MLB Saturday

[Philmill]

Cincinnati Reds ML +102

N.Y. Yankees ML -167

L.A. Dodgers ML -245


ytd all sports
123-69-1

----------------------------------------------------

MLB ABC Progression Bucket

L.A. Angles ML -105

Minnesota Twins ML -166

bucket record
14-2

[Philmill]

sorry I go a tee time and I am late
Angles (C)
Mini (B)

[Philmill]

Note:

LA Angles ML Delayed

[mikmik]

What do you mean delayed

[Philmill]

What do you mean delayed

No play today.....

[mikmik]

Oh crap I played it lol

[Philmill]

Oh crap I played it lol

I did too.... I placed a bet on St Louis to neutralize my wager.

It might be a while before I wager on the Angles (C).... They have pitcher issues.

[khaden]

Phil sometime when you have time can you explain how you decide to delay your progressions and skip games - as you know I play similiar style and more often than not same games as you - how ever I will nit skip games on the progression and play it through- I will also not carry over any progressions into a new series with a new team- I’ve noticed a couple times we were in the same team and you skipped a game and I rode it out and ended up winning and I think you lost in a c bet once that I hit- just Curious to hear your thoughts- I won’t be offended if you don’t want to post your strategy -

[Philmill]

Yes, you have followed thought on 2 progression that I have delayed on and you won them. Good Job and my bad...In my mind very game is different... one game/day at a time....If I am not feeling it.. I delay.... I am just trying to battle thu a progression with the best chance to win....A guy can handicap the numbers but in the end it plays a small part in who really wins the game (great example in your 2 progression wins I layed off). I like to wager hot teams with hot bats and good pitching. When that cools off...I am off the train...that's why Angles are dead to me today... I shouldn't have put them in my progression bucket in the first place. (I might have to take a loss on my ytd). I just deal with the reasons of the day and information that is available to each and every one us. Over the years that has worked for me....But I am human and can fail at times.... and hopefully learn from failure moving forward.

[khaden]

Like I said I was just curious as to your reasons and wanted a friendly dialogue - often times if I back off ilthsts when my team will hit the win I needed hen I’m thrown off sequence - I tend to ride it out but it has bitten me in the past

[Philmill]

The best way to bet these hot teams... is wait til they loose a game and then play a 3 game progression on them....the success rate is a lot higher... but a guy misses out on alot of wins waiting for them to loose one.... but with that in mind its something to look for going forward....

[kingdom]

Like I said I was just curious as to your reasons and wanted a friendly dialogue - often times if I back off ilthsts when my team will hit the win I needed hen I’m thrown off sequence - I tend to ride it out but it has bitten me in the past

I do the same. i had to hop off milw today. they lost 5 in a row. reds won 6 in a row and have castillo pitching yet milw -120. it's a terrible play for milw and i have no idea why they would be favored with chacin pitching other than theory they have to win at some point. my gut tells me since i didn't play, they will win. but sensibly it just looked like a terrible bet. i'll take my chances when they play seattle next.