Kenny King 2-Game Regress Chase

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  • Kenny King
    SBR High Roller
    • 02-04-16
    • 168

    #1
    Kenny King 2-Game Regress Chase
    I will begin here with a 2K bankroll and chase 2 games attempting to win a maximum amount on game 1. When game 1 loses I will come back on game 2 to win a lesser amount than I attempted to win on game 1.

    Game 1 laying $441 to win $300 on the Reds
    Game 1 laying $483 to win $300 on the Cubs

    If 1 or both of these lose I will chase tomorrow to win back the loss + $100

    A unit size for me is $100. The maximum I will try to win at any time is $300. The minimum is $100.
  • Kenny King
    SBR High Roller
    • 02-04-16
    • 168

    #2
    One thing I failed to consider when taking these plays was the weather for tomorrow’s games. Hopefully this will be over and done tonight.
    Comment
    • Kenny King
      SBR High Roller
      • 02-04-16
      • 168

      #3
      Began with $2000
      Currently at $1817

      B bet on Cubs betting $780 to win $583
      Comment
      • Kenny King
        SBR High Roller
        • 02-04-16
        • 168

        #4
        I’m adding a new play on the Rockies laying $351 to win $300
        Comment
        • Kenny King
          SBR High Roller
          • 02-04-16
          • 168

          #5
          Starting Bankroll $2000
          Current Bankroll $2050

          I am going to abandon the Rockies play. They gave last nights great pitching performance away and because of that I don’t have enough confidence in them to come back with more money tonight.
          Comment
          • Kenny King
            SBR High Roller
            • 02-04-16
            • 168

            #6
            I will be playing to win $300 on both the Astros and Cubs ML’s today Saturday.
            Comment
            • Kenny King
              SBR High Roller
              • 02-04-16
              • 168

              #7
              Starting Bankroll $2000
              Current Bankroll $1750

              Tuesday $417 to win $300 on the Cubs
              $411 to win $300 on the Dodgers -1
              Comment
              • Kenny King
                SBR High Roller
                • 02-04-16
                • 168

                #8
                Starting Bankroll $2000
                Current Bankroll $2350

                I’m going to the well with the Cubs tonight laying 320 to win 200. Since this is the last game of the series I won’t be chasing if this loses. I just like the vibe of the series for Chicago and expect them to sweep.
                Comment
                • Kenny King
                  SBR High Roller
                  • 02-04-16
                  • 168

                  #9
                  Starting Bankroll $2000
                  Current Bankroll $2550

                  Tonight I am laying $597 to win $300
                  on the Yanks and $327 to win $300 on the Rockies.

                  I’m a glutton for punishment taking the banged up Yankees at this price, but they have won 3 of 4 and should be a little on edge after losing 2 of 3 at home to the crappy White Sox last weekend.

                  The vibe I’m feeling with the Rockies is that they finally have left the dock. A home win should be imminent.
                  Comment
                  • Kenny King
                    SBR High Roller
                    • 02-04-16
                    • 168

                    #10
                    Starting Bankroll $2000
                    Current Bankroll $2253

                    In hindsight I am kicking myself for taking the Yanks. Fresh off of playing Boston mentally AND being injury riddled was too much to overcome. They were sleep walking. I considered all of those things briefly before playing it, but was still sucked in because “it’s the Yanks” and I thought they would smash Homer Bailey.

                    Today:
                    Cubs $507 to win $300
                    Indians $408 to win $300
                    Yanks $1218 to win $700
                    Comment
                    • Kenny King
                      SBR High Roller
                      • 02-04-16
                      • 168

                      #11
                      Starting Bankroll $2000
                      Current Bankroll $3253

                      There are soooo many plays that I like today. It’s hard when the board looks like this because I know if I jump out there on everything I am likely to get burnt. I’ve never been good with over exposure. I will be back with my narrowed down selections as soon as I decide.
                      Comment
                      • Kenny King
                        SBR High Roller
                        • 02-04-16
                        • 168

                        #12
                        Today Saturday I will go with:

                        Yanks -1.5 $390 to win $300, if this loses I will chase Max Scherzer -1.5 right afterwards.

                        Indians $483 to win $300

                        Possibly another to come. I haven’t fully decided yet.
                        Comment
                        • 2teamteaseme
                          SBR Rookie
                          • 02-22-19
                          • 13

                          #13
                          GL kid
                          Comment
                          • Kenny King
                            SBR High Roller
                            • 02-04-16
                            • 168

                            #14
                            Assuming the Indians hold on and win I am coming back on them in game 2 tonight with:

                            $483 to win $300

                            If the Indians blow game 1 I will be on them to win $400 in game 2.
                            Comment
                            • Kenny King
                              SBR High Roller
                              • 02-04-16
                              • 168

                              #15
                              To keep things updated:

                              Starting Bankroll $2000
                              Current Bankroll $3853

                              Indians Gm 2 of DH $483 to win $300
                              Comment
                              • Kenny King
                                SBR High Roller
                                • 02-04-16
                                • 168

                                #16
                                Starting Bankroll $2000
                                Current Bankroll $3370

                                Since the Indians gave away a win I will NOT come back and chase them tomorrow. I will be back Monday to start again.
                                Comment
                                • Kenny King
                                  SBR High Roller
                                  • 02-04-16
                                  • 168

                                  #17
                                  My Monday plays are:

                                  Phillies $321 to win $300
                                  Oakland $438 to win $300

                                  Arrieta is hot and Matz is not nor has he been for some time. The Mets have not played very well at all lately and their bats are cooling. The Phillies are consistent even though they lost 3 of 4 in Colorado. That doesn’t discourage me because Philly caught the Rocks at just the wrong time when they were due some good results.

                                  The Athletics caught the streaking Jays at just the wrong time which happens we to be the exact time the A’s bats disappeared. I’m hoping The Rangers have a little bit of a hangover after putting it on their in state big brother over the weekend. The A’s have a solid call up pitching that should be out to prove his worth tonight.
                                  Comment
                                  • chargers4222
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 01-16-10
                                    • 4702

                                    #18
                                    Seems risky. Have you used this chase system in the past? How'd it work out?
                                    Comment
                                    • Kenny King
                                      SBR High Roller
                                      • 02-04-16
                                      • 168

                                      #19
                                      It is risky and henges on my ability to make good decisions with these plays. I did very well last year with it, but again, I have to pick winners. There will be times where I get burnt. Hopefully I can make good enough decisions to overcome those times. I don’t know if you have been watching here since I started it, but I don’t always follow through with the chase. I have bailed after 1 loss multiple times. It’s fluid. Sometimes situations occur that change my mind and confidence level. It’s not hard set parameters that say I have to chase out EVERY series I start.
                                      Comment
                                      • Kenny King
                                        SBR High Roller
                                        • 02-04-16
                                        • 168

                                        #20
                                        Starting Bankroll $2000
                                        Current Bankroll $3349

                                        I am abandoning the Phillies chase.

                                        Today’s plays are:
                                        Red Sox $672 to win $300
                                        Oakland $453 to win $300

                                        There will be another play on the Red Sox 2nd game.
                                        Comment
                                        • Kenny King
                                          SBR High Roller
                                          • 02-04-16
                                          • 168

                                          #21
                                          Starting Bankroll $2000
                                          Current Bankroll $2677

                                          That was a tough blow. To protect the bankroll I won’t comeback on Boston tonight. The price is too steep for a chase. I would have run it again had the Sox won. We will still be on Oakland and:

                                          Add San Diego $393 to win $300
                                          Comment
                                          • Kenny King
                                            SBR High Roller
                                            • 02-04-16
                                            • 168

                                            #22
                                            Starting Bankroll $2000
                                            Current Bankroll $3277

                                            I know I’m cruising for a bruising but I will lay $560 to win $300 on the Astros -1 tonight. I know what to expect from Verlander and suspect that the Astros should fire off on the Minnesota pitcher.
                                            This is a 1 and done play. No chase here.
                                            Comment
                                            • Kenny King
                                              SBR High Roller
                                              • 02-04-16
                                              • 168

                                              #23
                                              Starting Bankroll $2000
                                              Current Bankroll $3577

                                              Hopefully the weekend brings good fortune.
                                              Comment
                                              • Kenny King
                                                SBR High Roller
                                                • 02-04-16
                                                • 168

                                                #24
                                                Friday Plays:

                                                $636 to win $300 on the Nats
                                                $507 to win $300 on the Dodgers
                                                Comment
                                                • Kenny King
                                                  SBR High Roller
                                                  • 02-04-16
                                                  • 168

                                                  #25
                                                  Starting Bankroll $2000
                                                  Current Bankroll $3241

                                                  Saturday Plays:
                                                  Risking $1222 to win $736 on the Nats
                                                  Risking $507 to win $300 on the Phillies
                                                  Risking $475 to win $300 on the Dodgers -1
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Kenny King
                                                    SBR High Roller
                                                    • 02-04-16
                                                    • 168

                                                    #26
                                                    Starting Bankroll $2000
                                                    Current Bankroll $2619

                                                    Note to self, Nats bullpen really is as bad as advertised.
                                                    Another note to self, the Padres really are much improved and gritty tough.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Kenny King
                                                      SBR High Roller
                                                      • 02-04-16
                                                      • 168

                                                      #27
                                                      1 play for me today on the Dodgers -1 risking $430.50 to win $310.50

                                                      This isn't a chase play, I just feel like this is a good place to ride the Pittsburgh 7 game losing streak.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Kenny King
                                                        SBR High Roller
                                                        • 02-04-16
                                                        • 168

                                                        #28
                                                        Today I am laying $486 to win $300 on the Braves
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Kenny King
                                                          SBR High Roller
                                                          • 02-04-16
                                                          • 168

                                                          #29
                                                          Starting Bankroll $2000
                                                          Current Bankroll $2919

                                                          Tuesday Plays:
                                                          Risking $330 to win $300 on Braves
                                                          Risking $495 to win $300 on Astros
                                                          Risking $576 to win $300 on Phillies
                                                          Risking $405 to win $300 on the Cubs

                                                          I don’t like overexposure at all, but tonight I love these plays too much to pass up. Hopefully we have a consensus night.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Kenny King
                                                            SBR High Roller
                                                            • 02-04-16
                                                            • 168

                                                            #30
                                                            Starting Bankroll $2000
                                                            Current Bankroll $2613

                                                            Risking $657 to win $430 on Braves
                                                            Risking $1527.77 to win $676 on Phillies
                                                            Risking $558 to win $300 on White Sox Game 1 of DH
                                                            Risking $441 to win $300 on Rays Game 1 of DH
                                                            Comment
                                                            • oilcountry99
                                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                                              • 08-29-10
                                                              • 707

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by Kenny King
                                                              Starting Bankroll $2000
                                                              Current Bankroll $2613

                                                              Risking $657 to win $430 on Braves
                                                              Risking $1527.77 to win $676 on Phillies
                                                              Risking $558 to win $300 on White Sox Game 1 of DH
                                                              Risking $441 to win $300 on Rays Game 1 of DH
                                                              Kenny...you're risking more than your bankroll....
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Kenny King
                                                                SBR High Roller
                                                                • 02-04-16
                                                                • 168

                                                                #32
                                                                This is a case where I have allotted $2000 of my bankroll for this. My full bankroll is $10K + whatever I’m up over $2000 here. So, in the highly unlikely event that all 4 should lose then this would have ended with me losing a little more than $2K. Last year I won 13K doing this very thing, except starting with $200 rather than $300. I thought it would be fun to try to do it publicly so I can catch some betpoints if it works out ok. All it takes is 1 hot streak and you can really get a cushion.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • oilcountry99
                                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                                  • 08-29-10
                                                                  • 707

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by Kenny King
                                                                  This is a case where I have allotted $2000 of my bankroll for this. My full bankroll is $10K + whatever I’m up over $2000 here. So, in the highly unlikely event that all 4 should lose then this would have ended with me losing a little more than $2K. Last year I won 13K doing this very thing, except starting with $200 rather than $300. I thought it would be fun to try to do it publicly so I can catch some betpoints if it works out ok. All it takes is 1 hot streak and you can really get a cushion.
                                                                  Your starting BR is 10K then. You're pulling funds from 10K not 2K
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Kenny King
                                                                    SBR High Roller
                                                                    • 02-04-16
                                                                    • 168

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Starting Bankroll $2000
                                                                    Current Bankroll $2720

                                                                    Risking $573 to win $300 on Red Sox
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Kenny King
                                                                      SBR High Roller
                                                                      • 02-04-16
                                                                      • 168

                                                                      #35
                                                                      No, the starting bankroll for this is $2K because that’s what I’m willing to risk here plus a little spillover if it comes to that. It’s what I am actually playing. If anyone is following they can adjust to whatever their bankroll comfort is. The starting Bankroll here is NOT $10K because I’m not willing for it to be.
                                                                      Comment
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