MLB - Monday, 7/15/19

[LT Profits]

1 MLB Play Monday

Braves / Brewers UNDER 10 +100 (Heritage)


YTD: 187-214-10, -22.66


Record at All-Star Break: 183-208-10, -21.46

[LT Profits]

Sorry I shortchanged myself on Brewers Under, correct odds I bet it at were +100.

[LT Profits]

1 MLB Addition

2 MLB Plays Monday

Blue Jays / Red Sox UNDER 10.5 +100 (Heritage)
Braves / Brewers UNDER 10 +100 (Heritage)

[stackz125]

White sox?

[LT Profits]

White sox?

Not for me, I only get ChiSox 52% (-108)

And yes I finally have Giolito above average.

[LT Profits]

MLB 5-Inning Addition

3 MLB Plays Monday

Blue Jays / Red Sox UNDER 10.5 +100 (Heritage)
Blue Jays / Red Sox UNDER 6 -115 (5 innings) (Heritage)
Braves / Brewers UNDER 10 +100 (Heritage)

[qtip0711]

I like braves brewers un

[44 Mag]

Not for me, I only get ChiSox 52% (-108)

And yes I finally have Giolito above average.

Wow, only 1/2 season later.

[LT Profits]

Wow, only 1/2 season later.

He had so far to come, I literally had him as the worst starter in the majors last August I think and I never adjust much for each start.

[2daBank]

Crazy thing is he hasn’t been nearly as sharp (on the surface anyways) lately, you might be dropping him back down in no time!! Lol

[Conqueror]

He had so far to come, I literally had him as the worst starter in the majors last August I think and I never adjust much for each start.

Are you insisting that an 11-3 record with an ERA of 3.15 is just pure luck?

[LT Profits]

Are you insisting that an 11-3 record with an ERA of 3.15 is just pure luck?

He is still outperforming his 3.93 xFIP

He still deserves credit though going from where he was to where he is in about 5 baseball months, that is not easy considering how I do ratings (i.e,, never over-adjust for short term).

[LT Profits]

2 Last MLB Additions

5 MLB Plays Monday

Blue Jays / Red Sox UNDER 10.5 +100 (Heritage)
Blue Jays / Red Sox UNDER 6 -115 (5 innings) (Heritage)
Braves / Brewers UNDER 10 +100 (Heritage)
Giants +125 (Game 2) (Heritage)
Astros / Angels UNDER 9.5 +100 (Heritage)

[DrunkHorseplayer]

Giolito's recent hot streak is simply to good to be true and should be ignored. His career ERA prior to this season was roughly 6.00 and if you toss his streak, his ERA this season is about the same. I think you're making a mistake and he should be considered a 6.00 ERA pitcher.

[LT Profits]

Giolito's recent hot streak is simply to good to be true and should be ignored. His career ERA prior to this season was roughly 6.00 and if you toss his streak, his ERA this season is about the same. I think you're making a mistake and he should be considered a 6.00 ERA pitcher.

I didn't adjust due to "recent streak", I have been slowly adjusting and he has been much improved for five months now (last two months last year and YTD this season). With that said, I only have him about 5% above average, note the still high-ish 3.93 xFIP.