Fred The Hammers MLB Season Thread

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  • Fred The Hammer
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 08-13-13
    • 11581

    #71
    Originally posted by rclang64
    Damn, I can’t find this at Bovada or Heritage.

    Nevermind

    Heritage has 5 inning lines I think? I'm on 5 dimes 95% of the time.

    Fk me....leadoff double for Minn. The tying run beats my Under. This has been a tough one...guys on base all night long.
    Comment
    • Fred The Hammer
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 08-13-13
      • 11581

      #72
      Ian Kennedy as a closer? He sucks? KC has some nice bats but their pitching sucks.

      9-3 (+ $754)
      Comment
      • Fred The Hammer
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 08-13-13
        • 11581

        #73
        Back in the win column with Arizona! They're pounding this Lauer kid. 2 outs from winning the KC game....oh well. 1-1 beats the hell out of 0-2

        10-3 (+ $834)
        Comment
        • Fred The Hammer
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 08-13-13
          • 11581

          #74
          Rangers cashed +205 tonite. Already cashed +125 and +150 vs the Cubs. They can score runs and LeClerc is as good as any closer in the game! They're definitely undervalued at this point!
          Comment
          • Jeff_Black
            SBR MVP
            • 04-04-15
            • 3571

            #75
            Nice work, annoyed at myself for sitting out on the Dbacks, Grienke should still go ok when it's the right price.
            Comment
            • spippen
              SBR MVP
              • 03-17-09
              • 3874

              #76
              Originally posted by Fred The Hammer
              Rangers cashed +205 tonite. Already cashed +125 and +150 vs the Cubs. They can score runs and LeClerc is as good as any closer in the game! They're definitely undervalued at this point!
              Yes Rangers have been strong. Starting off like Baltimore. Winning when nobody expects them too. I'm from Boston and I won't put $ on Sox until they steer the ship correctly.
              Comment
              • spippen
                SBR MVP
                • 03-17-09
                • 3874

                #77
                Originally posted by Jeff_Black
                Nice work, annoyed at myself for sitting out on the Dbacks, Grienke should still go ok when it's the right price.
                Don't beat yourself up. There will be plenty of chances and you'll forget all about this one after a the next win or two.
                Comment
                • Fred The Hammer
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 08-13-13
                  • 11581

                  #78
                  Adding:

                  Twins Over 4.5 (-125) $200 to win $160

                  Homer Bailey is my favorite whipping boy. The Reds were like 1-20 in his starts last year...lol. He's that shitty. It was free money! Not to mention KC's pen is trash. Extra innings last night so the skipper will probably leave Bailey in there a little longer. Looks like a perfect storm. My biggest play so far!! Only fear is Minn sits half their lineup with a day game after a night game, but even scrubs off the bench can hit Bailey

                  I want this one!!

                  Lets Get It!!!

                  Comment
                  • spippen
                    SBR MVP
                    • 03-17-09
                    • 3874

                    #79
                    I like it.
                    Comment
                    • swordsandtequila
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 02-23-12
                      • 9757

                      #80
                      Took Reduced -120 @ 5ds
                      Comment
                      • consensusontap
                        SBR Sharp
                        • 08-19-18
                        • 459

                        #81
                        You can bet it will cash, he is horrible
                        Comment
                        • Fred The Hammer
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 08-13-13
                          • 11581

                          #82
                          Mondesi.....uhhh. That bloop could've been the winner? Kid is so talented! I picked him on every one of my fantasy teams. Well we have 9 outs to go versus a shitty KC bullpen. I like our chances!
                          Comment
                          • magpie878
                            SBR MVP
                            • 10-04-18
                            • 1430

                            #83
                            I tried to get fancy yesterday and parlayed the DBacks/Under bets.. so close.
                            Comment
                            • skoalclasic
                              SBR High Roller
                              • 09-14-17
                              • 202

                              #84
                              Freddys hot lets gooo
                              Comment
                              • Fred The Hammer
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 08-13-13
                                • 11581

                                #85
                                There we go!! Man on 1st w/2 outs and they held him on 3rd after a ringing double. I was worried....but they got it done!!



                                11-3 (+$994)
                                Comment
                                • mikmik
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 05-13-12
                                  • 5457

                                  #86
                                  penetrate I need a book with tt options
                                  Comment
                                  • swordsandtequila
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 02-23-12
                                    • 9757

                                    #87
                                    Originally posted by Fred The Hammer
                                    There we go!! Man on 1st w/2 outs and they held him on 3rd after a ringing double. I was worried....but they got it done!!



                                    11-3 (+$994)
                                    Comment
                                    • skoalclasic
                                      SBR High Roller
                                      • 09-14-17
                                      • 202

                                      #88
                                      Originally posted by Fred The Hammer
                                      There we go!! Man on 1st w/2 outs and they held him on 3rd after a ringing double. I was worried....but they got it done!!



                                      11-3 (+$994)
                                      Anymore for the day?
                                      Comment
                                      • magpie878
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 10-04-18
                                        • 1430

                                        #89
                                        Lol, I joined in late at 6-4, used a $20 free bet on over 4.5 at -110. Nice job.
                                        Comment
                                        • Fred The Hammer
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 08-13-13
                                          • 11581

                                          #90
                                          Thanks fellas! Lets keep it going!

                                          Adding:

                                          Houston/Texas Over 8.5 (-120) buying .5 run $120 to win $100

                                          4 of the Rangers 5 games have scored 9+ or more. Houston is also due to get hot with the bats at some point. They have too many good hitters! The Ballpark at Arlington is also a launching pad whether either or both teams could hit this Over.....like the 11-10 game with the Cubs the other day

                                          Good Luck!!


                                          Comment
                                          • magpie878
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 10-04-18
                                            • 1430

                                            #91
                                            Thanks, good luck.
                                            Comment
                                            • Fred The Hammer
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 08-13-13
                                              • 11581

                                              #92
                                              Cole getting squeezed already....I like it. I'm not an umpires guy by the way. If any of you guys are then feel free to let me know. This guy is going to have alot of Overs with his strike zone. Both pitchers have great stuff though....Cole hit 99mph vs Choo
                                              Comment
                                              • 2daBank
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 01-26-09
                                                • 88966

                                                #93
                                                Originally posted by Fred The Hammer
                                                Cole getting squeezed already....I like it. I'm not an umpires guy by the way. If any of you guys are then feel free to let me know. This guy is going to have alot of Overs with his strike zone. Both pitchers have great stuff though....Cole hit 99mph vs Choo
                                                I have a pretty substantial book (yes I’m old school, lol) on them Fred if you ever need anything on one in particular. Hudson def has a tight zone. For whatever reason his games don’t have any type over lean but his k% is typically in the 62% range which is low.

                                                I been on over both these cub/atl games and the amount of runners scrubbies been standing this series is giving me a headache! lol
                                                Comment
                                                • Fred The Hammer
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 08-13-13
                                                  • 11581

                                                  #94
                                                  Originally posted by 2daBank
                                                  I have a pretty substantial book (yes I’m old school, lol) on them Fred if you ever need anything on one in particular. Hudson def has a tight zone. For whatever reason his games don’t have any type over lean but his k% is typically in the 62% range which is low.

                                                  I been on over both these cub/atl games and the amount of runners scrubbies been standing this series is giving me a headache! lol
                                                  Thanks man. I think this one is a loser. Sometimes you just see the stuff they have in the 1st and you can tell. Minor was hitting 95 and snapping off the slider. Cole was hitting 99 even though they scratched 3 runs across on him. Oh well....probably trying to push it too much. You can never feel good about betting Under in that park. It looks like a game to just pass on?
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Fred The Hammer
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 08-13-13
                                                    • 11581

                                                    #95
                                                    Yeah....Teheran with 6 hits/3 walks allowed in 5ip but only 1 run? Ton of guys stranded sucks when you're on the Over
                                                    Comment
                                                    • 2daBank
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 01-26-09
                                                      • 88966

                                                      #96
                                                      Originally posted by Fred The Hammer
                                                      Thanks man. I think this one is a loser. Sometimes you just see the stuff they have in the 1st and you can tell. Minor was hitting 95 and snapping off the slider. Cole was hitting 99 even though they scratched 3 runs across on him. Oh well....probably trying to push it too much. You can never feel good about betting Under in that park. It looks like a game to just pass on?
                                                      I misread your post somehow thought you were talking bout different gm, lol. I dunno who the ump was in Texas I didn’t cap that one. Texas stadium used to be amazing for overs especially when wind was blowing in from right cause it bounced around and created a jet stream, few years ago they had to be assholes and do something to block the wind, think it has played pretty neutral since then.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Fred The Hammer
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 08-13-13
                                                        • 11581

                                                        #97
                                                        Well I was looking at the Cubs/Atl Over but didn't play it? Played Houston/TX Over but Hou can't hit for some reason?

                                                        11-4 (+$874)

                                                        Love this card today!!! Playing atleast 3-4 games
                                                        Adding:

                                                        KC (-107) over Detroit $128 to win $120

                                                        Junis is 6-1 lifetime vs the Tigers and his velocity is up from last year. I like their sticks better as well.

                                                        Stay tuned....going to have atleast 2 more plays after this Winner!!!
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Fred The Hammer
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 08-13-13
                                                          • 11581

                                                          #98
                                                          Junis is rolling now....only 1 baserunner since the 1st inning. I like him! He's not throwing very hard, but that slider looks like vintage Kluber today! Junis is only 26 and had a 3.35 era after the AS break last year. I think he's a guy that has gained some confidence and should be a pretty good #2-#3 starter moving forward.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Bigbill365
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 06-22-12
                                                            • 4572

                                                            #99
                                                            Det ml fuk
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Fred The Hammer
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 08-13-13
                                                              • 11581

                                                              #100
                                                              Walk the bases loaded....Jesus? Make that 4 walks in a row? Little league bs? Detroit has hit 1 ball hard all day and KC just gave it to them. Oh well. KC is a major Over play this year. Thats going to pay off down the road.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Fred The Hammer
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 08-13-13
                                                                • 11581

                                                                #101
                                                                bullshit? Bunch of walks and 2 bloop ass hits? Oh well.

                                                                11-5 (+ $746)
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Fred The Hammer
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 08-13-13
                                                                  • 11581

                                                                  #102
                                                                  Adding:

                                                                  Cubs/Braves Over 8.5 (-125) buying .5 run $275 to win $220

                                                                  My best play of the day! Both teams are combined for 7-1-2 Over the total! Darvish is a mess and is all over the place. I don't expect him to last long. I actually like the Braves young lefty Max Fried, but his control isn't good at this point in his career. A 1.47 career whip? Expect the Cubs to wait him out and get alot of guys on base. Finally the Cubs pen is our ace in the hole. Just like I should've put more importance on how bad KCs pen is. I've talked about it 5 times on here already, but I bet (and lost) with them today. The Cubs are a fkn mess in their pen and they should be forced to use it early today! Lets take advantage!!!

                                                                  Lets Get This One!!!

                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • spippen
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 03-17-09
                                                                    • 3874

                                                                    #103
                                                                    Great analysis as always. Let's get this!
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • The_Kid
                                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                      • 02-09-08
                                                                      • 5049

                                                                      #104
                                                                      Originally posted by Fred The Hammer
                                                                      Adding:

                                                                      Cubs/Braves Over 8.5 (-125) buying .5 run $275 to win $220

                                                                      My best play of the day! Both teams are combined for 7-1-2 Over the total! Darvish is a mess and is all over the place. I don't expect him to last long. I actually like the Braves young lefty Max Fried, but his control isn't good at this point in his career. A 1.47 career whip? Expect the Cubs to wait him out and get alot of guys on base. Finally the Cubs pen is our ace in the hole. Just like I should've put more importance on how bad KCs pen is. I've talked about it 5 times on here already, but I bet (and lost) with them today. The Cubs are a fkn mess in their pen and they should be forced to use it early today! Lets take advantage!!!

                                                                      Lets Get This One!!!

                                                                      Good luck. Cubs pen with an 8.83 ERA, 22 K/17 BB ratio and .294 BAA through 5 games. Messy is right.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Fred The Hammer
                                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                                        • 08-13-13
                                                                        • 11581

                                                                        #105
                                                                        Cubs pen doing what they do!! We need a big crooked number here? Like 5 or 6?
                                                                        Comment
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