after correction
System 1 72-3 +47.22units
System 2 101-84 +8.6units well 2nd system I found blows so ill scrap that 1 but work more on the 1st one

[Dark Horse]

Money pitchers.

Take a pitcher that is plus in the money column for the season versus a pitcher that is negative. Set your parameters about what to avoid. For instance nothing below +1.00 (positive pitcher) and more than -1.00 (negative pitcher).

Best to combine with other angles.

[dirtyjock]

thanks DH where can u get these stats? are they available at covers?

[Dark Horse]

I get them here.

http://www.statfox.com/mlb/mlbteam~teamid~ARIZONA~season~2006.htm

The green and red units show the 'money'.

[dirtyjock]

damn thats some good stuff. Is there a max line ull play? such as -130 or -150

[imgv94]

Watch out for people who go around saying they know how to cap baseball. A lot of them don't

Many of us learned that last season..

[dirtyjock]

yea I agree baseball is hardest to me cause 1 swing of the bat cant win or lose the game at any time

[Dark Horse]

damn thats some good stuff. Is there a max line ull play? such as -130 or -150

It's just one filter. It has some value, but if it was a supersystem I wouldn't be giving it away.

[dirtyjock]

yea I know what u mean lol but every bit adds up

[imgv94]

If anyone PMs you picks fade them... LOL..

[dirtyjock]

Pm?

[imgv94]

If anyone sends you baseball picks via Private Messages watch out they are bad for your health..

[bigboydan]

The one thing you don't do is bet the Yankees in every game, or you will go busted!

[dirtyjock]

yea them bosox and few others. Btw my system failed over the last yrs crash and burn well it profited but only like 5 units which isnt worth it to me. So lets take a group count. How many units would a system need to make per year to be worth it? I say at least 25

[austintx05]

I actually tracked Boston/NYY/Toronto on the RL last year


W RL Cover %
NYY 97 73 75%
Tor 87 68 78%
Bos 86 56 65%

[dirtyjock]

wonder if it will break even from the odds? cause everytime they are a dog that makes there line -200 or so

[Hulu]

Someone told me this once but I have never tried it or checked to see if it was profitable.

Any time a team in the lower 25% in the standings wins 2 games in a row, ride them on the money line until they lose 2 in a row.

Any thoughts?

[BuddyBear]

All I know is that betting baseball is extremely difficult and I've heard of very few people who can actually make money off of bases. If you guys want to bet the next 6 to 7 months everyday and deal with bullpen collapses, btm 9th 2 out homeruns, dropped pop-ups, base loaded and 0 outs and your team not scoring then give it a shot.

I for one plan to take the next 4 to 5 months off till college football resumes. I love baseball for what it is and I can listen to a game without money on it.

Even so, here are two systems for you.

System 1: Play on any team favored whose starting pitcher has a losing record against an opposing pitcher who has a winning record. Wait until about a month into the season though till things take shape.

System 2: Bet underdogs.

[dirtyjock]

betting the RL on select favs can be very profitable

[Checkerboard]

This is a very interesting thread dirtyjock, thanks for getting it going!