Originally posted by Dexter
your good dexter
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your good dexter
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Wed Afternoon:
(2x) cubs (RL)
(4x) bluejays (RL)Comment -
redsox game was brutal, and now i have to sweat the under in arz with haren all but done (huge pitch count thru 5)Originally posted by shoeboxyour good dexter Comment -
Leans for tomorrow night: over milw, cards, under tigersComment -
Cardinals pouring gasoline all down the Dodgers backs!Comment -
Man am I so glad that I dodged that bullet with taking Seattle today. I was thinking okay at some point the Mariners are gonna crack as I am watching the game. Then I remember saying to myself that Washburn shouldn't come back out for the 8th. Well he did and then gave up a leadoff double, then they relieve him and two batters later tie ball game. I knew that movement was crazy. Seattle doesn't have a good bottom to their lineup. So it's hard for them to maintain leads. Wow! I dodged a bullet on that game!Comment -
Well I have all of my series won and am basically waiting until the end of Wednesday's action to collect my winnings. All three already have gotten the RL wins, so there's nothing left for series bets until Thursday. I was thinking of taking Santana, but I will gladly take the three wins already acheived in that series. No sense in being ignorant with it.
I really like the early movement of the Rays, so I will pound them tomorrow. The Brewers can't get swept by the lowly Nats can they? The public will be all over the Brewers and I may even have to pay negative viggo on that game with the runlineComment -
Let's smash the books tomorrowComment -
Mariners +1.5 +100 at pinnacle.
Halladay is pitching for the Jays against Rowland-Smith. So Jays are big favs opened at -165Comment -
CK, What is a good site to track the Early Movement on?Comment -
Haha error was with Toronto at +160, all fixed now though!Originally posted by Blargh
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Jay Row I answered that question for you via PM. Then as I promote Sportsinsights, the sight is down this morning, lol! You can also use Bettracker as wellComment -
Okay so this morning, I still like most of my plays, but I am dropping the Angels-1.5. They can't beat the Wahoos by 2 it seems. It is a VERY public play which I don't like (97% RL and 90% ML). The Brewers have an easier task, and that's beating the Nats. I will ride with them on this play still because I like plus money! It is also a VERY Public play, but the odds are more in favor of the Nats losing than the Wahoos losing. My totals plays look to be doing what they are supposed to do.
68% on the over for Philly/D-Backs and the line rose already to 10 on some books.
16% on the over for Detroit/Texas, which is to my liking. The Tigers haven't won a game by 2 in 5 tries. At the same time for some reason i see Verlander getting lit up tonight as the Rangers haven't fully exacted their revenge upon the Tigers for the recent dominance Detroit has had over them.
The Rays are holding steady with a concensus of only 37% on their side. So I'll roll with em today!
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Tweet Heads Here are the Official Plays for Wednesday
Phillies/D-Backs over 9.5 -120
Tigers/Rangers over 8.5 +105
Tampa-106
Brewers-1.5 +100
Brown Bag play
Both of these teams had 10 hits apiece last night, and although it didn't translate into an over then it will certainly help for more scores during the day. Cain was a little shaky in his last start despite the bottom line, and Zach Duke has a 5.14 era when facing the G-Men. Of course he doesn't get a lot of run support (Pirates only hitting 194 with a horrid .294 slugging% over the last 3 games), but that can also be attributed to the heavy damp air at night in the Bay Area. I capped this game out to have around 9.5 runs scored with a final of Giants 5 Pirates 4
Pirates/Giants over 7Comment -
Also a small play on the Pittsburgh-1.5 +190 RRLComment -
Pirates trade
CK,
follow your threads everyday but do not post that much. Would the trade of jack wilson today make for a play on the giants runline?Comment -
Originally posted by cocknocker
CK I’m not sure that Verlander gets lit up tonight considering he is 11-5 with a 3.12 ERA lifetime. Not to mention he is going for a league win column tonight with Josh Beckeet (BOS) so he has something to prove here. I think they get the win tonight not by much considering that DET has had only 6 runs in there last 3 games. While on the other hand TEX bats have been hot scoring 19 runs in 3 games. I think that Verlander cools them down here tonight. If you take in consideration of this pitchers match up Verlander is 2-1 with a 0.78 ERA over that stretch including his third complete game of the season. The Tigers have won both of Verlander’s starts against the TEX this season. He is 1-0 in those outings with a 1.64 ERA over 11 innings pitched, improving to 4-0 with a 1.16 ERA in his last five starts versus TEX. Now Scott Feldman (TEX) is not Verlander or Josh Beckeet; however he has some pretty impressive numbers himself and one of the solid starters in the American League (9-3 3.59ERA) and a 2.48ERA in his last 5 starts. Although he has no career decisions against DET he has only face them once as a starter and 5 relief appearance in which he has giving up 10 runs in 14 innings. Which tells you two things here; DET not sure of what he can do and DET bats now won’t reflect those numbers to be duplicated. Not to mention TEX has the 10th-best team ERA in baseball at 4.16, and an even better bullpen that ranks 7th in the majors with a 3.77 ERA. Meanwhile DEThas gotten by on the strength of their pitching staff which is ranked 8th in the majors despite there bullpen that ranks 22nd overall. In which Verlander gose deep in this game hold TX bats down while putting a couple runs on board keep this game under 8.5. What are you thoughts here or reasons as why you believe this game to go over?
Here are some pretty hot trends
DET
Under is 6-0-1 in Tigers last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 6-0 in Tigers last 6 Wednesday games.
Under is 5-0 in Tigers last 5 games as a favorite.
Under is 5-0-1 in Tigers last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
Under is 4-0 in Tigers last 4 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.
Under is 7-1 in Tigers last 8 during game 3 of a series.
Under is 6-1-1 in Tigers last 8 vs. American League West.
Under is 5-1-1 in Tigers last 7 games following a loss.
Under is 4-1 in Tigers last 5 games as a road favorite of -110 to -150.
Under is 5-1 in Verlanders last 6 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
TEX
Under is 24-4-2 in Rangers last 30 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 6-1-1 in Rangers last 8 Wednesday games.
Under is 22-5-2 in Rangers last 29 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 4-1 in Rangers last 5 games as a home underdog.
Under is 4-1 in Rangers last 5 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.
Under is 4-0 in Feldmans last 4 Wednesday starts.
Under is 6-0 in Feldmans last 6 starts as a home underdog.
Under is 8-1 in Feldmans last 9 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 6-1 in Feldmans last 7 starts during game 3 of a series.
Under is 11-2 in Feldmans last 13 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
HEAD TO HEAD
Under is 5-0-2 in the last 7 meetings.
Tigers are 5-0 in Verlanders last 5 starts vs. Rangers.Comment -
No. I like the OVA!Originally posted by chuckfla72
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LoneStar,
I have to ride with the 12% on the consensus. The line hasn't gone down to 8 to match the 88% of bettors money...Comment -
And of course the teams are leaving runners stranded and hitting into double playsComment -
Makes sense from that perspective; I guess we both have supportive views here. Just wasn’t sure as why you’re leaning that way.Comment -
Well at least the Pirates are still playing with the Giants. Now all that I need is a 2 run homer by the Pirates and all sins will be forgiven in a lovey way.Comment -
Free Money Alert from my homie The Masked Man in Texas
Rays-1.5 +175 RL
Pack those f*ckin' snow cones right now. What you thought this wuzz?Comment -
Giants pissed all over my Brown Baggers, but at least I took a chance to see if the 90% of bastards where wrong. I faded the public and ran into a windshield. F*ck it homies... At least the first innings held serve.Comment -
twins for -105 or sox at +104?Comment -
Is this a PC play CK?Originally posted by cocknockerFree Money Alert from my homie The Masked Man in Texas
Rays-1.5 +175 RL
Pack those f*ckin' snow cones right now. What you thought this wuzz?Comment -
(2x) cards -110
(1x) under tigers 8.5Comment -
off and running at the spa!
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lad and min tonight for me....
btw...again problems with a woman, so whats new ?... I already spent 6.5 hours (1 hour = $150, in case you care) with a hooker this week (and its only wed !)... and somehow I like her... now thats freaky... damn it...and I know she hates me for sure no kissing or something like that...
GL tonight guysComment -
Try to get the younger hookers 18,19, or 20, they don't know what they are worth yetOriginally posted by peterpan19
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Boy do I miss those PC plays!
For tonight,
Minnesota -105
Phil/Ari over(CK)
Mil -1.5
GLAComment -
LOL
What happened to walking into a bar, picking up a hottie and heading home?
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she is 19... cant get much younger than that... she is such a sweaty...but hey I guess I will visit her another 2 hours or so on thu again... damn it... **** it...Originally posted by obamaismyuncleTry to get the younger hookers 18,19, or 20, they don't know what they are worth yetComment -
not working anymore... or I just dont give it try...or maybe both... but I guess the little bitch got me and she knos it... well I guess her fiance and she will do a nice trip with my money soon...Originally posted by MendozaaaaLOL
What happened to walking into a bar, picking up a hottie and heading home?Comment -
Oh I'm all for that too, infact thats about what went down last Saturday night.Originally posted by MendozaaaaLOL
What happened to walking into a bar, picking up a hottie and heading home?
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