MLB - Friday, 4/12/19

44 Mag · 04-12-19, 07:40 AM

Originally posted by LT Profits

2 MLB Plays Friday

Blue Jays +115 (Heritage)
Rays / Blue Jays UNDER 8.5 -110 (Heritage)

YTD: 26-32-2, -2.90

GM Boss, wind blowing out in Chicago (cubs) to straight away dead center at 22 mph..... No total posted yet. What does your "time machine" tell you????

44 Mag · 04-12-19, 07:41 AM

Weather 8/06 - Daily Baseball Data

http://dailybaseballdata.com/cgi-bin/weather.pl

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LT Profits · 04-12-19, 08:19 AM

Originally posted by 44 Mag

GM Boss, wind blowing out in Chicago (cubs) to straight away dead center at 22 mph..... No total posted yet. What does your "time machine" tell you????

Model is weather neutral, and it has 9.7

pilebuck13 · 04-12-19, 10:32 AM

Hope you been cashing on the mariners T

qtip0711 · 04-12-19, 10:35 AM

Tough card today, dont see much to lean on. Even the hot Mariners bats are running into HOU who has won 6 stright

LT Profits · 04-12-19, 10:43 AM

Originally posted by pilebuck13

Hope you been cashing on the mariners T

Nope, have not bet them at all that I can recall.

LT Profits · 04-12-19, 10:46 AM

Originally posted by qtip0711

Tough card today, dont see much to lean on. Even the hot Mariners bats are running into HOU who has won 6 stright

Mariners are a mirage, they will be around a .500 team at the end of the year.

tripled83 · 04-12-19, 10:47 AM

What kind of numbers are you getting for the Orioles and the cws? I feel like the numbers are inflated

eaglesfan371 · 04-12-19, 10:48 AM

Originally posted by pilebuck13

Hope you been cashing on the mariners T

If you see hot favs winning and dogs losing, you can safely predict that LT will have a rough year.

@LT the bet365 data, have not observed it but if true, that majority of total bets are the UNDER in MLB, well that changes a lot of things you know. If public is generally on unders, a lot less / maybe no value on unders.

Machba · 04-12-19, 10:52 AM

Gl lt

LT Profits · 04-12-19, 03:03 PM

Originally posted by tripled83

What kind of numbers are you getting for the Orioles and the cws? I feel like the numbers are inflated

They seem rightfully inflated to me.

Boston 71% (-245)
Yankees 69% (-223)

LT Profits · 04-12-19, 03:08 PM

Originally posted by eaglesfan371

If you see hot favs winning and dogs losing, you can safely predict that LT will have a rough year.

@LT the bet365 data, have not observed it but if true, that majority of total bets are the UNDER in MLB, well that changes a lot of things you know. If public is generally on unders, a lot less / maybe no value on unders.

Bet percentages are not a part of my model, I just naturally tend to land on the non-public side, which is actually not surprising. Apparently landing on public totals so far, but that probably won't last.

Conqueror · 04-12-19, 05:50 PM

How is Orioles FF not a value play?

2daBank · 04-12-19, 06:02 PM

Originally posted by qtip0711

Tough card today, dont see much to lean on. Even the hot Mariners bats are running into HOU who has won 6 stright

Loving that over, don’t respect either lefty and both clubs been raking lhp this year.

dirtycash66 · 04-12-19, 06:55 PM

Looks like a quick 0-2 day for you today LT

LT Profits · 04-13-19, 05:54 AM

Originally posted by dirtycash66

Looks like a quick 0-2 day for you today LT

Luckily offset by 3-0 NHL all at +odds.