F*ck You. Pay Me. Series for Week of 8/24/09 through 8/30/09

[cocknocker]

Series bets

Dodgers+125
Texas+190
Padres/Braves under 8 -110

[peterpan19]

early games
nym/flo over 9
cin/mil over 9
col

GL

[solobass]

whats up everyone! checking in.....wow it has been a ride. still in vegas and the wife and i just moved into an apartment yesterday. if you are in/or plan on heading to vegas bet the favorites at the hilton and the dogs at stratosphere, leroy's or stations. hilton/bellagio/caesars will kill you on favorites if you wait to the last minute to bet the lines seem to move 5 to 10 cents in the last 20 minutes or so.

Today i am on the wahoos, they are a team under the radar for most betters and have a lot of value, much more than earlier in the season. CK i have no frigging idea on horses, better luck next time!

[peterpan19]

ok both overs hit early on...now I only need Colorado to come through...

btw I am doing two autobets from now on until the season is over... I will parlay ATL and PHI (thx shoe) and I will parlay STL and LAA... only for a half unit each, but hey lets see how the experiment does... I also thought about a combo of Red Sox and Yankees, but 2 parlays are enough I think...
today I got both ATL/PHI +118 and STL/LAA +104 ... but I will pay no juice...

GL guys...

will take a look at the later games now... and nice hit with TX ck...

[peterpan19]

F*ck the Cardinals today...

[cocknocker]

Well a weekend at the racetrack has the ears ringing still, but I'm back to pry money from the books this week in small ball, and man do I see some really awkward numbers for series bets this week.

You just can't get in the way of a charging bull. It is not a pleasant experience to get forklifted up into the air with no idea where you will land. Such is the case this Tuesday when the Rangers will be getting an excellent number (+270) for the series against the mighty but inflated in value Yankees. I am assuming that this is a line that the books are offering based upon the public's perception of the Yanks. This year it is deservedly so. But Yankee backers have not made much in the way of profit wagering on this team this year due to the economics invlolved when wagering on the Bombers.

The Rangers pitching staff boasts a red hot 1.412 whip with 15 strikeouts against only 6 walks, and get this only 8 runs alloawed 7 earned. The Yankees counter with a very pedestrian 1.728 whip to go along with the good 18 strikeouts and only 4 bases on balls, and the bad 20 runs allowed, 17 earned in only 16.2 innings.

As far as production from the hitting is concerned, the Rangers are in a bit of a funk, but playing against a staff that has a combined 6-7 record against should help matters some. Matter of fact, the Rangers play the Yanks pretty much straight up with a 4-6 overall mark the past 10 games and a 5-5 mark in games played in Gotham.

Millwood gets the go in game one of the series, and he absloutely loves pitching in Gotham as he has a 2-0 record there in his last two visits. A peek at the work he puts in when facing the pinstripes can be taken advantage of as he is 5-0 for the under against them. Don't stop the music.. Holland is very capable of beating Pettitte, who is 1-2 at home vs the Rangers and 2-3 overall in his last 5. Burnett will dismantle the Rangers on the last game of the series as he has incredible numbers against them to go along with a 4-1 overall record and 1-0 at home vs the Rangers.

Rangers+270 for series 1 unit Win
Rangers+1.5 -115 Game 1 1 unit Win
Rangers/Yankees under 9.5 -105 Game 1 1 unit Loss
Rangers+1.5 -135 Loss
Rangers+190 Win

Series record 3-2-0 Win +3.2 units


One peek at the success of the Dodgers against the Rockies says don't stop the streak. They have beaten the Rocks 8 out of the last 10 times they have faced each other overall, and also 7 out of the last 10 games in Colorado. No home field advantage there. The Dodgers have a few pitching problems but not the guys facing the Rockies (Kershaw, Weaver, Wolf) who boast a sterling 7-4 record combined. The Rockies Cook is on the shelf but Hammel and DeLaRosa are a combined 0-6 versus the Dodgers. No patching of a staff is gonna help that figure. Many goes deep twice in the series the Dodgers pad their lead by beating the piss out of the dog nipping at their heels.

Dodgers-105 for series vs Rockies 1 unit Win
Dodgers-115 Game 1 1 unit Loss
Dodgers/Rockies over 9 -120 Game 1 1 unit Push
Dodgers+122 2 units Game 2 Win
Dodgers+125 Game 3 Win

Record 3-1-1 Win +2.37 units

This is not really a series per se, but more of a continuation of what has already been going on and simply not interrupting the flow. The Braves and Padres for whatever reason always seem to go under in games at Atlanta. Turner Field has the 25th ranked park factor, and San Diego plays in the worst park factor in the league (Petco). The Padres were built to play small ball, and the Braves were built to stop the other team from scoring. The Padres lack of power produces unders in the park that have low factors to begin with. The beat goes on. These teams have a sterling 9-0-1 record for the under in games played at Turner Field. That ought to be good enough to get me at least two of them in the next couple of days. The Braves don't f*ck around with the Padres, and have identical 8-2 records overall and at home against them. The price for the series was too steep for my taste (-370), so more than likely, I will pick my spots and play the Braves on the runline since obviously they will be -170 or more each game homies. I just can't pay that kind of vigorish for any sport.

Padres/Braves Under the Total for each game of the series
Padres/Braves under 8 -110 Game 1 1 unit Win
Padres/Braves under 8.5 +100 game 2 Loss
Padres/Braves under 8 -110 Pending

Record 1-1-0

So far so good. Only waiting on the Padres/Braves under

[darkenergy]

F*ck the Cardinals today...

I watch the line in the morning around 9:30am, most of popular books dropped Redbird to -265 from over -315 when first open, and over 80% of public on redbird. It's a huge RLM, but I am still took the bait. I wager with my heart not my mind on this bet. This is the first and LAST time I pay for this much juice in a game.
Lucky UNDER Yankee get the damage under control.
What everyone thinking about Seattle and CWS tonight?

[cocknocker]

Can't bet against the Pale Hose if they are in jeopardy of being swept. On paper, it looks like Seattle is the call

[darkenergy]

Thanks Ck for your input....I am gonna go with CWS, Phillies and Seattle tonight.
BOL to all.

[cocknocker]

1st inning bets are killing it today.

[cocknocker]

What the hell is going on out there in Atlanta? Is there a rain delay or somethin?

[maddogmadden86]

yea man we got this blasted hurricane coming on the east coast, CK u went to the track and didnt hit me up bro you know thats my shit, also i got ahorse tip Sept 19th, Ck what are you thinking about your A's tonight?

[darkenergy]

not counting eggs too early here, but CWS and Phillies looking ok so far

[cocknocker]

Take the A's no matter what. They just got swept and I don't think that they arrived in Anaheim in a good mood. If I can't take my team, I try to avoid playing against them..

[maddogmadden86]

thats what i wanted to hear CK

[Dexter]

(2x) over giants 8.5

(3x) angels -1.5/-110

[cocknocker]

The Braves are pouring gasoline all on the backs of the Padres. Looks like my under is toast...Whatever the case, this thread is toast as soon as that game is over....

I am thinking of starting a Cubs/Dodgers thread for the next couple of weeks.

[cocknocker]

Just put in a series play on Oakland+240. Personally I don't know how the Angels were made a -300 favorite over a team that clearly has their number. 7-3 straight up and 6-4 in games in Anaheim.

[solobass]

going to the window, mariners and giants in the late games. went with you CK on the dodgers too, got them @ +125. wahoos, who knows. maybe they come back probably not though.

[maddogmadden86]

hey solo how much is a 2 br outside of vegas running? i'm thinking of just moving out there for ayear maybe good lol no income tax or property tax sounds good to me not to mention i need warm weather 24/7 the winters on the jersey shore are just not worth the 1 maybe 2 months of nice weather we get here

[Dexter]

week 1 ncaa thread is up..

http://forum.sbrforum.com/college-football-handicapping/218791-ncaa-underground-leans-week-1-9-3-9-6-a.html#post2163459

[Dexter]

http://forum.sbrforum.com/nfl-handicapping/218799-nfl-underground-leans-week-1-9-10-9-13-a.html#post2163516

NFL week 1 thread up as well