MLB - Saturday, 7/7/18

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  • LT Profits
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 10-27-06
    • 90963

    #1
    MLB - Saturday, 7/7/18
    1 MLB Side Saturday

    Tigers +110 (Heritage)


    YTD: 250-258-13, +15.10
  • jjgold
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 07-20-05
    • 388179

    #2
    staying at 15
    Comment
    • LT Profits
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 10-27-06
      • 90963

      #3
      3 MLB Plays Saturday

      3 MLB Plays Saturday

      Yankees / Blue Jays UNDER 7.5 -105 (Heritage)
      Tigers +110 (Heritage)
      Rockies / Mariners UNDER 7 +105 (Heritage)
      Comment
      • RavensFan2k3
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 08-18-12
        • 17378

        #4
        How do you feel about Carlos Martinez and Samardzija? And the game in general?
        Comment
        • ChocMilk23
          SBR MVP
          • 11-04-17
          • 1924

          #5
          Taking CHC . I like Det at home good luck!
          Comment
          • LT Profits
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 10-27-06
            • 90963

            #6
            Originally posted by RavensFan2k3
            How do you feel about Carlos Martinez and Samardzija? And the game in general?
            Shark right at average, Martinez about 5% above average.

            That being said, I only get St. Louis 51% (-104), making Giants playable right now. Reason I have not pulled trigger is because I do not like when line runs away from model number by this much.
            Comment
            • Slipknot26
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 07-17-15
              • 5046

              #7
              LT , with Boston / KC , what do you see ? I don't think Price should be laying 190 vs. any team , even against the Royals and Keller .
              Thank you for the input in advance
              Comment
              • LT Profits
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 10-27-06
                • 90963

                #8
                Originally posted by Slipknot26
                LT , with Boston / KC , what do you see ? I don't think Price should be laying 190 vs. any team , even against the Royals and Keller .
                Thank you for the input in advance
                I tend to agree and I get Boston "only" 62% (-163)
                Comment
                • cjpenn3
                  SBR Rookie
                  • 04-09-18
                  • 33

                  #9
                  Lt, what's the model show for Phi/Pit? Atl/Mil? Thanks in advance.
                  Comment
                  • LT Profits
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 10-27-06
                    • 90963

                    #10
                    Originally posted by cjpenn3
                    Lt, what's the model show for Phi/Pit? Atl/Mil? Thanks in advance.
                    Pittsburgh 53% (-113)
                    Milwaukee 51% (-104)
                    Comment
                    • RavensFan2k3
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 08-18-12
                      • 17378

                      #11
                      Originally posted by LT Profits
                      Pittsburgh 53% (-113)
                      Milwaukee 51% (-104)
                      Pittsburgh really? How do you rate the two pitchers? Also what about the two LA pitchers?
                      Comment
                      • snider
                        SBR Sharp
                        • 03-25-17
                        • 309

                        #12
                        When the line runs from the model You always pass? I think the twins were a good example of when to hop on a bandwagon yesterday. Martinez though is square with that shark record and glaring 6 plus era. Giants or pass.
                        Comment
                        • LT Profits
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 10-27-06
                          • 90963

                          #13
                          Originally posted by snider
                          When the line runs from the model You always pass? I think the twins were a good example of when to hop on a bandwagon yesterday. Martinez though is square with that shark record and glaring 6 plus era. Giants or pass.
                          More often than not, yes. Especially in cases like this where line opened in step with model before taking off.
                          Comment
                          • LT Profits
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 10-27-06
                            • 90963

                            #14
                            Originally posted by snider
                            I think the twins were a good example of when to hop on a bandwagon yesterday.
                            No because I never go against the model.
                            Comment
                            • LT Profits
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 10-27-06
                              • 90963

                              #15
                              Originally posted by RavensFan2k3
                              Pittsburgh really? How do you rate the two pitchers? Also what about the two LA pitchers?
                              Big pitching edge for Pirates, Taillon about 10% above average, Arrieta about 10% below. Only reason model price is so low is because Phils are better in other areas.

                              I have Dodgers Big at 64% (-178), Stripling well above average and Angels with Bullpen Game at 10% below average.
                              Comment
                              • deary626
                                SBR Wise Guy
                                • 04-24-16
                                • 667

                                #16
                                Originally posted by LT Profits
                                Big pitching edge for Pirates, Taillon about 10% above average, Arrieta about 10% below. Only reason model price is so low is because Phils are better in other areas.

                                I have Dodgers Big at 64% (-178), Stripling well above average and Angels with Bullpen Game at 10% below average.
                                It’s hot in LA will be in the 100
                                Comment
                                • hit_me90
                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                  • 02-18-16
                                  • 618

                                  #17
                                  LT, Pls give me total on twinkies and O's
                                  Comment
                                  • LT Profits
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 10-27-06
                                    • 90963

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by hit_me90
                                    LT, Pls give me total on twinkies and O's
                                    8.8
                                    Comment
                                    • RavensFan2k3
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 08-18-12
                                      • 17378

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by LT Profits
                                      Big pitching edge for Pirates, Taillon about 10% above average, Arrieta about 10% below. Only reason model price is so low is because Phils are better in other areas.

                                      I have Dodgers Big at 64% (-178), Stripling well above average and Angels with Bullpen Game at 10% below average.
                                      Thank you for the answer. Now this Tigers game. I played Tigers yesterday, and see you like them vs Cole Hamels. How do you rate the two pitchers going today and what % do you get for the game?
                                      Comment
                                      • LT Profits
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 10-27-06
                                        • 90963

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by RavensFan2k3
                                        Thank you for the answer. Now this Tigers game. I played Tigers yesterday, and see you like them vs Cole Hamels. How do you rate the two pitchers going today and what % do you get for the game?
                                        Both starters pretty even at around 5% below average, I actually end up with Tigers Favored 52% (-108)
                                        Comment
                                        • LT Profits
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 10-27-06
                                          • 90963

                                          #21
                                          1 MLB Addition

                                          4 MLB Plays Saturday

                                          Reds / Cubs UNDER 9 -105 (Heritage)
                                          Yankees / Blue Jays UNDER 7.5 -105 (Heritage)
                                          Tigers +110 (Heritage)
                                          Rockies / Mariners UNDER 7 +105 (Heritage)
                                          Comment
                                          • RavensFan2k3
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 08-18-12
                                            • 17378

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by LT Profits
                                            Both starters pretty even at around 5% below average, I actually end up with Tigers Favored 52% (-108)
                                            I don’t understand how, but goodluck buddy
                                            Comment
                                            • LT Profits
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 10-27-06
                                              • 90963

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by RavensFan2k3
                                              I don’t understand how, but goodluck buddy
                                              It is not 2015 anymore, Hamels hasn't rated highly since coming to the AL. First, his strikeouts were way down in 2016-17, his first two years with the Rangers, and now this season his strikeouts are back up but that gets more than offset by his walks and home runs allowed also being up. Dude has a 5.00 FIP! xFIP is better but still not good at 4.01
                                              Comment
                                              • LT Profits
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 10-27-06
                                                • 90963

                                                #24
                                                Another MLB Addition

                                                5 MLB Plays Saturday

                                                Reds / Cubs UNDER 9 -105 (Heritage)
                                                Yankees / Blue Jays UNDER 7.5 -105 (Heritage)
                                                Tigers +110 (Heritage)
                                                Rockies / Mariners UNDER 7 +105 (Heritage)
                                                Red Sox / Royals OVER 9 -105 (Heritage)
                                                Comment
                                                • RavensFan2k3
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 08-18-12
                                                  • 17378

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by LT Profits
                                                  It is not 2015 anymore, Hamels hasn't rated highly since coming to the AL. First, his strikeouts were way down in 2016-17, his first two years with the Rangers, and now this season his strikeouts are back up but that gets more than offset by his walks and home runs allowed also being up. Dude has a 5.00 FIP! xFIP is better but still not good at 4.01
                                                  You’re definitely right. I think I’m still just stuck on the name. Thanks for the insight
                                                  Comment
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