MLB - Thursday, 7/5/18

[LT Profits]

4 MLB Plays Thursday

Tigers -110 (5 Dimes)
Rangers / Tigers UNDER 9.5 -108 (Heritage)
White Sox +1.5 +125 (Heritage)
White Sox / Astros UNDER 7.5 -110 (Heritage)


YTD: 247-255-13, +15.10

[RavensFan2k3]

How do you see this LAA/Seattle game? How do you rate the two pitchers?

[LT Profits]

How do you see this LAA/Seattle game? How do you rate the two pitchers?

I have sizable edge for Gonzales, about 10% above average compared to about 10% below average for Barria. I am curious myself to see where this game opens up at, I get Seattle 57% (-133).

[LT Profits]

I have sizable edge for Gonzales, about 10% above average compared to about 10% below average for Barria. I am curious myself to see where this game opens up at, I get Seattle 57% (-133).

Guess I won't get the value I expected, opened -135 at Bookmaker.

[Regul8er]

Solid numbers LT.......+15 units is huge in mlb at this point.

I really like Detroit too......Boyd has been solid, and Gallardo is a gascan these days, has to be rated way less then average on your model. Plus they played a late one in Arlington last night, and have to travel north. Good spot here imo. I locked this one in last night, in the fear that it would climb to -120 or higher this morning.

[RavensFan2k3]

Solid numbers LT.......+15 units is huge in mlb at this point.

I really like Detroit too......Boyd has been solid, and Gallardo is a gascan these days, has to be rated way less then average on your model. Plus they played a late one in Arlington last night, and have to travel north. Good spot here imo. I locked this one in last night, in the fear that it would climb to -120 or higher this morning.

I’m looking at this game too, but not sure I can say Matt Boyd has been solid. It’s difficult to back him

[Regul8er]

4.18 ERA, 1.21 WHIP, exit velocity 2 MPH under league average.

He hasn't been a stud, but I would say that's solid. Gallardo has been getting clowned......I don't see him pitching many more games in his career.

[Slipknot26]

Like Tigers -110 also.
What do you have on Zona / Pads LT ? Pitchers and total ?
I think Lauer can keep them from scoring 4 but the Pads offense is miserable at it gets . May just take Zona and Pads TT Unders , don't expect much scoring IMO

[KDF500]

Great work this far LT!

Thoughts on SF ML?

[jjgold]

I got my eye on Texas today

[LT Profits]

Like Tigers -110 also.
What do you have on Zona / Pads LT ? Pitchers and total ?
I think Lauer can keep them from scoring 4 but the Pads offense is miserable at it gets . May just take Zona and Pads TT Unders , don't expect much scoring IMO

Arizona 59% (-144), 8.5

Both starters right around average, I have Miller about 4% better.

[LT Profits]

Great work this far LT!

Thoughts on SF ML?

I only get Giants 55% (-122)

[LT Profits]

4.18 ERA, 1.21 WHIP, exit velocity 2 MPH under league average.

He hasn't been a stud, but I would say that's solid. Gallardo has been getting clowned......I don't see him pitching many more games in his career.

I have Boyd about 5% below average, but I have Gallardo about 20% below average.

[Blackballer]

4.18 ERA, 1.21 WHIP, exit velocity 2 MPH under league average.

He hasn't been a stud, but I would say that's solid. Gallardo has been getting clowned......I don't see him pitching many more games in his career.

Gallardo was backed by massive run support in his last 3 starts for TEX but when it comes to producing runs and offense in gneral I would still trust the Rangers even with the extra innings game from yesterday and all the travel.

[Blackballer]

Pitching edge can't be that big of a difference in this game between this two starters

[Regul8er]

Give me the home team at -110, with the better arm on the mound, that didnt have to travel half way across the country late last night/early this morning.

[RavensFan2k3]

LT how do you rate the Arizona and Padres pitchers? Also what do you get for that game?

[jjgold]

LT have you ever hit 20 units 2018?

[Blackballer]

LT have you ever hit 20 units 2018?

He mentioned it the last time that he went to 20 units this season for a short period of time before a play brought him back below 20U

[Slipknot26]

LT how do you rate the Arizona and Padres pitchers? Also what do you get for that game?

Post #11
Arizona 59% (-144), 8.5

Both starters right around average, I have Miller about 4% better.

[LT Profits]

LT have you ever hit 20 units 2018?

I was momentarily over 20 units Monday afternoon after hitting day play with Tigers +136, but then lost night play. lol

[Conqueror]

LT,

I like the UNDER in the Brewers game. What does your sagely model say?

[LT Profits]

LT,

I like the UNDER in the Brewers game. What does your sagely model say?

Lean OVER at 9.2

[LT Profits]

OK Gents I am out. Just the original 4 plays with no additions. No more Q&A until tomorrow.

[Conqueror]

Lean OVER at 9.2

Thanks!