This seems like a absolute no brainer. Obviously not saying it can’t lose but to get this discounted price with 1.5 runs is a long term winning play as in it cashes well more than 53.5% of the time imo.
Gio has historically been excellent on 6+ days rest as he has had coming into this game. .613 win percentage w some absolute gems in those 44 games in this situation.
Gio has been fantastic vs the doyers in his career! 6 quality starts in 6 games, one 8 inning gem to go along with 5 starts of 6 innings never allowing more than 3 runs which has led to a 4-1 record and a marvelous 1.89 era in games vs lad.
Gio has been great for milw since joining them including a 3-1 mark w a 2.67 era in miller park this season.
Brewers and league mvp Christian Yelich has owed kershaw going 9 for 17 w a double and 2 bombs in 18 career at bats.,expect brewers to get a few runs off him!!
Assuming Gio can continue his stellar pitching vs lad going 6 strong innings we then get some of nastiest relievers in the league to close out the 7th-8th-9th!! There just no reasonable way you should expect dodgers to score more than 3 runs, 4 at the absolute max.,getting 1.5 runs in a game with a low total where we should expect a pitchers duel is incredibly valuable, much more so than the small -115 price we have to pay.
Anything can happen and often does in a 9 inning baseball game but this is absolutely a solid play that cashes far more often than the price suggest..
Gio has historically been excellent on 6+ days rest as he has had coming into this game. .613 win percentage w some absolute gems in those 44 games in this situation.
Gio has been fantastic vs the doyers in his career! 6 quality starts in 6 games, one 8 inning gem to go along with 5 starts of 6 innings never allowing more than 3 runs which has led to a 4-1 record and a marvelous 1.89 era in games vs lad.
Gio has been great for milw since joining them including a 3-1 mark w a 2.67 era in miller park this season.
Brewers and league mvp Christian Yelich has owed kershaw going 9 for 17 w a double and 2 bombs in 18 career at bats.,expect brewers to get a few runs off him!!
Assuming Gio can continue his stellar pitching vs lad going 6 strong innings we then get some of nastiest relievers in the league to close out the 7th-8th-9th!! There just no reasonable way you should expect dodgers to score more than 3 runs, 4 at the absolute max.,getting 1.5 runs in a game with a low total where we should expect a pitchers duel is incredibly valuable, much more so than the small -115 price we have to pay.
Anything can happen and often does in a 9 inning baseball game but this is absolutely a solid play that cashes far more often than the price suggest..