AlMac's Simple MLB Betting System for first MONTH of baseball.

[aljack]

Will track record as I go...

Simple as this. Tail the bottom 8 teams on the futures market. Fade the top 8 teams on the futures market. If two top or two bottom teams play eachother. The bets cancel eachother out.

FADE:NYY, HOU, BOS, LAD, PHI, CHC, CLE, MIL
TAIL:MIA, BAL, KC, DET, TEX, SEA, SF, TOR

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3.28.19

STL -105,
ATL +172,
ARZ +145,
SF +101,
MIA +125,
BAL +316,
TB +120,
MIN +108,
KC -107,
SEA +171,
TEX +113,

[vsquare]

newbie question .....what is the difference between tailing & fading ?

[Pointguard3]

I am intrigued by this system...is their any previous records or years it’s been used?

Thanks and good luck this season

[aljack]

newbie question .....what is the difference between tailing & fading ?

Tail means bet on, fade means bet against.

[aljack]

I am intrigued by this system...is their any previous records or years it’s been used?

Thanks and good luck this season

All I know is that last year I did the same thing and ended up +40u's by May. I didn't jump off at right time and ended up losing a bunch of the profits. So this year I will try to track it properly and jump off once I see the ROI start to dip.

[VeggieDog]

I'm in. GL!

[aljack]

Yesterday: 3-8, -4.22u
YTD: 5-8, -1.89u

(3.29.19)
Tampa +122,
St. Louis -108,
Arizona +149,
Giants +134,
Seattle +124

**I would roll my unit size way back when the system is in the minus. Like from 2.5% down too 1%, or 1% down to 0.5%**

[juicername]

Cool idea. You are using up to date daily numbers for the futures market to determine the plays I assume?

[juicername]

If a top 8 and a bottom 8 play each other, does that make it an even stronger angle?

[aljack]

Not just yet, I will have another system with that mentality coming later in the season.

[aljack]

Yesterday: 3-8, -4.22u
YTD: 5-8, -1.89u

(3.29.19)
Tampa +122,
St. Louis -108,
Arizona +149,
Giants +134,
Seattle +124

**I would roll my unit size way back when the system is in the minus. Like from 2.5% down too 1%, or 1% down to 0.5%**

I forgot to add Miami yesterday, which was a loss.

(3.29.19)
Tampa +122, (WIN)
St. Louis -108 (WIN)
Arizona +149 (WIN)
Giants +134 (LOSS)
Seattle +124 (LOSS)
MIAMI (LOSS)
YTD: 8-11, -1.26u
---
(3.30.19)

BAL +323,
MIN +105,
KC -134,
MIA +115,
TB +105,
STL +118,
TEX +131,
SF +111,
ARZ +177,
SEA +144,

[aljack]

YTD: 8-11, -1.26u
---
(3.30.19)

BAL +323, (WIN)
MIN +105, (WIN)
KC -134, (LOSS)
MIA +115, (WIN)
TB +105, (WIN)
STL +118, (LOSS)
TEX +131, (WIN)
SF +111, (LOSS)
.ARZ +177, (LOSS)
SEA +144, (WIN)

Yesterday: 6-4, +7.34u
YTD: 14-15, +6.08u

Here we go, starting to heat up. Let's go!
today's picks coming soon...

[spippen]

watching. nice come back on units. GL today.

[aljack]

So far...

YTD: 14-15, +6.08u,

That's +0.52% ROI per bet @ 2.5% each wager.
+$20.97 win or lose per bet @ $100 per bet.

4.1.19
CWS +138
DET +182
CINC -105
ATL -105
MIA +113
TEX +140
OAK +117
SF +177
ARZ +137
SEA -104

[gojetsgomoxies]

great idea.......... i did a back test on something with alot of similiarity (based on last year's record which is not the same thing). didn't notice a pattern but it makes sense to me.

can you break out fading the darling teams and tailing the pitied teams?.... i like the latter better than the former, although that might be biased just from seeing baltimore this last weekend vs. yankees

[aljack]

great idea.......... i did a back test on something with alot of similiarity (based on last year's record which is not the same thing). didn't notice a pattern but it makes sense to me.

can you break out fading the darling teams and tailing the pitied teams?.... i like the latter better than the former, although that might be biased just from seeing baltimore this last weekend vs. yankees

I'm just trying to capture value on false expectation. That applies to the top 8 on the futures market and bottom 8.

[aljack]

So far...

YTD: 14-15, +6.08u,

That's +0.52% ROI per bet @ 2.5% each wager.
+$20.97 win or lose per bet @ $100 per bet.

4.1.19
CWS +138
DET +182
CINC -105
ATL -105
MIA +113
TEX +140
OAK +117
SF +177
ARZ +137 (RETRACTED)
SEA -104

Made a mistake and added Arizona to today's card. They are not one of the 16 teams on the system. So I am retracting the pick. Apologies if you tailed.

[k-i-d-d]

I like this ... 👍

[aljack]

So far...

YTD: 14-15, +6.08u,

That's +0.52% ROI per bet @ 2.5% each wager.
+$20.97 win or lose per bet @ $100 per bet.

4.1.19
CWS +138 (LOSS)
DET +182 (LOSS)
CINC -105 (LOSS)
ATL -105 (WIN)
MIA +113 (WIN)
TEX +140 (LOSS)
OAK +117 (WIN)
SF +177 (WIN)
SEA -104 (WIN)

Yesterday: 5-4, +1.97
YTD: 19-19, +8.05u

TODAY.

4.2.19

DET +191,
CINC -101,
MIA +122,
TEX +191,
KC +127,
OAK +147,
SF +142,
SEA -126

[aljack]

Yesterday: 5-4, +1.97
YTD: 19-19, +8.05u

TODAY.

4.2.19

DET +191 (WIN)
CINC -101 (LOSS)
MIA +122 (LOSS)
TEX +191 (WIN)
KC +127 (LOSS)
OAK +147 (WIN)
SF +142 (LOSS)
SEA -126 (WIN)

Yesterday: 4-4, +2.08u

YTD: 23-23, +10.13u

Today: 4.3.19

CINC -132
WSH +118
CWS +164
KC +120
DET +158
MIA +178
ATL -134
TEX +184
OAK +119
SF +161

[gojetsgomoxies]

good stuff.. i just thought of this thread today as the MLB scene has been like "bizarro world" so far. the AL especially

[aljack]

Yesterday: 4-4, +2.08u

YTD: 23-23, +10.13u

Today: 4.3.19

CINC -132 (LOSS)
WSH +118 (WIN)
CWS +164 (WIN)
KC +120 (LOSS)
DET +158 (WIN)
MIA +178 (LOSS)
ATL -134 (WIN)
TEX +184 (WIN)
OAK +119 (LOSS)
SF +161 (LOSS)

Yesterday: 5-5, +2u

YTD: 28-28, +12.13u

[aljack]

4.4.19

bal +174 (LOSS)
oak -104 (WIN)
tor +157 (LOSS)
atl -119 (WIN)
tex +128 (WIN)

[gojetsgomoxies]

this is just an idea.

but i think there's a big difference between young and old teams in terms of expected to be terrible. young teams surprise positively alot more

[aljack]

4.5.19

OAK +143 (LOSS)
ARZ +112 (WIN)
COL +115 (LOSS)
MIN +137 (LOSS)
TOR +125 (LOSS)
MIA +144 (LOSS)
TEX +101 (LOSS)
SEA -133 (LOSS)
SF +102 (LOSS)

Yesterday: 1-8, -6.88u
YTD: 32-38, +5.31u

[Bdolan33]

Quite the system.

[KANSAS24]

[aljack]

YTD: 32-38, +6.31u

4.6.19
MIN +124,
SEA -112,
TEX +143,
SF +110,
TOR +163,
BAL +152,
OAK +118,
MIA +146,
ARZ +121,
COL +106

[aljack]

YTD: 32-38, +6.31u

4.6.19
MIN +124 (WIN)
SEA -112 (WIN)
TEX +143 (LOSS)
SF +110 (WIN)
TOR +163 (LOSS)
BAL +152 (LOSS)
OAK +118 (LOSS)
MIA +146 (WIN)
ARZ +121 (WIN)
COL +106 (LOSS)

Yesterday: 5-5, +0.89u
YTD: 37-43, +7.2u

4.7.19:
BAL +161
MIN +106
TOR +132
MIA +134
SEA -106
OAK +155
SF +106
TEX +124
ARZ +111
COL +133

[aljack]

Yesterday: 5-5, +0.89u
YTD: 37-43, +7.2u

4.7.19:
BAL +161 (LOSS)
MIN +106 (LOSS)
TOR +132 (LOSS)
MIA +134 (LOSS)
SEA -106 (WIN)
OAK +155 (LOSS)
SF +106 (LOSS)
TEX +124 (LOSS)
ARZ +111 (LOSS)
COL +133 (LOSS)

Yesterday: 1-9, -8.06u
YTD: 38-52, -0.86u

The system might be dead.