MLB run line system

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  • Bsims
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 02-03-09
    • 827

    #1
    MLB run line system
    I have a system for identifying potentially good MLB run line wagers. I've decided to start a thread posting these. The first 2 are Toronto +1.5 -140 and St Louis -1.5 +132.
  • juicername
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 10-14-15
    • 6906

    #2
    What are the criterias?
    Comment
    • Bsims
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 02-03-09
      • 827

      #3
      Originally posted by juicername
      What are the criterias?
      It's based on a fairly complicated system. I've posted a description of my initial back testing on my blog , ole44bill.blogspot.com. I've also started a thread on Handicapper Think Tank for any discussion. I think I'll post some of the picks on this thread for a while.
      Comment
      • Bsims
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 02-03-09
        • 827

        #4
        0-2 yesterday, -2.40 units. Not surprising, it's always the kiss of death when I post picks. Went 2-1 on the picks that I bet on but didn't post. I have faith in the system and am ahead for the season. Further back testing makes me more optimistic. So, I will be posting all wagers I make.

        Mon 05/14
        Boston -1.5 +132
        San Francisco -1.5 +152
        Comment
        • Bsims
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 02-03-09
          • 827

          #5
          Yesterday 1-1 +0.52 units. This week -1.88 units.

          Tuesday 5/15 MLB run line wagers I made

          San Francisco -1.5 167 **
          Arizona -1.5 132 **
          Minnesota -1.5 172 *
          Toronto +1.5 -170 *
          * = units
          Comment
          • Bsims
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 02-03-09
            • 827

            #6
            Yesterday 2-2 +0.37 To Date 3-5 -1.51

            Wednesday 5/16

            Pittsburgh -1.5 +123

            Adding

            Milwaukee -1.5 +152
            Comment
            • Bsims
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 02-03-09
              • 827

              #7
              Yesterday 1-1 +0.29 to date 4-6 -1.22

              Thursday, Cubs -1.5 +152 *
              Comment
              • Bsims
                SBR Wise Guy
                • 02-03-09
                • 827

                #8
                Originally posted by Bsims
                Yesterday 1-1 +0.29 to date 4-6 -1.22

                Thursday, Cubs -1.5 +152 *
                Rained out.

                Friday 05/18

                Kansas City +1.5 -110 **
                Cleveland +1.5 -140
                Cincinnati +1.5 -108
                Arizona +1.5 -173
                Texas +1.5 -195
                Comment
                • Bsims
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 02-03-09
                  • 827

                  #9
                  Originally posted by Bsims
                  Rained out.

                  Friday 05/18

                  Kansas City +1.5 -110 **
                  Cleveland +1.5 -140
                  Cincinnati +1.5 -108
                  Arizona +1.5 -173
                  Texas +1.5 -195
                  Finished 2-3 for day. -1.21 units.
                  Comment
                  • ClippersSux
                    SBR Hustler
                    • 12-10-10
                    • 95

                    #10
                    You're going to bury yourself, laying -170 and -195. This will not end well. Guaranteed. In fact, I'm willing to bet anyone that this so-called system will end up in the red. Save yourself some money. Stop now!
                    Comment
                    • Mike Huntertz
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 08-19-09
                      • 11207

                      #11
                      I like -1.5 but not +1.5.....too juicy. I wish you luck.
                      Comment
                      • Bsims
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 02-03-09
                        • 827

                        #12
                        Saturday May 19

                        Pittsburgh -1.5 +167 ***
                        St Louis -1.5 +162 **

                        I'd like to thank the two previous gentlemen for their comments. I was working on a filtering system that I just published on my blog describing this system ole44bill.blogspot.com. You will see it meets both of you suggestions. Hopefully this will improve the selections.
                        Comment
                        • Bsims
                          SBR Wise Guy
                          • 02-03-09
                          • 827

                          #13
                          Damn 0-2 -5.00, such is life. Since I've started posting 6-11 -7.23. It's killing me.
                          Comment
                          • Bsims
                            SBR Wise Guy
                            • 02-03-09
                            • 827

                            #14
                            05/20 Washington -1.5 +160 ***
                            05/20 Minnesota -1.5 +167 ***
                            Comment
                            • Bsims
                              SBR Wise Guy
                              • 02-03-09
                              • 827

                              #15
                              While there are a couple of games meeting part of my criteria, home teams -1.5 +140 or more. But they don't meet my other criteria which generates a range of over 300 potential scores. So there aren't any picks today.

                              I've decided to reset my record to the day I posted on the blog. Unfortunately that includes the very bad 0-2 first day (-5.00 units). So without any picks today, my recorded record is 2-3 -1.55 units. Hopefully I'll find some tomorrow.
                              Comment
                              • Bsims
                                SBR Wise Guy
                                • 02-03-09
                                • 827

                                #16
                                Tuesday, LA Dodgers -1.5 +157* now barely meets the criteria
                                Comment
                                • Mike Huntertz
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 08-19-09
                                  • 11207

                                  #17
                                  I like LA -1.5, don't see Rocks scoring too many.
                                  GL
                                  Comment
                                  • Bsims
                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                    • 02-03-09
                                    • 827

                                    #18
                                    1-0 +1.57 yesterday, 3-3 +0.02

                                    Oakland -1.5 +167 barely meets today
                                    Comment
                                    • TheSchafe
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 12-29-09
                                      • 2143

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by Bsims
                                      Tuesday, LA Dodgers -1.5 +157* now barely meets the criteria
                                      Great call, brother. How do the Cardinals and Astros look in your system today? Overvalued?
                                      Comment
                                      • Bsims
                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                        • 02-03-09
                                        • 827

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by TheSchafe
                                        Great call, brother. How do the Cardinals and Astros look in your system today? Overvalued?
                                        Sorry I missed your message, was traveling and didn't get online after morning post.
                                        Comment
                                        • Bsims
                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                          • 02-03-09
                                          • 827

                                          #21
                                          Oakland lost on Wednesday, no picks Thursday. Record is 2-4 -2.42.

                                          Fri 5/25 Philadelphia -1.5 +165 **

                                          Will look again later today.

                                          Add Texas -1.5 +144 **
                                          Comment
                                          • Bsims
                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                            • 02-03-09
                                            • 827

                                            #22
                                            1-1 +0.44 yesterday 3-5 -1.98 to date

                                            26-May Milwaukee -1.5 145
                                            26-May Seattle -1.5 167
                                            26-May Detroit -1.5 160
                                            Comment
                                            • Bsims
                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                              • 02-03-09
                                              • 827

                                              #23
                                              1-2 -0.55 to date 4-7 -2.53

                                              Milwaukee -1.5 +162 **

                                              Philadelphia -1.5 +178

                                              Detroit -1.5 +162
                                              Comment
                                              • Bsims
                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                • 02-03-09
                                                • 827

                                                #24
                                                Terrible, 0-3 today. If anyone was following this, my apologies. I'm wasting your money and my time. I'm just going back to wasting my money only. I'm still convinced in the approach and am slightly ahead for the year. I will just push on alone.
                                                Comment
                                                • KANSAS24
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 01-28-09
                                                  • 2492

                                                  #25
                                                  THINK U NEED A NEW SYSTEM
                                                  Comment
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