I don't know why I shy away from these lines given that I routinely took -900 lines in college basketball last season...
But, I'm wondering what to do about these -300, -400 lines et al.
There are a couple of options:
1. Foggettaboudit.
2. Build a -1 RL by playing the -1 1/2 RL and the ML so that a win on the ML pays the amount risked on the RL.
3. Lay the freaking -400 line and shut up knowing that in the long run the probabilities are in our favor IF WE KNOW HOW TO FIND VALUE.
4. Create a correlated parlay with the OVER/UNDER based on the dynamics of the team. Some teams need to have an UNDER to win and other teams need to have an OVER to win and other teams like the Mets can concoct 18 new ways to lose.
5. Create a parlay with another strong play that isn't at such crazy odds.
6. Create a correlated parlay with another team in the same division such that "if A loses then B needs to win to take advantage of that", or, "If C wins then A had better win or they fall further behind".
7. Smoke some crack and go find some hos and forget about baseball because it is getting too ****ed up.
I'm open for suggestions. I missed the Boston play today because I was not willing to lay 400 to win 100.
But, I'm wondering what to do about these -300, -400 lines et al.
There are a couple of options:
1. Foggettaboudit.
2. Build a -1 RL by playing the -1 1/2 RL and the ML so that a win on the ML pays the amount risked on the RL.
3. Lay the freaking -400 line and shut up knowing that in the long run the probabilities are in our favor IF WE KNOW HOW TO FIND VALUE.
4. Create a correlated parlay with the OVER/UNDER based on the dynamics of the team. Some teams need to have an UNDER to win and other teams need to have an OVER to win and other teams like the Mets can concoct 18 new ways to lose.
5. Create a parlay with another strong play that isn't at such crazy odds.
6. Create a correlated parlay with another team in the same division such that "if A loses then B needs to win to take advantage of that", or, "If C wins then A had better win or they fall further behind".
7. Smoke some crack and go find some hos and forget about baseball because it is getting too ****ed up.
I'm open for suggestions. I missed the Boston play today because I was not willing to lay 400 to win 100.