MLB Playoff Picks 2018

[LT Profits]

All post-season picks including the two tiebreaker games will be in this thread.


MONDAY, 10/1
Rockies / Dodgers UNDER 7 -109 (Bookmaker)


YTD: 438-473-18, +0.25

Regular Season: 438-473-18, +0.25
Playoffs: 0-0, 0.00

[slayer14]

Dodgers been killing the ball batting offense wise should the total not be at 9

[LT Profits]

Dodgers been killing the ball batting offense wise should the total not be at 9

I am high on both starting pitchers, I only get 6.0. Dodgers haven't faced many pitchers as good as Marquez during their hot offensive streak, closest they game was Bumgarner Friday and LA was held in check that game (I think they won 3-1?).

[LT Profits]

1 MLB Playoff Addition Monday

MONDAY, 10/1
Brewers / Cubs UNDER 8 -110 (Heritage)
Rockies / Dodgers UNDER 7 -109 (Bookmaker)

[stackz125]

MONDAY, 10/1
Brewers / Rockies UNDER 8 -110 (Heritage)
Rockies / Dodgers UNDER 7 -109 (Bookmaker)

LT a little ancy fot MLB post-season to start...


Brewers/Cubbies under 8-110 there chief.

[MrSink]

couple of super solid takes

[LT Profits]

LT a little ancy fot MLB post-season to start...


Brewers/Cubbies under 8-110 there chief.

Oh shit! Everyone knew who I meant by the line, allow me to change after the fact.

[Brooklyn Dick]

Anyone that could not figure this out deserves what they got.

[LT Profits]

Nothing as of now for Tuesday

[MisterDog30]

Nothing as of now for Tuesday

Rockies/Cubs line is so sharp it's nauseating.

[LT Profits]

Rockies/Cubs line is so sharp it's nauseating.

I would actually like Rockies under normal circumstances, as model only has Cubs 52% (-108). However, Rockies travel situation and Freeland going on three days rest has me laying off. Those are also factors in this line being a bit inflated.

[jjgold]

LT steaming lately because of final baseball #'s

[2daBank]

I would actually like Rockies under normal circumstances, as model only has Cubs 52% (-108). However, Rockies travel situation and Freeland going on three days rest has me laying off. Those are also factors in this line being a bit inflated.

I really don’t see the travel being a big deal, freeland on short rest a far bigger concern for me. Against you on total, think there be runs in this game once pens get involved.

[Ryermkd]

I really don’t see the travel being a big deal, freeland on short rest a far bigger concern for me. Against you on total, think there be runs in this game once pens get involved.

I'm on Rockies and I am a total MUSH atm. Keep losing right at the wire! BOL to all.

[LT Profits]

I really don’t see the travel being a big deal, freeland on short rest a far bigger concern for me. Against you on total, think there be runs in this game once pens get involved.

I have no play here, actually lean Over. And as i just said in other thread, you never see this kind of travel during regular season, crossing two time zones with no day off.

[2daBank]

I have no play here, actually lean Over. And as i just said in other thread, you never see this kind of travel during regular season, crossing two time zones with no day off.

Oh I’m sorry, didn’t realize your under was on the game yesterday. As I replied in other thread, the fact it doesn’t happen in no way means it will matter. Adrenaline carries teams in these situations for a day, if they had to play again 2marro would be time id look for it to catch up with them.

[alekim]

sharp line -follow sharp action

[chico2663]

seems lester usually implodes in a big game. Not saying cubs won't win but i like the over a little better

[chico2663]

lt appreciate the hard work you, 2da,kvb and hawk do

[LT Profits]

1 MLB Playoff Play Wednesday

WEDNESDAY, 10/3
Athletics / Yankees UNDER 8.5 -105 (Heritage)


YTD: 439-473-19, +1.25

Regular Season: 438-473-18, +0.25
Playoffs: 1-0-1, +1.00

[darkghost]

What does your model show for dodgers/braves?

[LT Profits]

What does your model show for dodgers/braves?

Dodgers 66% (-194)

[Brooklyn Dick]

What doe your model say about the Yankee game tonight?

[billyloco]

NYY -1 1/2 +110 .. WM HILL (2u/2.20u)
NYY 1st 5 inn -190 .. WM HILL (3.80u/2u)
NYY -190 .. WM HILL ( 9.50u/5u )

*best MLB season in 5 years

[LT Profits]

What doe your model say about the Yankee game tonight?

Yankees 62% (-163)

[Brooklyn Dick]

Bookmaker has +186 now.

[LT Profits]

Bookmaker has +186 now.

Not as confident in my number that game due to uncertainty with Oakland pitchers. And it now looks like there will be same issue with Milwaukee tomorrow.

These are different situations than with Tampa Bay openers. as those were easier to model knowing the long second man.

[billyloco]

CHA-CHING!!

[LT Profits]

Always fun to lose by half-run on home run in team's final at-bat!

Anywho, nothing yet for Thursday. Dodgers look to have value for those that do not mind laying that much chalk, but that is not in my DNA.

[44 Mag]

NYY -1 1/2 +110 .. WM HILL (2u/2.20u)
NYY 1st 5 inn -190 .. WM HILL (3.80u/2u)
NYY -190 .. WM HILL ( 9.50u/5u )

*best MLB season in 5 years

CHA-CHING!!

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[LT Profits]

GM LT can I pls have the TOTALS in todays games

Houston 5.6 (not a misprint!)
Milwaukee 8.5
Boston 7.0
Dodgers 6.1

[LT Profits]

As of now I am passing again Friday. :YAWN:

Will take a couple of more looks later.

[darkghost]

Surprised you are passing on the under in the Houston game.

[LT Profits]

1 MLB Playoff Play Saturday

SATURDAY, 10/6
Yankees +100 (5 Dimes)


YTD: 439-474-19, +0.20

Regular Season: 438-473-18, +0.25
Playoffs: 1-1-1, -0.05

[44 Mag]

Surprised you are passing on the under in the Houston game.

Good thing he did.......