MLB - Wednesday, 4/17/19

[LT Profits]

3 MLB Plays Wednesday

Mets +106 (Heritage)
Royals / White Sox UNDER 9 -110 (Heritage)
Angels / Rangers UNDER 10.5 +100 (Heritage)


YTD: 33-42-2, -7.24

[MinnesotaFats]

I feel a big run coming

Time to tail!

[NBAtony]

I feel a big run coming

Time to tail!

yes.

also the wind/temp should help both of those unders

tail all 3 bol!

[jjgold]

The model not reading things correctly early on

[jolyolyolyman]

The model not reading things correctly early on

Sure missed on that Phils/Mets Under yesterday. It went over in the first inning. Now backing the Mets with Arrieta on the mound for the Phils. Very Interesting model...

[dirtycash66]

The model not reading things correctly early on

Shut TF up what the hell do you know asss clown

[Doogie M.D.]

Orioles ?

[thirdeye42]

Another loser for LT with the Mets. Worst capper on this site

[LT Profits]

Orioles ?

Not for me, I get Rays 71% (-245)

[LT Profits]

Another loser for LT with the Mets. Worst capper on this site

Why, because I am -7 units in April?

Do a little simple research before posting stupid shit like that, I am currently up double-digits in both NBA and NHL and the only sport I lost in over the past year was College Hoops, where I came back from almost -40 to finish a scant -1.something. Not to mention 4 winning MLB seasons in the last 5 years.

[dirtycash66]

Why, because I am -7 units in April?

Do a little simple research before posting stupid shit like that, I am currently up double-digits in both NBA and NHL and the only sport I lost in over the past year was College Hoops, where I came back from almost -40 to finish a scant -1.something. Not to mention 4 winning MLB seasons in the last 5 years.

[eaglesfan371]

Why, because I am -7 units in April?

Do a little simple research before posting stupid shit like that, I am currently up double-digits in both NBA and NHL and the only sport I lost in over the past year was College Hoops, where I came back from almost -40 to finish a scant -1.something. Not to mention 4 winning MLB seasons in the last 5 years.

Over the past 5 years, what is your combined record across all sports?

[KVB]

Was on the Mets too in the Contrarian Fund, bases loaded top of the ninth and couldn't get it done.

[eaglesfan371]

Also, what does the model have Astros/Athletics tonight. I see a lot of sharp action on athletics from movement but I struggle to see how oakland is more than a -105 true line ML even though Miley is a below average pitcher. Astros have had As number for past year or two and Miley has done well against them historically. Nothing stands out from the lineups. While I definitely understand pitching favors the As here, can't see why the line is moving so much.

[spippen]

Was on the Mets too in the Contrarian Fund, bases loaded top of the ninth and couldn't get it done.

Me too. That's the Mets for you.

[LT Profits]

Also, what does the model have Astros/Athletics tonight. I see a lot of sharp action on athletics from movement but I struggle to see how oakland is more than a -105 true line ML even though Miley is a below average pitcher. Astros have had As number for past year or two and Miley has done well against them historically. Nothing stands out from the lineups. While I definitely understand pitching favors the As here, can't see why the line is moving so much.

I have Astros 55% (-122) so line movement is a mystery to me with what looks like normal lineups. And as I have said several times, I never like when line runs away so much from model line, so I am not getting involved.

[KVB]

I have Astros 55% (-122) so line movement is a mystery to me with what looks like normal lineups. And as I have said several times, I never like when line runs away so much from model line, so I am not getting involved.

Bottom line, sharp, respectable money spoke and the market reacted. Maybe the books created the situation, maybe not, but I can't identify much buyback here, just a stall around +104 - +106.

Oakland even had Estrada hit the injury list, yet still no buyback.

I like Oakland here, in agreement with that money, but it hasn't triggered a play in the Fund.

[El Sol]

Another loser for LT with the Mets. Worst capper on this site

these guys. They come on, follow some stranger on a random day, lose, yell at the capper for losing than you never hear from them again....

[spippen]

It's not LT's fault that the Mets suck. The Mets suck. If you want to bet the Mets be ready for a loss because the Mets suck. Come back in June and I bet LT is up strong units.

[Doogie M.D.]

Thanks for the Orioles tip. I took Rays -1.5
Figures Marlins kill me with 10 runs, then immediately follow that up with scores of 1...2....0....0 ugh

[eaglesfan371]

Crying inside

Took Astros, got "trapped"

Oh well, onto the next. Overall even for the day. Mad at myself for taking 1st 5 instead of full game pirates...

[LT Profits]

At the end of the day, a winning 2-1.

[spippen]

At the end of the day, a winning 2-1.

Feels good right? Looks like almost all games except a couple stayed under the total.

[LT Profits]

Feels good right? Looks like almost all games except a couple stayed under the total.

Yeah totals are close to 50/50 overall this season, so fact that I am like 8 games under .500 in Unders is just random variance, I should be alright.