MLB - Thursday, 8/16/18

[LT Profits]

1 MLB Play Thursday

Rockies +100 (Heritage)


YTD: 339-364-15, +4.95

[jjgold]

Closer to even
The story could be that now

[Schweino]

Morning LT. I have been mentally dancing with this match-up last night and this morning (which I usually say forget it). What's your take on this game? I also was siding towards the Rockies because I think Gray has been a little more consistent as of late then Teheran.

Where you seeing the advantage?

[LT Profits]

Morning LT. I have been mentally dancing with this match-up last night and this morning (which I usually say forget it). What's your take on this game? I also was siding towards the Rockies because I think Gray has been a little more consistent as of late then Teheran.

Where you seeing the advantage?

Nice pitching advantage for Coiorado, Gray is 6th in the majors with his 3.09 xFIP, and since that comes with a 4.81 ERA, he remains underrated.

[Schweino]

Agreed - you pushed me Thank you sir for taking time to share the insight!

[Doogie M.D.]

Phillies night game ? looks like a lock to me, what am I missing?

[KVB]

Good Luck LT, nothing from the Fund, yet.

I do see a couple of nice hits on Colorado, they look sharp.

LT, are you being sharp again today?

[LT Profits]

Phillies night game ? looks like a lock to me, what am I missing?

I am considering adding METS Game 2, I only get Phillies 56% (-127)

[Regul8er]

Just play the numbers LT......wait for Game 1 to finish, and take the team in Game 2 who lost Game 1. I think this trend has been in the neighborhood of 22-5 this season.

[qtip0711]

Leaning Under first 5 on SD/AZ tonight, thoughts?

[thebestthereis]

would it matter if Jamie Moyer was still pitching (for the cards) and right-handed to boot vs the nationals tonight? -120 @ home rolling vs stork who has never done anything vs the cards? why is money coming in on stork? last few starts? seems crazy to me.

[LT Profits]

Just play the numbers LT......wait for Game 1 to finish, and take the team in Game 2 who lost Game 1. I think this trend has been in the neighborhood of 22-5 this season.

Totally irrelevant, don't fall into that trap. Each game is its own entity.

[LT Profits]

Leaning Under first 5 on SD/AZ tonight, thoughts?

Too tight for me, I get 4.2

[LT Profits]

would it matter if Jamie Moyer was still pitching (for the cards) and right-handed to boot vs the nationals tonight? -120 @ home rolling vs stork who has never done anything vs the cards? why is money coming in on stork? last few starts? seems crazy to me.

Another tight one, I get St. Louis 56% (-127)

[danshan11]

I got sorry non pitching ass Roark as a favorite in my model, I think chalk will flip by post time

[danshan11]

sorry my bad I thought it was Flaherty pitching today with Weaver I got -116 on cards and will be eating the margin and cancelling my bet on that game

[LT Profits]

1 Last MLB Addition

2 MLB Plays Thursday

Cubs / Pirates UNDER 8.5 +100 (Heritage)
Rockies +100 (Heritage)

[KVB]

2 MLB Plays Thursday

Cubs / Pirates UNDER 8.5 +100 (Heritage)
Rockies +100 (Heritage)

Even a good one there. I just saw this.

LT sharp, I posted this running down the games...

Ok, gonna run down.

Cubc/Pitt...Like Pitt, and Under, would pay for 9. Yeah, that Under is nice, just out side of the target circle but I see a lot of sharp bets on the Under. Will track these plays and get an overall feel for that sharper contrarian market, and not just track the Fund.

We track indices in stocks, and we track individual companies that shows us direction, same thing here...

[KVB]

Just play the numbers LT......wait for Game 1 to finish, and take the team in Game 2 who lost Game 1. I think this trend has been in the neighborhood of 22-5 this season.

This year is an aberration, you are playing short term numbers.

Over the long haul, it is a sweep.

Be careful 8er.

[Fred The Hammer]

2 MLB Plays Thursday

Cubs / Pirates UNDER 8.5 +100 (Heritage)
Rockies +100 (Heritage)

LT.....respect you brother, but have you seen Lester lately? I always hedge nice parlays, but I took TB and Cubs/Pitt Over and I'm letting it ride. Nova is trash too

[Fred The Hammer]

Uhhhh....you guys were on it. Lester was due. THats the good thing about playing a streak though.....you can win a bunch of times in a row and only lose once. Cubs with Lester had a total Over 8.5 in 8 of his last 9 starts coming in


Super streakers:

Roark going for 5 in a row tonite
Wheeler with the Mets....they've won 7 straight starts of his

[jjgold]

LT a little flustered right now

[LT Profits]

LT a little flustered right now

2-0 night.

[Regul8er]

Totally irrelevant, don't fall into that trap. Each game is its own entity.

Its about the only trend I believe in...and its real!! Its been a money maker for quite a long time now, never turn down dough!

[Schweino]

Thanks for convincing me LT

[LT Profits]

Its about the only trend I believe in...and its real!! Its been a money maker for quite a long time now, never turn down dough!

It is insignificant, since 2005, backing Game 1 losers in Game 2 has gone 174-166 for just +0.53 units. It is not worth paying attention to, especially with relatively small sampling for baseball.

[KVB]

It is insignificant, since 2005, backing Game 1 losers in Game 2 has gone 174-166 for just +0.53 units. It is not worth paying attention to, especially with relatively small sampling for baseball.

This year is an aberration, you are playing short term numbers.

Over the long haul, it is a sweep.

Be careful 8er....

Keep an eye on that Regul8er, you could be playing with fire as the season winds down.

[dirtycash66]

Lt is slowly going into the red....

[Regul8er]

Keep an eye on that Regul8er, you could be playing with fire as the season winds down.

Maybe so.......you guys are probably right. But for now, I'm going to continue riding that wave!