MLB - Thursday, 5/17/18

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  • LT Profits
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 10-27-06
    • 90963

    #1
    MLB - Thursday, 5/17/18
    1 MLB Side Thursday

    Orioles +155 (5 Dimes)


    YTD: 142-139-8, +20.69
  • 44 Mag
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 10-14-13
    • 34490

    #2
    What's with this kid for SD, Lauer??? ERA is off the charts.....Any insight, I am leaning the over 8 in this game...
    Comment
    • fecgp40
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 02-01-11
      • 5750

      #3
      Originally posted by LT Profits
      1 MLB Side Thursday

      Orioles +155 (5 Dimes)


      YTD: 142-139-8, +20.69
      This play jumped out at me as well. What odds do you get LT? Thanks.
      Comment
      • LT Profits
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 10-27-06
        • 90963

        #4
        Originally posted by 44 Mag
        What's with this kid for SD, Lauer??? ERA is off the charts.....Any insight, I am leaning the over 8 in this game...
        I wouldn't give up on Lauer just yet, I've had him slightly above average since he came up and we are only looking at 16 innings in majors. I also have Kuhl slightly above average and I have both teams' offensive splits below average (Pads more so). I actually lean UNDER but no play yet.
        Comment
        • LT Profits
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 10-27-06
          • 90963

          #5
          Originally posted by LT Profits
          I wouldn't give up on Lauer just yet, I've had him slightly above average since he came up and we are only looking at 16 innings in majors. I also have Kuhl slightly above average and I have both teams' offensive splits below average (Pads more so). I actually lean UNDER but no play yet.
          Should add that Lauer has 4.98 xFIP in those 16 innings, which is very weak but still considerably better than the ERA.
          Comment
          • LT Profits
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 10-27-06
            • 90963

            #6
            Originally posted by fecgp40
            This play jumped out at me as well. What odds do you get LT? Thanks.
            Boston 57% (-133)

            Believe it or not I actually have Gausman rated better than Price right now.
            Comment
            • LT Profits
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 10-27-06
              • 90963

              #7
              3 MLB Plays Thursday

              3 MLB Plays Thursday

              Orioles +155 (5 Dimes)
              Rays / Angels UNDER 7.5 +102 (5 Dimes)
              Tigers / Mariners UNDER 8 -105 (Heritage)
              Comment
              • snider
                SBR Sharp
                • 03-25-17
                • 309

                #8
                so whats the percentage on the pirates? thinking of keying them. I watched that cardinals game and maybe shouldnt give up on the lefty yet cause the announcers started saying it doesnt look like he has the stuff to get big leaugers out yet....lol the kid at least made it to the bigs.
                Comment
                • LT Profits
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 10-27-06
                  • 90963

                  #9
                  Originally posted by snider
                  so whats the percentage on the pirates? thinking of keying them. I watched that cardinals game and maybe shouldnt give up on the lefty yet cause the announcers started saying it doesnt look like he has the stuff to get big leaugers out yet....lol the kid at least made it to the bigs.
                  Only Pirates 56% (-127). Tempted to add Pads, we shall see.
                  Comment
                  • jjgold
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 07-20-05
                    • 388179

                    #10
                    We are watching LT closely
                    Comment
                    • snider
                      SBR Sharp
                      • 03-25-17
                      • 309

                      #11
                      i'm getting scared off of pitt...kuhls last was vs giants smardjwidereceiver guy and took a lot of action and came in. Now line is dropping a quarter against a guy the cards lit up. SIA is 17 cents off on their run line. Still... missed the boat on the San Diego side.
                      Comment
                      • LT Profits
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 10-27-06
                        • 90963

                        #12
                        WOW, yes I missed boat on Padres too. Oh well, no bigs.
                        Comment
                        • LT Profits
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 10-27-06
                          • 90963

                          #13
                          3 MLB Additions

                          6 MLB Plays Thursday

                          Padres / Pirates UNDER 8 +105 (5 Dimes)
                          Athletics +105 (Heritage)

                          Orioles +155 (5 Dimes)
                          Cubs / Braves UNDER 9 -110 (Heritage)
                          Rays / Angels UNDER 7.5 +102 (5 Dimes)
                          Tigers / Mariners UNDER 8 -105 (Heritage)
                          Comment
                          • stackz125
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 01-03-16
                            • 6191

                            #14
                            What is xFIP?
                            Comment
                            • LT Profits
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 10-27-06
                              • 90963

                              #15
                              Originally posted by stackz125
                              What is xFIP?
                              Expected Fielding Independent Pitching (xFIP) is a regressed version of Fielding Independent Pitching (FIP), developed by Dave Studeman from The Hardball Times. It’s calculated in the same way as FIP…
                              Comment
                              • MMANick
                                SBR MVP
                                • 12-06-16
                                • 4075

                                #16
                                What are you showing for my Tigers today, bud? I'm really liking what Boyd is doing this year.

                                Good luck today!!
                                Comment
                                • LT Profits
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 10-27-06
                                  • 90963

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by MMANick
                                  What are you showing for my Tigers today, bud? I'm really liking what Boyd is doing this year.

                                  Good luck today!!
                                  Seattle 61% (-156)
                                  Comment
                                  • LT Profits
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 10-27-06
                                    • 90963

                                    #18
                                    NO ACTION on Braves Under due to pitching change, now down to 5 plays.
                                    Comment
                                    • LT Profits
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 10-27-06
                                      • 90963

                                      #19
                                      Another MLB Addition

                                      And we are back to 6.


                                      6 MLB Plays Thursday

                                      Padres / Pirates UNDER 8 +105 (5 Dimes)
                                      Athletics +105 (Heritage)
                                      Orioles +155 (5 Dimes)
                                      Rays / Angels UNDER 7.5 +102 (5 Dimes)
                                      Tigers / Mariners UNDER 8 -105 (Heritage)
                                      Rockies / Giants UNDER 8 +100 (Heritage)
                                      Comment
                                      • sourtwist
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 11-10-12
                                        • 9364

                                        #20
                                        Like the A's and O's

                                        Hope you have a good day
                                        Comment
                                        • RavensFan2k3
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 08-18-12
                                          • 17378

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by LT Profits
                                          Seattle 61% (-156)
                                          Lol what...How?
                                          Comment
                                          • LT Profits
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 10-27-06
                                            • 90963

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by RavensFan2k3
                                            Lol what...How?
                                            What do you mean? Are you saying too low or too high?
                                            Comment
                                            • TheLock
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 04-06-08
                                              • 14427

                                              #23
                                              I’ve been contemplating the Padres all day.
                                              Comment
                                              • LT Profits
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 10-27-06
                                                • 90963

                                                #24
                                                1 Last MLB Addition

                                                7 MLB Plays Thursday

                                                Padres / Pirates UNDER 8 +105 (5 Dimes)
                                                Athletics +105 (Heritage)
                                                Athletics / Blue Jays UNDER 9.5 -110 (Bookmaker)
                                                Orioles +155 (5 Dimes)
                                                Rays / Angels UNDER 7.5 +102 (5 Dimes)
                                                Tigers / Mariners UNDER 8 -105 (Heritage)
                                                Rockies / Giants UNDER 8 +100 (Heritage)
                                                Comment
                                                • Conqueror
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 12-08-13
                                                  • 16778

                                                  #25
                                                  You're back to the UNDER-loving LT we're used to.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • DavidGoliath5003
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 03-20-18
                                                    • 4100

                                                    #26
                                                    I watched Price’s last start, The Blue Jays let him off the hook, multiple warning track shots
                                                    Comment
                                                    • RavensFan2k3
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 08-18-12
                                                      • 17378

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by LT Profits
                                                      What do you mean? Are you saying too low or too high?
                                                      Too high in my opinion
                                                      Comment
                                                      • RangeFinder
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 10-27-16
                                                        • 8041

                                                        #28
                                                        LT,

                                                        My saber numbers have the Oak-Tor game going Over 9.5. Just wondering what saber numbers besides xfip you used. Thank you
                                                        Comment
                                                        • DavidGoliath5003
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 03-20-18
                                                          • 4100

                                                          #29
                                                          Jays Win this.. Sanchez is just starting to heat up for the Jays + their bullpen is miles better
                                                          Comment
                                                          • LT Profits
                                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                                            • 10-27-06
                                                            • 90963

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by RavensFan2k3
                                                            Too high in my opinion
                                                            Detroit closed +165 so I had the right team showing value, unfortunately not enough value for a play. I say unfortunately because Tigers won.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • 2daBank
                                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                                              • 01-26-09
                                                              • 88966

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by DavidGoliath5003
                                                              Jays Win this.. Sanchez is just starting to heat up for the Jays + their bullpen is miles better
                                                              Sanchez got smashed, pen crushed. Jays jizzed on. Just maybe let OP make the plays in his thread and start your own w more spot on predictions.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • bballs84
                                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                • 11-11-09
                                                                • 5461

                                                                #32
                                                                What up BAnker.. Hope you’re crushing bases.. Headed to Vegas this morning, plan on putting a hurtin on the books!! BoL keep making $
                                                                Comment
                                                                • 2daBank
                                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                                  • 01-26-09
                                                                  • 88966

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by bballs84
                                                                  What up BAnker.. Hope you’re crushing bases.. Headed to Vegas this morning, plan on putting a hurtin on the books!! BoL keep making $
                                                                  Going much better than NCAA hoops did! Lol. Just a shade above 50%, you know me that on pretty much all dogs so all well (posting a play almost daily in "dog of day" thread, stop by!). Have a good time, crush the man, and be safe buddy!!
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • bballs84
                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                    • 11-11-09
                                                                    • 5461

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Appreciate it Bank
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • RavensFan2k3
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 08-18-12
                                                                      • 17378

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by LT Profits
                                                                      Detroit closed +165 so I had the right team showing value, unfortunately not enough value for a play. I say unfortunately because Tigers won.
                                                                      I understand, I played Detroit which is why I was thinking you had it too high for Seattle
                                                                      Comment
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