MLB - Friday, 8/24/18

[LT Profits]

1 MLB Play Friday

Orioles +164 (Heritage)


YTD: 358-383-15, +5.01

[Sam Odom]

LT , good job of hanging in there (+5.01)

[jjgold]

Steady

I can’t wait to lecture this guy in person

[Igor_1965]

Orioles, worst team in baseball. This looks good.

[LT Profits]

Orioles, worst team in baseball. This looks good.

I posted a while ago about expected Cobb positive regression. It has panned out, look how he has done since I posted it. And there is still room for more as his ERA - xFIP is still +0.65.

[mpaschal34]

If you believe in Cobb, then the under is probably a good play.

[MinnesotaFats]

LT

is your model based primarily on the strength of the starting pitching matchup? I see alot regarding Xip, advanced pitching analytics, etc....

Ever track a 1st 5 inning betting model?

[LT Profits]

LT

is your model based primarily on the strength of the starting pitching matchup? I see alot regarding Xip, advanced pitching analytics, etc....

Ever track a 1st 5 inning betting model?

Yes I have made 5-inning plays this year, model is quite involved. I have xIP for starting pitchers and that figure impacts the team's bullpen rating for the game. There are also offensive ratings, ballpark factors and umpires (after first game of each series) to name a few. Yes, starting pitching is the most important component but it is far from the only component.

[LT Profits]

1 MLB Addition

2 MLB Plays Friday

Orioles +164 (Heritage)
Twins +117 (Bookmaker)