MLB Leans ~ Saturday 6/28

[peterpan19]

jello
no problem...just jinx him...got a small bet on Boston

GL

[peterpan19]

cubs are pathetic today...

[peterpan19]

...and now they go down in flames...

[jellobiafra]

Didn't jinx Hanson. Six innings of 2 hit scoreless ball. Probably turning it over to the pen now, so Dex you still got a good shot here.

[texhooper]

Damn, I really wanted to slam the Phillies/Jays over but held off!

i did take this, actually, and i'm a little perturbed by the futility of the last few innings. over 9.5 at -105. stuck at 9 since the middle of the 4th. you may have made the correct decision the way things are going.

[cocknocker]

The Phillies bullpen is horrid. I hope that they can hold the lead for once. I was hoping that they would be up by more than just 1 run, lol!

[cocknocker]

At least the Twins are playing for my series money! I still don't trust the Phillies though...I hate relievers in one run games. It never works out anymore...

[cocknocker]

And just like that Lidge lets the first two men on base with no outs. Goddamn I hate relievers!

[MrMonkey]

Big out by Hill! Glad they didn't bunt! Lidge needs this for confidence! Phils have bigger concerns with their starting 5!

[cocknocker]

Lucky bastard....But the Phils still didn't get the RRL...and the Cubs damn sure aren't, lol! Their bats are hella cold. I'll hit them on the RL in their next game. This will be their 7th straight game not winning by two.

[socrates01]

I for one can't stand Atlanta as they underacheive for the level of talent that they have on that squad. I see that they have all of the advatages again in this game, that is EXACTLY why I am leaving them the f*ck alone... I like two dogs and 1 favorite today, and I want all the crumbs involved with taking them.

Cubs+100 HEAVY Zambrano is the better money pitcher AND hitter
Cubs-1.5+150 RRL Cubs haven't won by 2 runs in 6 games-they are due
Phillies+127 Moyer should not be dog to Tallet despite the recent form
Phillies-1.5 +180 The hits come in bunches with this team
D-Backs-1.5 +155 It's rare for outdoor teams to sweep indoor teams


Palmer's record (6-1) is fluffed. His WHIP is 1.94 over his last three appearances. The Angels bats have cooled off enough for the D-Backs to be on the same field with them. Scherzer is the real thing. The D-Backs are due for a 2 run win (4 games without one). Might as well make it happen today.

The Phillies collected so many its yesterday that I hav to ride with them today, plain and simple. Moyer the soft tosser is a crafty veteran and a good money pitcher when the team needs him to be. The Phils need wins, plain and simple. Moyer gives them one today north of the border.

The Cubs will dismantle the Pales today. These are evenly matched teams and the Cubs owe the Pales a black eye after yesterday's late inning meltdown. This time they get the led and don't give it up.

Great call on the phillies game! It was a nail biter...had to hold my sack in the 9th inning!Thanks!

[lakerboy]

tigers just saved my life

[peterpan19]

lakerboy
game not ever yet...

[peterpan19]

if det can come back boston can do it too...LETS GO RED SOX

[JustFlipACoin]

I hate the cubs! i'm never on the right side with them!!! arrrrr

[cocknocker]

See what I mean about the Braves, Dexter? You can't win with them and can't win going against them. I absolutely meant what i said last night about that team

[cocknocker]

Looking ahead to tomorrow, how can you bring back Hallady against the hottest hitting team in baseball and expect to win? I have to roll with the rays tomorrow and the big Crumbs. ALso The Cubs. I just kind of joined in on them today, so I think that tomorrow will be a great time to take them, as the Cubs aren't really getting good value, they are just not hitting the ball right now

[peterpan19]

angels up....not good...lets go dbacks

[cocknocker]

Scherzer is underperforming, Jeez! But 4 errors won't help either

[cocknocker]

Adding Padres+128 late. The entire free world is on the Rangers, but the Padres hitters are obviously alive now after last night. Gaudin has a better WHIP than Hunter and I have reverse working in my favor with a little over 35% of money on the Padres. Why not? Let's even the day up with a lateplay on the Fathers!

Padres+128

[Dexter]

See what I mean about the Braves, Dexter? You can't win with them and can't win going against them. I absolutely meant what i said last night about that team

yup - so not only did i lose 3x going against hanson today, but i also had him on my bench getting 2 wins this week

[cocknocker]

I personally see that the line started off at Yanks/Mets over/under 10 and with 77% of bettors on the over, the line went down to 9.5

Well here i go again

Yanks/Mets under 9.5 -115

Let's go 3-2 and have a poitive day!

[cocknocker]

yup - so not only did i lose 3x going against hanson today, but i also had him on my bench getting 2 wins this week

Yeah I had him benched too, he had a horrid WHIP, and I can't ride with a guy who's gonna cost me points. Keep him benched from one more start. He's not gonna follow that performance up with an identical one.

I kind of like making my picks late n the day like this. I had a chance to watch the line all day.

[jellobiafra]

He's not gonna follow it up with an identical one?

He just did. Twice in a row. He hasn't given up a single run in 3 straight starts - two against the Yankees and Red Sox. He has a 20 scoreless innings streak. He is 4-0 with a 2.48 ERA.

But you guys go ahead and keep wringing your hands over that WHIP.



EDIT:

Just found this stat...

Over his last four outings, Hanson is 4-0 with a 0.79 era and opponents BA of .214.

[Dexter]

Monday 6/29-

(5x) Marlins -1.5/+110 (A3) *this would be much larger if i wasn't running so bad

(1x) Cards +1.5/-140 (A2)

(2x) Astros - 150 - oswalt seems to be turning his season around with an 3.00/1.42 last 3 and a career 2.97/1.19 vs sd. the stros are 10-2 in games hes started vs the padres. greer has a 6.62/1.52 in his last 3

(3x) Whitesox -120 (A3)

[Dexter]

Yeah I had him benched too, he had a horrid WHIP, and I can't ride with a guy who's gonna cost me points. Keep him benched from one more start. He's not gonna follow that performance up with an identical one.

I kind of like making my picks late n the day like this. I had a chance to watch the line all day.

hes a must start next week vs the nats.....

but of course that will be the game he gets roughed up.

[Dexter]

i hate betting against the indians at home, with them annoying drums - but it is what it is tomorrow. pavano is who we thought he was.

[peterpan19]

now lets see what wang does... could be a real slugfest today...

[peterpan19]

hell sd cant bring the guy home.... now tx can you do it plz ?!?

[cocknocker]

The Padres got it done! I'm even on the day in baseball with the under for the New York game!

[texhooper]

i just saw mariano rivera get ****ing walked. by k-rod. in the top of the 9th. with the bases loaded. i happen to be on the mets, by the way. holy shit.

rivera is now 0-2, BB, 1 RBI on his career.

[oda11]

wow, what a 9th inning by the mets...

[thegenix]

CK nice job with the later picks for the 3-2 day!

[djpremier36]

Let's do this...

KC -150

MIN +120

NYY -125

CWS/CHC under 9 (small)

[secret007]

The Padres got it done! I'm even on the day in baseball with the under for the New York game!

nice hit on the last 2 plays ck.. played it and cashed it for me..
one question though.. if you list a play as HEAVY, how much money you bet on it in comparison with a standard play? is it like 3x normal or 5x normal or what? i ask this because you say you are even on the day even after you lose your HEAVY play..

anyway, hats off to you.. you are a great capper.. i will tail you at least until august because i dont know any shit about handicapping besides soccer , nba and maybe a little tennis.. THX for all the profits you made me..

one more question.. do you still play your system on baseball?