MLB: +EV Trends

[aljack]

7.24.19
Tyler Beede today on the mound for the Giants. The Giants are 8-2, +9.79u when Beede starts. That's an ROI of +2.45% per bet and +$98 per $100 bet win or lose. Beede is the 2nd most profitable pitcher in the MLB's right now. 10 starts, almost a unit per start win or lose, he's got a high ERA for such a profitable guy at 4.85 But that helps us because that keeps him undervalued which is the name of the game when isolating pitchers with value. You're probably gonna get a hefty number here backing the Giants as they take on the Cubs and Lester. Based on our return with Beede, I have no problem throwing the chart recommendation of a 6% stake. Bettors have won almost 10 units backing Beede so far this season. If we need to give a little back. So be it, Win or lose - the Giants are the play today!

[aljack]

7.24.19
Jake Odorizzi is the 3rd most profitable pitcer on the 1st 5 moneyline this season.
In 19 starts, and with a 3.18 ERA - the Twins are 12-4-2, +6.14u on the 1st 5 moneyline when Odorizzi starts.
An ROI of +0.85% per wager and $100 bettors are netting +$34 per game win or lose.
With those numbers I am confident in the chart recomendation of a 2.13% stake. Take Minnesota on the 1st 5 moneyline.

[aljack]

7.24.19
Beyond being a profitable 1st 5 pitcher. Twins thrower Jake Orodizzi is also a decently profitable pitcher for the overall ML. In 19 starts, with an ERA of 3.18 - Odorizzi and Twins backers are 13-6, +6.09u. An ROI of +0.80% per wager and $100 bettors have netted +$32 per bet win or lose so far this season. With those numbers, I am confident in staking the chart recommended 2% bank roll on this one. Let's go Twins!

[aljack]

8.5.19

Lucas Giolito is the 4th most profitable pitcher in the MLB in 2019.
In 21 games, the White Sox have won 66% of their games when Giolito starts.
Backers of the White Sox in these games have gone 14-7, +6.87u, an ROI of +0.82% per wager and $100 bettors have netted +$33 per bet win or lose.

[aljack]

8.5.19

Mike Soroka is the 7th most profitable pitcher in the MLB in 2019. After 19 starts, the Braves have won 79% of those games. Bettors backing ATL in Soroka starts have gone: 15-4, +6.59u an ROI of +0.87% per wag and $100 bettors have netted +$35 per wager, win or lose.

[aljack]

8.6.19 - MLB +EV Trends
Andrew Cashner is the most profitable pitcher in the MLB in 2019. In 21 games between Baltimore and Boston. Cashner's teams have won 57% of the games he has started in. Bettors backing Cashner have gone 12-9, +10.34u, an ROI of +1.23% per wager and $100 bettors have netted +$49 per bet win or lose backing the cash man. Backing Cashner vs Kansas City is worth a shot at a 3.1% stake. Andrew Cashner is also the most profitable pitcher in the MLB on the 1st 5 line in 2019. Cashner's teams have won 55% of the 1st 5 innings in which he has started, bettors have gone: 11-6-3, +9.69u, an ROI of +1.21% per wager and $100 bettors have netted +$48 per bet win or lose backing Cashner on the 1st 5. Doubling up and taking Cashner on the 1st 5 at a 3% stake is worth a shot to add onto the full game ML.

Starter Zach Plesac's Cleveland Indians have won 75% of the games he has started this season. Bettors backing the Tribe in games when Plesac starts have gone 9-3, +5.3u, an ROI of +1.1% per wager and $100 bettors have netted +$44 per bet win or lose backing Plesac. Backing him today vs the Rangers is worth a shot at a 2.75% stake.

[aljack]

8.6.19

Bret Anderson has been a profitable pitcher to back in 2019. Anderson's team has won 63% of the games in which he starts. Bettors backing Anderson have gone 14-8, +5.53u, an ROI of +0.63% per wager and $100 bettors have netted +$25 per bet win or lose. Anderson and the A's take on Jon Lester and the Cubs tonight. Taking a shot with the A's at a 1.6% stake is a good bet in this spot.

[aljack]

8.6.19

Pirates pitcher Steven Brault is returning to the mound after over a month off due to a strained shoulder. Brault hopes to return to his winning ways and bettors hope he continues those ways as well. Brault has lead his team to victory in 55% of his starts in 2019. Backers of Brault have gone 5-4, +1.96u, an ROI of +0.54$ per wager and $100 bettors have netted +$22 per bet win or lose. Brault and the Pirates take on the Brewcrew today at home as +125ish underdogs. Backing Brault in hopes he returns to form is worth a shot at a 1.3% stake.