Interesting day in Major League Baseball today, with the London series being played and all the runs that game provided. It also provides a beautiful 6-game night slate for all you daily baseball bettors. Here is what were on tonight:
AZ / SF Over 7.0 -120
9:05 CT
Regardless if you like to back Zach Greinke or not, you can't dismiss that the Dbacks are 7-2 when he pitches as a favorite this season, producing an average of 5.44 run support that situation. Greinke though has not done well this season on the road in division games. The Dbacks are 1-4SU when Zach is pitching in Division Road games; and they've allowed an average of 6.40 runs in those games. In retrospect, expect the Diamondbacks to provide run support for Greinke, but expect him to give up some runs on the road tonight. Getting more into detail on this game, I want to point out that opposing pitcher Drew Pomeranz give up an average of 6.00 runs this season when pitching at home to division opponents. Let's also point out the Diamondbacks are 11-0SU as a road favorite when .500 or better on the season; and that the Diamondbacks are 7-0 SU when Zach Greinke starts as a road favorite in June when they won his last start. A bit of a stretch with that last one, but that's why SDQL is a thing and history repeats itself. Even if the Giants only score two runs tonight, which i expect they get around four, the Dbacks should have absolutely no problem getting to Pomeranz at some point tonight. Take the OVER 7.0
Athletics +130
9:07CT
Tyler Skaggs is in another overvalued situation pitching at home tonight which gives our pick tonight tremendous value. He's been favored in each of his five home starts this season and his team winning three of them. But looking more into detail in how he pitches at home vs his division is where we take the Athletics at plus money tonight to pick up the back to back win. Skaggs is a staggering 3-7 on the Run Line over the last two seasons when facing his divisions when pitching at home as a favorite. Though the Athletics pitcher doesn't have great divisional numbers, his team is 10-6 and 5-2 in his last 6 game while Anderson pitches; winning the total 16 games he's pitched in by an average of 3 runs. Great value when an underdog line is being offered, I don't care what stadium the game is being played in. Here's a wild SDQL situation i'll leave you with on this game: The Athletics are 8-1 in Brett Anderson's last 9 starts when the opposing pitcher throws left handed. Active tonight
AZ / SF Over 7.0 -120
9:05 CT
Regardless if you like to back Zach Greinke or not, you can't dismiss that the Dbacks are 7-2 when he pitches as a favorite this season, producing an average of 5.44 run support that situation. Greinke though has not done well this season on the road in division games. The Dbacks are 1-4SU when Zach is pitching in Division Road games; and they've allowed an average of 6.40 runs in those games. In retrospect, expect the Diamondbacks to provide run support for Greinke, but expect him to give up some runs on the road tonight. Getting more into detail on this game, I want to point out that opposing pitcher Drew Pomeranz give up an average of 6.00 runs this season when pitching at home to division opponents. Let's also point out the Diamondbacks are 11-0SU as a road favorite when .500 or better on the season; and that the Diamondbacks are 7-0 SU when Zach Greinke starts as a road favorite in June when they won his last start. A bit of a stretch with that last one, but that's why SDQL is a thing and history repeats itself. Even if the Giants only score two runs tonight, which i expect they get around four, the Dbacks should have absolutely no problem getting to Pomeranz at some point tonight. Take the OVER 7.0
Athletics +130
9:07CT
Tyler Skaggs is in another overvalued situation pitching at home tonight which gives our pick tonight tremendous value. He's been favored in each of his five home starts this season and his team winning three of them. But looking more into detail in how he pitches at home vs his division is where we take the Athletics at plus money tonight to pick up the back to back win. Skaggs is a staggering 3-7 on the Run Line over the last two seasons when facing his divisions when pitching at home as a favorite. Though the Athletics pitcher doesn't have great divisional numbers, his team is 10-6 and 5-2 in his last 6 game while Anderson pitches; winning the total 16 games he's pitched in by an average of 3 runs. Great value when an underdog line is being offered, I don't care what stadium the game is being played in. Here's a wild SDQL situation i'll leave you with on this game: The Athletics are 8-1 in Brett Anderson's last 9 starts when the opposing pitcher throws left handed. Active tonight