Mr. Crumbs Stretch Drive Thread (Woodshed Plays)

solobass · 08-29-09, 03:35 PM

mitre=cy young when i bet against him..... white sox more errors than hits. i am just upset because i went against all 3 of my models and made an emotional bet. i learned my lesson!

Chi_archie · 08-29-09, 04:07 PM

looks good... i'm not sure if the cubbies are gonna sustain any sort of run... they are folding

JIMMYG13 · 08-29-09, 04:08 PM

Cubs r going to come through!!!!3-2!!!!!

SmackdownV · 08-29-09, 04:14 PM

YES! The Dodgers are going to F*ck us all again!

Way to go Cincy!

Thank you for killing my RL bet!

cocknocker · 08-29-09, 05:02 PM

Ah yes gasoline can time out there in the Windy City!

cocknocker · 08-29-09, 05:05 PM

Originally posted by solobass

ok uncle CK i need some guidance. first, nice call on the giants. the oddsmakers were trying to get by and you caught them. look, the odds are so out of whack right now. ever since preseason football came on the board, favorites are far steeper (not based on merit). underdog odds have skyrocketed as well. is this typical of the season long cycle? i do know heavy favorites hit higher than historical averages earlier in the season (lot of 3 teamers cashed here) are they trying to make their money back from that position? i have the overnights sheet in front of me and the brewers -240? what a joke! apparently gallardo has been bleesed by the holy see or something.

what gives?

Well if you remember, the Pirates swept the Brewers and thusly the first game of this series was a JM play. Well obviously the Brewers have the Pirates number at home I think it's something crazy like 191 or some shit like that. The inflated price is a tribute to that sterling record. I would just blast the runline and take the Brewers to get it done that way

cocknocker · 08-29-09, 05:06 PM

Originally posted by JIMMYG13

i kinda like lowe at that price..

Correct

JIMMYG13 · 08-29-09, 05:11 PM

nice cubs!!! dont give it back now!!!

SmackdownV · 08-29-09, 05:36 PM

COME ON DODGERS!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Let's have a BIG 7th inning!

COME ON MANNY!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! !!!!

BRING ME HOME PAL!

SmackdownV · 08-29-09, 05:37 PM

Nice on the Cubbies fellas!

JIMMYG13 · 08-29-09, 05:38 PM

nice cubs ck!!! thanks 2 in a row with the cubs!!

SmackdownV · 08-29-09, 05:48 PM

Wow....I need to do that more often....

Call the inning before it goes down!

WOW!!!!!!!!!

GO DODGERS!!!!!!!!

STILL NOBODY OUT!

JIMMYG13 · 08-29-09, 05:52 PM

I guess they r making up for fuc*ing us on the team total yesterday aginst cy young homer!!!

SmackdownV · 08-29-09, 05:55 PM

Yeah....

Homer was nasty yesterday......

But now it's 11-4 Dodgers and I don't see how Cincy can cover the RL with the LA bullpen.

Fingers are crossed!

solobass · 08-29-09, 06:24 PM

CK good call and thanks for the advice. let me ask you, in your estimation how much to JM plays influence lines either way?

Astros
Blue Jays

all i need is one to come through

and Brew Crew RL heavy duty (CK)

Dexter · 08-29-09, 06:51 PM

(3x) over dbacks 10 (A4)

JIMMYG13 · 08-29-09, 06:58 PM

im going to roll with that dexter, i like that!!!!

cocknocker · 08-29-09, 07:00 PM

1st inning runs are killin it again today!

cocknocker · 08-29-09, 07:03 PM

Originally posted by solobass

CK good call and thanks for the advice. let me ask you, in your estimation how much to JM plays influence lines either way?

Astros
Blue Jays

all i need is one to come through

and Brew Crew RL heavy duty (CK)

At first I didn't really see any signs of the JM effect on baseball games, but now I am seeing the influence more. In terms of the Astros they are not a very public team so you may get some love there. The Blue Jays already cashed the +1.5er in game 1, so you should be off of that one now.

JIMMYG13 · 08-29-09, 07:24 PM

minnesota missing opportunities!!! cmon twins lets do this!!!!

JIMMYG13 · 08-29-09, 07:35 PM

Aattttlllannnnta!!!!!! Baby!!

cocknocker · 08-30-09, 12:03 AM

Alright, so Minnesota didn't get it done, but the Cubbos, A's, Giants did. Nice 3-1 day to go along with a monster payday on the A's for the series bet!

Now on to tomorrow's action...

oda11 · 08-30-09, 12:05 AM

Great job as usual CK!

cocknocker · 08-30-09, 12:19 AM

Sunday

Cubs-1.5 -125 Zambrano owns this team
Twins-130
Angels-1.5 +110 Lackey owns us... Brett is 0-2 against them. Halos get the nod

cocknocker · 08-30-09, 12:22 AM

I like the Doders in this spot but the only thing keeping me from pounding them is that they are 0-5 in Kershaw's last 5 starts. True, Arroyo is 1-4 in his last 5 against the Dodgers. Looks like both of them are due for good performances and a righteous effort by both. There are too many subplots for me to stake the wager

JIMMYG13 · 08-30-09, 02:30 AM

Ill take 3-1 everyday nice job ck!!!! Lets do it again tomorrow !!!!

ragiche · 08-30-09, 03:25 AM

I don't have a play for today's game.I'll be playing CK's 3 picks today all MEDIUM play.

Cubbies RL

Halos RL

Twinkies ML

GL today guys

.

darkenergy · 08-30-09, 06:12 AM

Thank you for the Cub's call yesterday CK

Pin Fish · 08-30-09, 09:38 AM

is Zambrono's back problem solved.....................he been getting hammered............

cocknocker · 08-30-09, 10:01 AM

Crumbs Play of the Day

Phillies-1.5 +165

Phillies team total over 4.5 -125* Bonus Play for Tweetdeck pilots

Jurrjey's sick but not against the Phils. He has a negative record against them and is .500 against them on the road. Blanton the War Horse is 3-2 and 2-1 at home against the Bravos. Blanton is not getting appropriate respect for the work he has put in this year. I am stepping out on my Stretch Drive teams and taking a renegade team. The Phils bats will crush Jurrjy today. Batting order production 3-4-5 hitters 2.032 Braves, and 4.068 Phils. That's all you need to know. You will also need to play the Phils team total as well over 4.5 -125.There's a reason why the books are trying to discourage that play with viggo when the public is heavy on the under 76-24%

peterpan19 · 08-30-09, 10:40 AM

JJ is 3-2 against the Phils (and 2-0 this year...)...and Balnton is 0-1 against the Braves in his career...

AfroNinja789 · 08-30-09, 10:44 AM

hey CK,
what do you think about the Jays over the BoSox Last time paul byrd got a decision it was against the jays he lost 8-1 and Doc is goin for the jays

JIMMYG13 · 08-30-09, 10:53 AM

Halladay has been struggling id like to think toronto is the way to go but might lean over!!!! He gave up 7 runs last time to tampa!! Maybe somthing is wrong..

cocknocker · 08-30-09, 10:58 AM

Originally posted by peterpan19

JJ is 3-2 against the Phils (and 2-0 this year...)...and Balnton is 0-1 against the Braves in his career...

JJ

8/14/09 3-2 loss 7 IP
7/1/09 11-1 win 7 IP
4/7/09 4-0 win 5.5 IP
9/22/08 2-6 Loss 7 IP
9/17/08 1-6 Loss 5 IP

JJ defintiely took a loss vs Phils this year and prior to this year as well.

Blanton

8/14/09 3-2 win 7 IP
6/30/09 4-5 loss 5 IP
5/9/09 2-6 loss 8 IP
4/8/09 12-11 win 4IP
7/27/08 12-10 win 2 IP

Although Blanton may not have qualified for the decision in three of those games, it still gives him a 1-1 record

cocknocker · 08-30-09, 11:03 AM

Originally posted by AfroNinja789

hey CK,
what do you think about the Jays over the BoSox Last time paul byrd got a decision it was against the jays he lost 8-1 and Doc is goin for the jays

A guy making a comeback against a perrenial All-Star who is facing his own personal kryptonite team. Red Sox and the over. Byrd will get plenty of run supprt