MLB - Monday, 4/30/18

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  • LT Profits
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 10-27-06
    • 90963

    #1
    MLB - Monday, 4/30/18
    2 MLB Plays Monday

    Rays -113 (5 Dimes)
    Rays / Tigers UNDER 9 +100 (Heritage)


    YTD: 101-98-4, +18.94
  • 44 Mag
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 10-14-13
    • 34490

    #2
    Originally posted by LT Profits
    2 MLB Plays Monday

    Rays -113 (5 Dimes)
    Rays / Tigers UNDER 9 +100 (Heritage)


    YTD: 101-98-4, +18.94
    I was thinking over (go figure) with these two gas cans on the mound???
    Comment
    • LT Profits
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 10-27-06
      • 90963

      #3
      Originally posted by 44 Mag
      I was thinking over (go figure) with these two gas cans on the mound???
      Faria is actually good when he is not walking people and his last 3 starts (18 Ks vs. 6 BBs in 15.2 IP) are a truer indication of his ability. Zimmermann is pretty bad but he actually has a good K/BB ratio so there is room for positive regression from his 7+ ERA.

      Plus I do not have Rays offense rated that highly vs. righties on road, main reason for Tampa Bay side play is Rays' pitching advantage.
      Comment
      • 44 Mag
        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
        • 10-14-13
        • 34490

        #4
        Originally posted by LT Profits
        Faria is actually good when he is not walking people and his last 3 starts (18 Ks vs. 6 BBs in 15.2 IP) are a truer indication of his ability. Zimmermann is pretty bad but he actually has a good K/BB ratio so there is room for positive regression from his 7+ ERA.

        Plus I do not have Rays offense rated that highly vs. righties on road, main reason for Tampa Bay side play is Rays' pitching advantage.
        Thanks Boss.
        Comment
        • LT Profits
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 10-27-06
          • 90963

          #5
          2 MLB Additions

          4 MLB Plays Monday

          Marlins +131 (Heritage)
          Rays -113 (5 Dimes)
          Rays / Tigers UNDER 9 +100 (Heritage)
          Dodgers +119 (Heritage)
          Comment
          • fecgp40
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 02-01-11
            • 5750

            #6
            Why Marlins LT? I was actually liking Phillies here. Straily not so good numbers against Philly. You think Jake is over-valued?
            Comment
            • LT Profits
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 10-27-06
              • 90963

              #7
              Originally posted by fecgp40
              Why Marlins LT? I was actually liking Phillies here. Straily not so good numbers against Philly. You think Jake is over-valued?
              Yes, I only get Phils 54% (-117) so took shot at the price. And I actually have Straily rated just a shade above average, I don't put much stock in pitcher vs. team numbers, I am a full body of work guy.
              Comment
              • fecgp40
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 02-01-11
                • 5750

                #8
                Originally posted by LT Profits
                Yes, I only get Phils 54% (-117) so took shot at the price. And I actually have Straily rated just a shade above average, I don't put much stock in pitcher vs. team numbers, I am a full body of work guy.
                Thanks for the input. Always like to hear your reasoning behind a play. So do you ever look at player's numbers in a lineup for a given game vs. the starter they are facing?
                Comment
                • LT Profits
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 10-27-06
                  • 90963

                  #9
                  Originally posted by fecgp40
                  Thanks for the input. Always like to hear your reasoning behind a play. So do you ever look at player's numbers in a lineup for a given game vs. the starter they are facing?
                  Same answer as pitcher vs. team, usually too small a sampling to be meaningful and prone to variance.
                  Comment
                  • 7Faces
                    SBR Rookie
                    • 08-19-14
                    • 24

                    #10
                    Tailed your SD -1,5 play Saturday. Want to give the favor back. Twins UNDER. Total is brutally inflated! Debating to go all the way to 7,5.
                    When you have a strong lean what is your approach just look for the +100 (double) or do you lay let say 5 units on the double and 2 on the "long shot" ?
                    Comment
                    • High3rEl3m3nt
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 09-28-10
                      • 8022

                      #11
                      terrific job so far, LT

                      Envious
                      Comment
                      • LT Profits
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 10-27-06
                        • 90963

                        #12
                        1 Last MLB Addition

                        5 MLB Plays Monday

                        Pirates / Nationals OVER 8 -105 (Heritage)
                        Marlins +131 (Heritage)
                        Rays -113 (5 Dimes)
                        Rays / Tigers UNDER 9 +100 (Heritage)
                        Dodgers +119 (Heritage)
                        Comment
                        • stackz125
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 01-03-16
                          • 6191

                          #13
                          Damn I took a shot with philly -1...
                          Comment
                          • Conqueror
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 12-08-13
                            • 16778

                            #14
                            Originally posted by LT Profits
                            Faria is actually good when he is not walking people and his last 3 starts (18 Ks vs. 6 BBs in 15.2 IP) are a truer indication of his ability. Zimmermann is pretty bad but he actually has a good K/BB ratio so there is room for positive regression from his 7+ ERA.

                            Plus I do not have Rays offense rated that highly vs. righties on road, main reason for Tampa Bay side play is Rays' pitching advantage.
                            This is why it's so good to have you here. Your picks are always soundly justified.
                            Comment
                            • KANSAS24
                              SBR MVP
                              • 01-28-09
                              • 2492

                              #15
                              Comment
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