I'm on the Cubs to win the division at +135. The Cubs should be in first place by a significant margin but their bullpen was garbage early in the year so their run differential didn't matter since they kept losing close games. The Cubs bullpen is better with Kimbrel and every other team in the division has significant flaws. Milwaukee's pitching is bad and Yelich is the only consistent hitter for average, Cardinals offense has been bad, Reds offense is inconsistent, and Pirates pitching is inconsistent. The Cubs starting rotation of Quintana, Hendriks, Lester, Darvish has looked better recently, and Hamels is the best in this division by far. Cubs offense is as good as any offense in the division as well.