MLB - Monday, 6/25/18

[LT Profits]

4 MLB Plays Monday

Orioles +123 (Heritage)
Orioles +1.5 -130 (Heritage)
Mariners / Orioles UNDER 9.5 -105 (Heritage)
Diamondbacks / Marlins UNDER 8.5 -110 (Heritage)


YTD: 231-234-13, +19.50

[jjgold]

LT no excuses for yesterdays blunder of no plays

Now some say you were drunk???

[LT Profits]

LT no excuses for yesterdays blunder of no plays

Now some say you were drunk???

Actually it was not a day off, I put the usual work in. I just could not find any plays.

[snider]

We know you had Tampa and cashed 3 straight under a ton of criticism.

Edwin Jackson? Line already moved on Baltimore.

[jjgold]

Chase the Yankees can they lose four in a row?

[LT Profits]

We know you had Tampa and cashed 3 straight under a ton of criticism.

Edwin Jackson? Line already moved on Baltimore.

No I passed on Rays Sunday because Yankees actualy had a bit of value vs. Andriese per the model (but not enough).

I have Tigers 54% (-117) vs. Edwin, resisting Detroit for now, seems like fishy line move.

And WOW. O's game is actually scalpable with M's now -118 at Heritage! That is not my thing though, I will let the value ride. Also the +1.5 is now -145.

[LT Profits]

Chase the Yankees can they lose four in a row?

Streaks mean nothing, Yankees losing three in a row dies not change odds forecast of next game in and of itself.

[44 Mag]

Streaks mean nothing, Yankees losing three in a row dies not change odds forecast of next game in and of itself.

People are human. Losing streaks affect players, just like gamblers. LOL.

[snider]

chase like sweeps thread and live undefeated

[LT Profits]

People are human. Losing streaks affect players, just like gamblers. LOL.

Changes nothing about what I said, each game is modeled on its own merit. If there is a legitimate statistical reason for a team slump (or for a team being hot), it would get picked up by model anyway, so no need to be concerned with the streak itself.

[killersweet]

Actually it was not a day off, I put the usual work in. I just could not find any plays.

But you are not denying the drunk part. 😏

[LT Profits]

But you are not denying the drunk part. ��

That was Saturday night.

[LT Profits]

1 MLB Addition

5 MLB Plays Monday

Orioles +123 (Heritage)
Orioles +1.5 -130 (Heritage)
Mariners / Orioles UNDER 9.5 -105 (Heritage)
Yankees / Phillies UNDER 8.5 +105 (Heritage)
Diamondbacks / Marlins UNDER 8.5 -110 (Heritage)

[EyesWideShut]

What you think of Dodgers tonight?

[LT Profits]

What you think of Dodgers tonight?

I have Dodgers 63% (-170) so it does look like they have a bit of value in the -150s. I just never lay those kinds of odds and this will never dip to the -149 max I want.

[44 Mag]

Cincy @ ATL ???? I am liking Cincy as a live dog.....???? Don't like pitching matchup..... Thoughts Boss.

[aortega521]

Like the Braves too but struggling to pull the trigger.... LT where you at boss?

[LT Profits]

Cincy @ ATL ???? I am liking Cincy as a live dog.....???? Don't like pitching matchup..... Thoughts Boss.

Like the Braves too but struggling to pull the trigger.... LT where you at boss?

Line seems fine to me, I am right at Atlanta 60% (-150). Maybe real line is a tad deflated because of Reds winning STREAK (meh, that word again!).

[Brian Fallon]

is that it for the day LT?

[Blackballer]

Like the NYY vs PHI Under 8.5! Yankees are on a 'long' road losing streak, whatever long losing streak means for Yankees

one short question LT: do you watch the games you bet on or just follow the scores??

[LT Profits]

is that it for the day LT?

Will do one more run-through at about 5:45 ET

[jjgold]

LT how do you hide gambling from your family daily?? I would think your clever and tell them your an insurance agent.

[LT Profits]

Like the NYY vs PHI Under 8.5! Yankees are on a 'long' road losing streak, whatever long losing streak means for Yankees

one short question LT: do you watch the games you bet on or just follow the scores??

Sometimes catch few innings here and there, but only watch full games occasionally during post-season.

[LT Profits]

LT how do you hide gambling from your family daily?? I would think your clever and tell them your an insurance agent.

Who says I hide it? Family accepts it.

[Blackballer]

LT how do you hide gambling from your family daily?? I would think your clever and tell them your an insurance agent.

Or nowadays you can say you are a sport's analytic, I think some people accept it as a profession today but if you say I gambler or sports gambler than you're done . I always thought LT is doing this part time not professionally (as a full time job)??

[Blackballer]

Who says I hide it? Family accepts it.

The coolest part is when the family accetps it

[jjgold]

I tell people I am a online gaming consultant

[LT Profits]

1 Last MLB Addition

6 MLB Plays Monday

Orioles +123 (Heritage)
Orioles +1.5 -130 (Heritage)
Mariners / Orioles UNDER 9.5 -105 (Heritage)
Yankees / Phillies UNDER 8.5 +105 (Heritage)
Diamondbacks / Marlins UNDER 8.5 -110 (Heritage)
Padres +122 (Bookmaker)

[Blackballer]

I tell people I am a online gaming consultant

I think for society that would be acceptable as a profession.

[Chi_archie]

get em

[Rich Boy]

Actually it was not a day off, I put the usual work in. I just could not find any plays.

The difference between a pro and a degenerate action junkie

[tecmoslayer]

damn that Orioles pick sucked...they were so bad in this game. 10BB from pitchers

[Civerus]

Orioles. Again and again.

[TheSchafe]

The Orioles are the sole reason he can't climb over 20 units. Unbelievable.

[LT Profits]

Orioles were good to me last two times I had them at nice prices vs. Nationals and Braves, and I smashed the closing line on Monday, Shit happens, moving on...