let's get the best picks for Friday baseball - input welcome

[Blackballer]

Dodgers away at Pirates seems to be the biggest public selection for today's games, Dodgers opened -169 and went up all the way to -200 even -210 on some books.

I like Rockies, Brewers and Cardinals all at home to win. Can see the Phillies vs Brewers game being a high scoring game (total is now at 9.5).

Angels juiced at home but are they really that good to be this kind of a favorite here today??

Also like Yankees away at Kansas City on the moneyline.
Tampa at Cleveland is hard to pick for me, for now I am leaning TB

[flabrah5]

One of my favorite plays today is Marlins / Nats o4.5 FF at -120. Lopez has a 5+ ERA on the year, with an atrocious 8+ ERA on away games. 5 out of his 9 starts on the year hes given up 3, 4, 4, 4, 10 runs in 5 innings. Nats have great splits vs him as well. Nats have a similar situation with McGowan on the mound and his 6 ERA. Has a /400 batting average vs Righties which Marlins have stacked. Marlins are also heating up and scoring many runs a game on a 6 game win streak.

Chase Anderson has been off a bit too for Brewers. I like them to cover FF today ML, but the over might be the safest play.

Still leaning very hard on an over FF and FG for the SD / Blue Jays game. Lucchesi has been good at times, but only at home with an away ERA of 8.10 (1.73 WHIP). Trent Thornton has a 6.75 ERA at home, 1.7 WHIP.

All of the aforementioned pitchers in the Marlins/Nats and SD/Toronto game also have been home run prone and I like some power in the bats with Reyes, Rendon, Soto, Smoak/Guerrero Jr, etc.

BOL

[flabrah5]

Well that was quick. Marlin's FF over hit in the 2nd inning and now tied 4-4 in the 3rd for a lock at 9 FG.

Nice!

[2Shirts]

You're welcome

Well that was quick. Marlin's FF over hit in the 2nd inning and now tied 4-4 in the 3rd for a lock at 9 FG.

Nice!

[flabrah5]

You're welcome

Huh? Why am I welcome? Not thanking you for anything - no offense.

And with that, Blue Jays/ Padres over as well. Wish I didn't puss out if putting twins over in the parlay but I'll take the 1700/4800 payout.

Any leans for night games? Liking Canning v Smyly matchup for another over. Every day this week has been absurd. 2 nights ago all 10 went over. All 5 12pm went over yesterday. Gonna keep riding it.

[flabrah5]

Im liking Oakland a lot today. I think they are going to score a lot on Leblanc. The over might be the safer play once again bc Mendgen can be great at time, but only has 2 starts and historically a much worst ERA split at home games (6.75 vs 1.25 in 2019, but 4.08 vs 3.41 since 2017 - 2018 only favorable home split barely as in 2017 he was a 5.40 vs 1.71 at home). 1.69 WHIP at home vs 0.71 WHIP away. Granted he played Detroit on the road and Cleveland at home getting shelled for 5 hits, 4 BBs, and 4 runs in 5.1 innings. Dont even have to look at Leblanc bc he has been very off this year with a 7+ ERA, but favored splits Away vs Home (3.00 ERA, 1.17 WHIP vs 9.49 ERA, 2.27 WHIP at home). That being said - big thing to note he played Twins, Astros, and Red Sox at home - not very fun if you ask me. Mendgen is a great opponent average but .222 vs lefties and Seattle has rostered 5 of them. I am high on Omar Narvaez and Vogelbach.

As ML or over 9.5? Ump is Bill Welke who has a spot on average of 9.5 runs per game hes behind the plate.

Next up, love the over in Texas/Angels. We know Texas bats and dont have to write up anything there and Trout/Ohtani can do their work vs Smyly who represents a 9.00 ERA and 2.13 WHIP on the road, getting smashed by Angels in LA on April 6th for 4 runs in 3.1 innings - 6 hits, 3 BBs, and 1 homer.

Ill definitely be on the Angels/Texas over.

Whats the forum think?