colorado vs st. louis

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  • Itsamle
    SBR Sharp
    • 01-30-17
    • 277

    #1
    colorado vs st. louis
    why is st. louis -137 when they have a losing record and weaver is 6-9. vs. colorado freeland who is 9-6? anyone got input on this game ?
  • Itsamle
    SBR Sharp
    • 01-30-17
    • 277

    #2
    no one have any input on who they taking?
    Comment
    • stackz125
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 01-03-16
      • 6191

      #3
      I'm rolling the dice with Colorado. Price to good.
      Comment
      • LT Profits
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 10-27-06
        • 90963

        #4
        Weaver is the better pitcher, but yeah, Cards do seem overvalued. I only get St. Louis 53% (-113)
        Comment
        • LT Profits
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 10-27-06
          • 90963

          #5
          I will say Freeland is a prime candidate for regression (in a bad way) with a 4.39 xFIP vs. 3.13 ERA. Still cant bet Cards at the price though.
          Comment
          • Itsamle
            SBR Sharp
            • 01-30-17
            • 277

            #6
            yea i thinking cardinals win today. this was the same thing happen last time when they faced cubs. lester with 9-2 record and got beat
            Comment
            • LT Profits
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 10-27-06
              • 90963

              #7
              Originally posted by Itsamle
              yea i thinking cardinals win today. this was the same thing happen last time when they faced cubs. lester with 9-2 record and got beat
              Stop looking at W/L record and head-to-head, that crap means nothing. Either sampling is too small or, when sample is larger, it goes back too many years.
              Comment
              • frankieunits2685
                SBR MVP
                • 11-19-17
                • 3575

                #8
                Originally posted by LT Profits
                Stop looking at W/L record and head-to-head, that crap means nothing. Either sampling is too small or, when sample is larger, it goes back too many years.
                this...

                thanks LT
                Comment
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